Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Picks and Predictions November 27th 2024

Hornets vs Heat November 27th 2024

The Miami Heat (-176) are favored by 4 points on the road against the Charlotte Hornets (+149) in a Southeast Division matchup. The over/under line for this game is 217.5 points.

Charlotte is currently on a two-game losing streak and sits 12th in the Eastern Conference at 6-11. Miami is 7-8 and in 6th place in the East.

Heat vs. Hornets Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets
• Where: Charlotte at Spectrum Center
• Date: Wednesday, November 27th
• Betting Odds MIA -4, MIA -176 | CHA +149 O/U 217.5

The Heat Can Win If…

Miami dropped to 7-8 on the season after a 106-103 loss to the Bucks on Tuesday. The Heat, who were favored by six points at home, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 209 points fell short of the 222.5-point over/under line.

Milwaukee’s 11-0 run early in the game put Miami on their heels, and the Bucks led 65-51 at halftime. The Heat battled back, outscoring the Bucks 29-20 in the third quarter and 23-21 in the fourth, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

In the Heat’s 106-103 loss to the Bucks, Jimmy Butler led the way with 23 points, 9 of which came in the 3rd quarter. Tyler Herro added 18 points, shooting just 35.7% from the field and 33.3% from three, hitting 3 triples. Terry Rozier was efficient, making 3 threes at a 75% clip, finishing with 17 points.

Miami shot 45.5% from the field and connected on 10 threes at 34.5%, both below their usual standards. Rozier was a key contributor in the 4th quarter, scoring 13 of his 17 points in the final period.

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 3rd and 4th quarters, the Heat couldn’t overcome their early struggles, allowing 31 points in the 1st and 34 in the 2nd. Miami gave up 106 points in the game, with the Bucks shooting 46% from the field.

The Heat had trouble defending the perimeter, as Milwaukee hit 20 threes at a 47% clip. Miami sent the Bucks to the line 17 times, where they made 14 free throws. The Heat finished with 29 defensive rebounds, allowing 9 offensive boards, while adding 6 steals and 2 blocks.

• Across their ten previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 111 points per game.
• As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
• Over their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Hornets Can Win If…

The Hornets fell to 6-11 on the season after a 95-84 home loss to the Magic on Monday. Charlotte, who entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 179 points was well below the pre-game O/U line of 212.5.

Charlotte led 62-58 going into the 4th quarter, but the Magic went on an 11-0 run, extending their lead from 64-63 to 75-63. Orlando outscored the Hornets 37-22 in the final quarter to seal the win.

In their 95-84 loss to the Magic, the Hornets’ offense struggled, shooting just 41.3% from the field and 21.9% from three-point range, hitting only 7 threes. LaMelo Ball was the standout performer, hitting 4 threes at 36.4% and finishing with 44 points, 9 rebounds, and 7 assists, shooting 56.7% overall.

Brandon Miller added 20 points and 10 rebounds, despite shooting 35.3% from the field and 28.6% from deep. Seth Curry was the only other Hornet in double figures, scoring 9 points on 75% shooting.

Defensively, the Hornets were strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing just 18 and 16 points, respectively. However, they gave up 37 points in the 4th, leading to a 95-84 loss to the Magic. Overall, Charlotte held Orlando to 39% shooting.

The Hornets did well defending the three, with the Magic hitting just 12 threes at a 26% rate. Charlotte also sent Orlando to the line 17 times, where they made 9 free throws. The Hornets finished with 6 steals and 5 blocks.

• Charlotte has a 0-5 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 108 points per game while allowing 118. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Hornets have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
• In their last three games, the Hornets have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Heat to secure the win, with an expected final score of 148-85. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -4.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 217.5, and our model predicts the Heat and Hornets to score a combined 233 points. We recommend betting on the over.

Daily NBA Picks & Predictions from The Best Expert Handicappers

Facing Hornets, Heat Look to Rebound from Disappointing Loss

The Miami Heat head to North Carolina to face the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday, aiming to shake off the sting of a tough loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. The Heat’s 106-103 defeat on Tuesday denied them a three-game winning streak, a feat they have yet to accomplish this season, and virtually ended their hopes of competing for the NBA Cup.

Miami Heat: Seeking Redemption

Miami entered Tuesday’s game with momentum but left the court frustrated. Despite Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo being sidelined due to a knee injury, the Heat struggled offensively, recording their third-lowest point total of the season.

“It’s disappointing,” said head coach Erik Spoelstra. “We’ve had two ridiculously close games. We wanted to be there in Vegas (for the NBA Cup semifinals), but that’s behind us now, and we’ll focus on getting ready for Charlotte.”

The Heat had chances to win in the final moments, but both Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier missed critical shots.

“I saw open looks. I saw in and out,” Spoelstra added, referring to Herro’s missed opportunity.

Jimmy Butler led Miami with 23 points, fueled largely by 11 free throws, underscoring his knack for drawing fouls. However, Miami’s offense struggled to find consistency, an issue they must address against Charlotte.

Charlotte Hornets: Battling Turnovers

The Hornets, meanwhile, are reeling from four losses in their last five games, including a 95-84 defeat to the Orlando Magic on Monday. Despite LaMelo Ball’s exceptional scoring, the Hornets’ turnovers have been a significant issue. They committed 27 turnovers against Orlando, sabotaging their chances.

“We got ourselves in trouble with some of our turnovers,” Hornets coach Charles Lee said. “Most of it is self-inflicted. These are things we can control.”

LaMelo Ball has been a bright spot for Charlotte, scoring 50 and 44 points in consecutive games. However, his Herculean efforts have not translated into wins, highlighting the team’s offensive imbalance caused by injuries to key post players. Rookie Brandon Miller has stepped up in the scoring department, offering hope for the team’s long-term prospects.

“I see two guys who are very talented, work extremely hard, and care deeply about the process,” Lee said, referring to Ball and Miller.

Key Matchup Factors

The Heat and Hornets last met on October 26, with Miami emerging victorious in a 114-106 win. In that game, Jimmy Butler led with 26 points and eight assists, while LaMelo Ball scored 27 for Charlotte. Turnovers once again plagued the Hornets, as they gave the ball away 20 times.

The Heat will rely on Butler’s leadership and Rozier’s familiarity with his former team to exploit Charlotte’s vulnerabilities. Rozier, now a key contributor off Miami’s bench, had 17 points against Milwaukee and could be an X-factor.

For Charlotte, reducing turnovers and supporting Ball offensively will be critical. The team’s defensive effort against Orlando, which limited the Magic to just 95 points, showed promise and will need to be replicated.

What’s at Stake

Both teams are eager to bounce back. Miami seeks to re-establish momentum and find offensive rhythm, while Charlotte aims to address turnovers and leverage Ball’s stellar form to secure a win at home.

With both teams battling inconsistency, the outcome may hinge on which side can execute in clutch moments. Will Miami find its footing, or will Charlotte capitalize on its home-court advantage? Fans won’t have to wait long to find out.