Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas State Wildcats November 29th 2024
FOX will be covering the Iowa State Cyclones and Kansas State Wildcats matchup, set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Jack Trice Stadium in Ames. The Cyclones are the -3 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently sitting at 51.5 points. Both teams have had strong seasons, with Iowa State at 9-2 and Kansas State at 8-3 heading into this week 14 Big 12 showdown.
Kansas State vs. Iowa State Key Information
- Teams: Wildcats at Cyclones
- Where: Jack Trice Stadium Ames
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds IOWAST -143 | KANST +119 O/U 51.5
The Wildcats Can Win If…
Kansas State enters Week 14 against Iowa State with an 8-3 record, ranked 22nd in our power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility but have just a 1.5% chance of winning the Big 12. The Wildcats are 4-1 at home and 3-2 on the road this season.
They’ve been favored in 10 of 11 games, going 7-3 as the favorite. Kansas State’s average scoring margin is +9.3 points, but they are 4-6 against the spread, with a 1-4 road ATS record and a 3-2 home ATS record.
The over/under line for this week is 51.5 points. Kansas State’s games have averaged 51.8 points, and their average over/under line is 53.5 points. Their over/under record stands at 5-5 for the season.
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Kansas State’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, averaging 212.7 yards per game, placing them 15th nationally. DJ Giddens has rushed for 1,271 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored seven touchdowns. The Wildcats are scoring 30.5 points per game, ranking 42nd, and they are 39th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14.
Avery Johnson, Kansas State’s quarterback, has thrown for 2,297 yards with 19 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He has a passer rating of 91, and the Wildcats rank 80th in passing yards per game. Jayce Brown leads the team with 657 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
Kansas State’s defense enters this week ranked 28th nationally, allowing 21.3 points per game. They’ve been strong against the run, giving up just 116.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 31st in the country.
In their recent game against Cincinnati, the Wildcats allowed 15 points, while giving up 374 total yards, including 174 rushing yards on 29 attempts and 200 passing yards. They also forced one interception in the game.
- The Kansas State Wildcats have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 1-2.
- Across Kansas State’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 7-3. The team’s record vs the spread was just 4-6, in addition to an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Cyclones Can Win If…
Iowa State enters Week 14 with a 9-2 record, holding the 26th spot in our power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible and have a 29.6% chance of winning the Big 12. The Cyclones also have the 14th best odds to make the College Football Playoff, with a 26.6% chance.
The Cyclones are 4-1 at home and 4-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in nine of their 11 games, going 7-2 as the favorite. Iowa State’s average scoring margin is +11.9 points per game, and they are 6-4 against the spread this year.
This week’s over/under line is 51.5 points. Iowa State’s average over/under line has been 48.2 points, and their games have averaged 50.8 points. Their over/under record for the season is 6-4, with an average margin of +5.4 points.
Heading into week 14, Iowa State’s offense is averaging 31.4 points per game, placing them 38th in the nation. They are ranked 36th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, with 269 yards per game, ranking 26th nationally. They are 40th in passing attempts, averaging 32.7 per game, and 37th in completions, with 20.2 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 43.6%, also ranking 36th.
Quarterback Rocco Becht has thrown for 2,884 yards, with a passer rating of 95. He has completed 61.5% of his passes, with 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Leading the rushing attack is Carson Hansen, who has 560 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jayden Higgins leads the receiving corps with 1,015 yards and 8 touchdowns on 77 catches.
Heading into this week, Iowa State’s defense ranks 18th nationally, allowing 19.5 points per game. They’ve excelled against the pass, giving up just 151.2 yards per game, the 8th-lowest in the country, and holding opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 58.7, the 4th-lowest nationally.
In their recent game against Utah, Iowa State’s defense allowed 28 points but gave up just 9 first downs and 224 total yards. Utah managed 95 rushing yards on 28 attempts and 129 passing yards, completing 13 of 17 passes.
