Oregon Ducks vs Washington Huskies November 28th 2024
On Saturday, November 30th, the Washington Huskies and Oregon Ducks will face off at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, with kick-off set for 7:30 ET. The game will be broadcast on NBC, and the Ducks enter the game as the heavy favorite at -19.5 points. The over/under line is currently at 50.5 points. The Huskies are 6-5 on the season, while the Ducks are undefeated at 11-0.
Washington vs. Oregon Key Information
- Teams: Huskies at Ducks
- Where: Autzen Stadium Eugene
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds ORE -1122 | WASH +669 O/U 50.5
The Huskies Can Win If…
Washington enters Week 14 with a 6-5 record, but they are 0-4 on the road and 5-1 at home. They are ranked 45th in our power rankings and are already bowl-eligible. The Huskies have been favored in five games this season, going 4-1 as the favorite.
Washington’s ATS record stands at 4-6, with a 4-2 mark at home and 0-4 on the road. They are 3-2 against the spread as the favorite and have an average scoring margin of +2.2 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 50.5 points. Washington’s games have averaged 43.1 points, and their over/under record is 3-7. Their average over/under line this season has been 47.6 points.
Washington’s offense has been inconsistent this season, ranking 83rd in points scored with 22.6 per game. They are 49th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 36.4%, and they average 141.5 rushing yards per game.
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Will Rogers has thrown for 2,458 yards, leading the Huskies’ passing attack, and the team ranks 16th in completions per game. Rogers has 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions, with a passer rating of 99. Jonah Coleman has rushed for 1,008 yards and nine touchdowns. Denzel Boston leads the receivers with 764 yards and nine touchdowns.
Washington’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 24th nationally by allowing just 20.5 points per game. They’ve been particularly effective against the pass, giving up only 160.5 passing yards per game, the 11th-lowest in the country, and holding opposing quarterbacks to a 53.3% completion rate.
In their recent game against UCLA, Washington’s defense allowed 19 points, giving up 376 total yards, including 265 passing yards. They held UCLA to 111 rushing yards on 26 attempts and forced 16 first downs.
- The Washington Huskies have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.
- The Washington Huskies have gone 5-5 over their last ten regular season games. This includes going 4-6 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 3-7.
The Ducks Can Win If…
Oregon enters Week 14 with an 11-0 record, ranked 7th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 30.9% chance to win the Big Ten. Oregon also has the best odds to make the playoff at 99.9%, with a 19.1% chance of reaching the national championship game and a 7.7% chance of winning it all.
The Ducks are 5-0 at home and 5-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in nine of their 11 games and have a +18.2 average scoring margin. Against the spread, Oregon is 5-5, with a 2-3 record at home and a 3-2 mark on the road.
Oregon’s over/under record is 4-6, with their games averaging 49.6 points. The average over/under line for their games is 53.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 50.5 points.
Oregon’s offense is averaging 33.9 points per game, ranking 22nd in the nation, but they are 4th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 3,066 yards, leading the passing game, and Oregon ranks 16th in passing yards per game. They are 14th in completions, with 24.1 per game, and 10th in third-down conversions, converting 48.6% of their attempts. Gabriel has 22 touchdown passes and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 113.
Oregon leads the nation in completion percentage, completing 74% of their passes. Gabriel’s completion percentage is 73.8%. Jordan James has rushed for 1,067 yards and scored 11 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Tez Johnson leads the receivers with 649 yards and eight touchdowns on 64 catches.
Oregon’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 8th nationally by allowing just 15.7 points per game. They’ve given up 120.5 rushing yards per game and 168.8 passing yards, which ranks 13th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of just 64.9 against Oregon, completing 53.7% of their passes.
In their recent game against Wisconsin, Oregon’s defense allowed 13 points and 15 first downs. Wisconsin ran the ball 24 times for 117 yards, while Oregon’s secondary gave up 292 passing yards but also recorded an interception.
- The Oregon Ducks have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2.
- Across Oregon’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 10-0. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 5-5 to go along with an over-under mark of 3-7.
The Lean
Washington comes into this week 14 matchup vs. Oregon as the heavy favorite at -19.5 points. However, we see this one being much closer, with Oregon pulling off the upset with a final score of 27-26. So, we would take Washington to cover the +19.5 point spread.
With the over/under line sitting at 50.5 points, we would lean towards the over, as our projections have these teams combining for 53 points.
Winless in Rivalry, Dan Lanning, No. 1 Oregon Determined to Tame Huskies
Ducks Seek Revenge Against Washington in Season Finale
The No. 1 Oregon Ducks have already secured a spot in the Big Ten championship game, but their regular-season finale against Washington carries significant weight. Hosting their longtime rivals on Saturday in Eugene, Ore., the Ducks (11-0, 8-0 Big Ten) are looking for revenge after the Huskies (6-5, 4-4) handed them two crushing defeats last season.
Washington edged Oregon 36-33 in the regular season last October and followed that with a 34-31 victory in the Pac-12 title game, dashing the Ducks’ College Football Playoff hopes. Both teams joined the Big Ten this season, adding another layer of intrigue to the storied rivalry.
Lanning Seeks First Win Against Huskies
Despite an impressive 33-5 record as Oregon’s head coach, Dan Lanning is 0-3 against Washington. Lanning and his squad are determined to flip the script.
“It’s always about what we’re able to do on the field. Motivation is overrated,” Lanning said. “Since the beginning of the season, we’ve talked about playing our best football at the end of November. We’re there. This is our opportunity to go play our best football against a good team.”
Coming off a bye week, Oregon used the time to recover from injuries and refocus. The Ducks may get a boost with the possible return of star wide receiver Tez Johnson, who leads the team in receptions (64), receiving yards (649), and touchdown catches (eight). Johnson has missed the past two games with a shoulder injury.
Oregon’s High-Powered Offense
Quarterback Dillon Gabriel has thrived this season, supported by Oregon’s dynamic offense. The Ducks have excelled both on the ground and through the air, with a balanced attack that has overwhelmed opponents. Gabriel’s connection with Johnson, if the receiver is healthy, could prove pivotal.
Washington Faces Uncertainty at Quarterback
Washington, led by first-year head coach Jedd Fisch, has struggled with consistency this season. The Huskies boast a 63-48-5 all-time record against Oregon but have just one win (1-12-1) when facing the No. 1-ranked team in the country.
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Running back Jonah Coleman has been a bright spot for the Huskies, rushing for 1,008 yards and nine touchdowns while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. In the passing game, wide receiver Denzel Boston leads the Big Ten with nine touchdown receptions and ranks sixth in receiving yards (764).
However, Washington’s quarterback situation remains unclear. Will Rogers, the season-long starter, was benched two weeks ago after throwing two interceptions in a win over UCLA. Freshman Demond Williams Jr. stepped in, showing poise and energy. Fisch has yet to name a starter, keeping Oregon guessing.
“Both guys responded well to the week of practice,” Fisch said. “The guy we believe will start the game gets a significant amount of reps in practice. But as you know, we’re not afraid to play two quarterbacks.”
What’s at Stake
For Oregon, a win would cap an undefeated regular season and further solidify its case for a top seed in the College Football Playoff. For Washington, a victory would salvage a disappointing season while spoiling the Ducks’ championship aspirations.
This high-stakes rivalry promises another thrilling chapter in the long-standing battle between these two programs.