Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Picks and Predictions November 30th 2024

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers November 30th 2024

ABC will be covering this week 14 matchup between the Auburn Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide, scheduled for 3:30 ET at Saban Field in Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa. The over/under line is currently sitting at 52 points. The Tide are the -11.5 point favorites at home. Auburn comes in with a 5-6 record, while Alabama is 8-3 on the season.

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Auburn vs. Alabama Key Information

• Teams: Tigers at Crimson Tide
• Where: Saban Field at Bryant-Denny Stadium Tuscaloosa
• Date: Saturday, November 30th
• Betting Odds ALA -456 | AUBRN +336 O/U 52

The Tigers Can Win If…

Auburn heads into Week 14 against Alabama with a 5-6 record, ranked 29th in our power rankings. They have a 12.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Tigers are 2-4 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

Auburn’s ATS record is 4-5, with a +8.3 average scoring margin. They are 2-4 against the spread as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 52 points. Auburn’s average O/U line is 49.2, and their games have averaged 49.7 points, with a 3-6 record against the total.

Auburn’s offense ranks 50th in our power rankings heading into week 14, and they are averaging 29 points per game, placing them 49th nationally. Payton Thorne has thrown for 2,412 yards, and the Tigers are 31st in passing yards per game. Thorne has 20 touchdowns and a passer rating of 103, which matches the team’s rating, placing them 19th in the nation.

Jarquez Hunter leads the rushing attack with 1,145 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored 8 touchdowns. Auburn is 57th in rushing yards per game, averaging 172.2 yards. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has 865 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns on 42 catches.

In their latest game, Auburn’s defense allowed 41 points but still managed to secure a 43-41 overtime win against Texas A&M. They gave up 464 total yards, including 297 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, while also forcing one interception. Texas A&M ran the ball 52 times for 167 yards and two rushing touchdowns.

Despite the high-scoring game, Auburn’s defense ranks 25th nationally, allowing 20.7 points per game. They are 27th in the country against the run, giving up just 114 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 55.2% of their passes against Auburn, which ranks 23rd in the nation.

• Through their last three games, the Auburn Tigers have a record of 2-1. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 2-1.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Auburn Tigers have gone 4-6 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 5-5 to go along with an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Crimson Tide Can Win If…

Alabama enters Week 14 with an 8-3 record, holding a perfect 5-0 mark at home. While they are guaranteed to be bowl-eligible, they have no chance of winning the Southeastern title. However, they still have a 37.7% chance of making the playoff, according to projections.

The Crimson Tide have been favored in nine of their 11 games this season, going 6-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +18.6 points per game, and they are 5-5 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is set at 52 points. Alabama’s games have averaged 53.7 points, with their over/under record sitting at 5-5 for the season.

Alabama’s offense is averaging 36.2 points per game, ranking 16th in the nation heading into week 14. They are 12th in our offensive power rankings. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 2,401 yards, completing 65.2% of his passes, with 15 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Alabama ranks 26th in completion percentage and 50th in passing yards per game.

On the ground, they are averaging 183.1 rushing yards per game. Jam Miller leads the team with 557 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Ryan Williams has 804 receiving yards and eight touchdowns on 42 catches.

Alabama’s defense, ranked 11th nationally, is allowing 17.5 points per game this season. They’ve given up 145.9 rushing yards per game and 181.2 passing yards, ranking 25th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 74 and are completing 61.3% of their passes against Alabama.

In their recent game against Oklahoma, Alabama’s defense allowed 24 points, giving up 268 rushing yards on 51 attempts. Oklahoma threw the ball just 12 times, completing 9 passes for 68 yards.

• Alabama will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
• Alabama has put together a record of 10-0 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record against the spread in this stretch is 8-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Lean

Alabama is the -11.5 point favorite at home in their week 14 matchup against Auburn. We expect the Tide to win comfortably, with a projected final score of 36-19, so we recommend taking Alabama to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 52 points, our projection of 55 combined points suggests that taking the over is the best play.

Weekly College Football Picks from Expert Handicappers

Auburn Bowls Into No. 13 Alabama for Iron Bowl Amid CFP Tension

The Iron Bowl rivalry is set to heat up as Auburn visits No. 13 Alabama in Tuscaloosa on Saturday. With the stakes higher than ever, both teams are looking to leave their mark on the Southeastern Conference (SEC) in one of the most storied matchups in college football. For Alabama, it’s a chance to salvage its season and keep faint College Football Playoff (CFP) hopes alive, while Auburn eyes revenge for last year’s heartbreaking loss.

