Spurs vs Lakers November 27th 2024
At 8:30 ET, the 10-7 Lakers (-140) will visit the 10-8 Spurs (+118) in a Western Conference matchup. The Lakers are currently 6th in the West and have lost three straight games, while the Spurs have won four straight and are 10th in the conference.
The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 226.5 points.
Lakers vs. Spurs Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs
- Where: San Antonio at Frost Bank Center
- Date: Wednesday, November 27th
- Betting Odds LAL -2.5, LAL -140 | SA +118 O/U 226.5
The Lakers Can Win If…
On Tuesday, November 26th, the Lakers fell to 10-7 on the season after a 127-100 road loss to the Suns. Los Angeles entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were set at 234.5, but the teams combined for 227 points, falling short of the line.
After a strong 2nd quarter where they outscored the Suns 35-31, the Lakers struggled in the 3rd, being outscored 36-18. A 10-0 run by Phoenix extended their lead from 79-72 to 89-72, and Los Angeles couldn’t recover, as they were outscored 29-22 in the 4th quarter.
In their loss to the Suns, the Lakers managed just 100 points, shooting 43.5% from the field. Their three-point shooting was a major issue, as they hit only 8 threes at a 23.5% clip.
Anthony Davis led the way with 25 points and 15 rebounds, scoring 12 points in the 1st quarter. LeBron James added 18 points, while D’Angelo Russell contributed 16, with 9 of those coming in the 2nd quarter.
Defensively, the Lakers struggled against the Suns, allowing 127 points on 51% shooting. They gave up 31 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, and 36 in the 3rd, before holding Phoenix to 29 in the 4th.
From beyond the arc, the Lakers allowed the Suns to hit 17 threes on 40% shooting. They sent Phoenix to the line 10 times, where they made 8 free throws. The Lakers had 7 steals and 6 blocks in the game.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Lakers have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 109 points per game in these contests.
- Against the spread, the Lakers have put together of 1-4 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-2 straight up.
- Over their last five games, the Lakers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
The Spurs Can Win If…
The Spurs improved to 10-8 on the season with a 128-115 win over the Jazz on Tuesday. San Antonio, favored by 2 points, covered the spread with the victory. The total score of 243 points exceeded the O/U line of 224.5 by 18.5 points.
San Antonio’s 10-0 run early in the game helped them gain control, and they outscored Utah 32-22 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.
Victor Wembanyama’s 34-point performance, including 17 in the 2nd quarter, led the Spurs to a 128-point outing against the Jazz. He hit 6 threes at 42.9%, finishing with a 56.5% shooting mark overall. Stephon Castle added 23 points, with 8 coming in the opening quarter.
San Antonio connected on 18 threes, shooting 37.5% from deep and 48.4% overall. Julian Champagnie and Chris Paul each scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, with Champagnie finishing with 15 points and 4 made threes.
Despite a rough start, the Spurs tightened up their defense in the 4th quarter, giving up just 22 points to help secure the win. Overall, they allowed 115 points on 51% shooting from the field.
From three-point range, the Jazz hit 13 threes at a 37% clip. The Spurs sent Utah to the line 20 times, where they made 16 free throws. Defensively, San Antonio recorded 12 steals and 5 blocks.
- Across their three previous home games, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 107 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
- In their last three games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Not only do we have the Lakers winning this one by a score of 129-122, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Lakers at -2.5.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 226.5, and our model predicts the Lakers and Spurs to score a combined 251 points. We recommend betting on the over.
NBA Picks & Predictions from The Best Expert Handicappers
Streaking Spurs Look to Extend Winning Run Against Struggling Lakers
The San Antonio Spurs host the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday night in a pivotal Western Conference matchup. Both teams are playing the second half of back-to-back sets, with the Spurs returning home after a strong showing in Utah and the Lakers traveling to San Antonio following a tough loss in Phoenix. The game carries added significance as part of the NBA Cup, with both teams tied in the West Group B standings and looking to secure a spot in the quarterfinals.
San Antonio Spurs: Momentum and Resurgence
The Spurs are riding high, having secured their fourth consecutive victory with a 128-115 win over the Utah Jazz on Tuesday. This marks their longest winning streak since the 2021-22 season and is a testament to the team’s improving cohesion and leadership.
Victor Wembanyama Leading the Charge
Rookie sensation Victor Wembanyama has quickly established himself as the face of the Spurs’ resurgence. The 19-year-old tallied 34 points against Utah, including 24 in the first half alone, demonstrating his ability to dominate early and set the tone for the team.
Supporting Cast Stepping Up
- Stephon Castle matched his career-high with 23 points, providing a critical secondary scoring option.
- Julian Champagnie added 15 points, including a key three-pointer during a decisive 13-3 fourth-quarter run.
Interim coach Mitch Johnson praised his team’s consistency and identity, particularly in closing out games. “Every team is good, and people know your tendencies. We stuck to our identity and executed well in the second half,” Johnson said.
The Spurs improved to 2-1 in Group B play, staying alive in the NBA Cup race. They’ll aim to carry that momentum into Wednesday’s contest as they seek to solidify their tournament position.
Los Angeles Lakers: Searching for Answers
The Lakers head into San Antonio after a 127-100 loss to the Phoenix Suns, marking their third consecutive defeat. Despite solid individual performances, the team struggled to maintain consistency, particularly in the second half.
Bright Spots Amid Struggles
- Anthony Davis delivered a double-double with 25 points and 15 rebounds, continuing to anchor the Lakers’ frontcourt.
- LeBron James contributed 18 points, 10 assists, and eight rebounds, displaying his trademark all-around game.
- D’Angelo Russell, coming off the bench, added 16 points and drew praise from head coach JJ Redick for his defensive orchestration and leadership among the reserves.
Second-Half Woes
The Lakers faltered during a 14-2 Suns run in the third quarter and never recovered. Redick emphasized the importance of consistency beyond scoring, saying, “It’s not just about putting points on the board. We need to execute on both ends of the floor.”
With their loss, the Lakers are now tied with the Spurs and Suns in Group B, adding urgency to Wednesday’s matchup.
Key Matchups to Watch
Wembanyama vs. Davis
Victor Wembanyama’s scoring and shot-blocking will be tested against Anthony Davis, one of the league’s most versatile big men. Davis’ ability to protect the rim and dominate the boards could play a pivotal role in containing Wembanyama.
Bench Battle
The Lakers’ second unit, led by Russell and Austin Reaves, will look to outmatch the Spurs’ emerging contributors like Stephon Castle and Julian Champagnie. Bench production could be the deciding factor in a game likely to hinge on late-game execution.
NBA Cup Implications
The point differential in this game could significantly impact the standings, as the first tiebreaker for advancing is margin of victory. Both teams will need to play with urgency to stay alive in the NBA Cup.
Historical Context
The Lakers defeated the Spurs 120-115 in their NBA Cup opener on Nov. 15, showcasing their ability to win tight games. However, the Spurs have shown significant growth since that loss, setting up a compelling rematch.
Predictions and Outlook
The Spurs are trending upward, with Wembanyama and their supporting cast finding a rhythm. Meanwhile, the Lakers face questions about their consistency and defensive lapses. If San Antonio can capitalize on their home-court advantage and execute in crunch time, they have a strong chance to extend their winning streak and climb in the standings.
For the Lakers, avoiding turnovers and getting meaningful contributions from their role players will be critical. Expect a closely contested game as both teams vie for momentum and positioning in the NBA Cup.