- Through their last three games, the Iowa State Cyclones have a record of 2-1. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread and posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
- Across Iowa State’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 6-4. This includes going 4-6 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 4-6.
The Lean
Kansas State comes into this game as the +3 point spread favorite on the road vs. Iowa State. We like the Wildcats to win and cover the spread, with a projected final score of 30-26 in their favor.
For the over/under, with the line set at 51.5 points, our projection of 56 points suggests that taking the over is the best play.
‘Farmageddon’ Set to Shake Up Big 12 Title Picture
When No. 24 Kansas State visits No. 18 Iowa State on Saturday, the stakes will be sky-high for one of college football’s oldest rivalries. Dubbed “Farmageddon,” this series dates back to 1917, with the two programs meeting annually for 108 consecutive years. But this year, the matchup carries extra weight, as both teams remain in the hunt for the Big 12 Championship Game.
High Stakes for Both Teams
Kansas State: A Slim Path to Glory
The Wildcats (8-3, 5-3 Big 12) enter the game with a chance—albeit a narrow one—to reach the conference championship and keep their College Football Playoff dreams alive. Coming off a dominant 41-15 win over Cincinnati, Kansas State knows it must not only win but also rely on a series of favorable outcomes in other league matchups.
Kansas State head coach Chris Klieman emphasized the importance of the moment:
“It will be a great environment, a great atmosphere. The game has meaning.”
However, fans can’t help but reflect on missed opportunities in back-to-back losses earlier this month against Houston and Arizona State. Those defeats left the Wildcats needing help from others to extend their season into championship contention.
Despite the setbacks, Klieman takes pride in his program’s consistency:
“It’s hard to win college football games. The stability and success that our staff has brought here tells a lot about the players and the men who are leading them.”
Iowa State: Eyeing History
The Cyclones (9-2, 6-2 Big 12) are chasing history, aiming for their first-ever 10-win regular season in the program’s 133-year existence. A win would keep them in contention for their first conference title since 1912, a milestone that has eluded them for over a century.
Unlike Kansas State, Iowa State’s path to the Big 12 title game is clearer: win on Saturday and hope for two of three other teams—Arizona State, BYU, and Colorado—to stumble. Head coach Matt Campbell, however, isn’t focusing on the math:
“If our football team takes care of us, then we will put ourselves in the best position to be successful. We’ll tell our story at the end of the season.”
Recent Form and Key Storylines
Kansas State: Playing with Purpose
Kansas State showcased a complete performance against Cincinnati last week, excelling in all phases of the game. A fast start will once again be critical against Iowa State in what promises to be a hostile environment in Ames.
Klieman highlighted his team’s resilience:
“Getting off to a fast start was important.”
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Iowa State: Making a Statement
Iowa State enters the game with momentum, having won four of its last six encounters against Kansas State. While the Cyclones lead the all-time series 53-50-4, the rivalry has been closely contested in recent years.
Campbell’s squad has already matched the program’s best regular-season win total, with a chance to achieve the unthinkable: a double-digit win season before even reaching a bowl game.
Key Matchups
- Kansas State’s Offense vs. Iowa State’s Defense: The Wildcats’ ability to establish an early rhythm will be tested by Iowa State’s defense, which has been the backbone of the team’s success this season.
- Iowa State’s Resilience: With history on the line, how the Cyclones handle the pressure against a formidable Kansas State squad will be crucial.
- Coaching Chess Match: Both Klieman and Campbell are seasoned leaders who have guided their programs to consistent success. Expect strategic adjustments to play a major role in this tightly contested rivalry.
What’s at Stake?
For Kansas State, the game is a last-ditch effort to keep its Big 12 title hopes alive. For Iowa State, it’s a chance to cement its place in history with a record-breaking season and a potential conference title.
“Farmageddon” has always been about pride and bragging rights, but this year, it’s about much more. When the dust settles in Ames on Saturday, one team will have taken a major step toward the Big 12 Championship, while the other will be left wondering what might have been.