Alabama’s Season on the Brink

The Crimson Tide (8-3, 4-3 SEC) enters the game on shaky ground. Last weekend’s humbling 24-3 loss to Oklahoma all but eliminated them from CFP contention. Now, Alabama’s only hope lies in an improbable at-large bid, but that’s only possible if they finish strong and key dominoes fall elsewhere.

Coach Kalen DeBoer remains laser-focused on the challenge Auburn presents. “This game is everything to this state,” DeBoer said. “We need to turn the page from last week, be better because of it, and do everything we can to win on Saturday.”

Alabama’s offense, led by quarterback Jalen Milroe, has struggled with consistency. Against Oklahoma, Milroe managed just 164 passing yards, threw three interceptions, and was held to 7 rushing yards on 15 attempts. The Crimson Tide will also be without standout linebacker Deontae Lawson, whose season-ending leg injury leaves a gaping hole in their defense.

Auburn’s Shot at Redemption

For Auburn (5-6, 2-5 SEC), the stakes are equally high. The Tigers are coming off an exhilarating 43-41 win in quadruple overtime against then-No. 15 Texas A&M. Star running back Jarquez Hunter was the hero of that game, rushing for 130 yards and three touchdowns. Hunter’s dominance this season (1,145 rushing yards) makes him a critical factor against Alabama’s defense.

Auburn coach Hugh Freeze is determined to break the Tide’s dominance. Alabama has won four straight in the series and 10 of the last 13 meetings, including last year’s “Milroe Miracle,” where a 31-yard touchdown pass in the final seconds sealed a 27-24 victory.

“There is no bigger game on the schedule,” Freeze said. “Last year’s loss still stings. Our players believe they can win, and that belief is everything. It’s going to take heart, focus, and execution to come out on top in Tuscaloosa.”

The Rivalry Runs Deep

The Iron Bowl is more than a game; it’s a cultural event that dominates conversation year-round in Alabama. Both teams understand the stakes go far beyond wins and losses. For fans, it’s about pride, bragging rights, and a year’s worth of memories tied to the result.

The emotional weight of last year’s game is still fresh for both sides. Auburn came within one defensive stop of a stunning upset before Milroe connected with Isaiah Bond for a game-winning score in the final moments. For Alabama, the stakes this year are no less personal as they look to reassert dominance and rebuild momentum heading into bowl season.

Key Matchups to Watch

• Jarquez Hunter vs. Alabama’s Defense:
  Hunter’s ability to break through Alabama’s defensive front will be pivotal. Without Lawson anchoring their defense, the Crimson Tide will need a team effort to contain Auburn’s star rusher.
• Jalen Milroe’s Response:
  Milroe’s performance last week was underwhelming, but he has proven he can deliver in clutch moments. The question is whether he can regain his composure and lead a balanced offensive attack against Auburn.
• Auburn’s Defensive Line vs. Alabama’s Offensive Line:
  Auburn’s defense has struggled at times this season, but they’ll need to apply pressure and force turnovers to keep Milroe uncomfortable in the pocket.

What’s at Stake for Each Team

• For Alabama:
  A win solidifies their position as the dominant program in the rivalry and sets them up for a strong finish in their bowl game. While CFP hopes are slim, a loss would all but erase them entirely.
• For Auburn:
  A victory would mark a turning point for Freeze’s program, restoring faith among fans and players alike. Ending Alabama’s winning streak in the Iron Bowl would provide a massive morale boost heading into next season.

Quotes to Remember

• “You have zero chance of winning if you don’t have a belief that you can do it.” – Hugh Freeze
• “We have to learn from last week and be better because of it.” – Kalen DeBoer

The Road Ahead

Both teams face challenges, but Auburn enters with renewed confidence following their overtime thriller. Alabama, on the other hand, must overcome its offensive struggles and the loss of a key defensive leader.

As Freeze said, belief is the foundation for any upset. Whether the Tigers can translate that belief into action will determine if the Tide continues their dominance or if Auburn can finally tip the scales in this legendary rivalry.

Conclusion:
The Iron Bowl promises drama, passion, and high stakes as Alabama and Auburn collide in Tuscaloosa. With both teams fighting for pride, redemption, and the future of their programs, this year’s game could be one for the ages.