Saquon Barkley Odds, Prop Bets and Predictions

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The 2024-25 NFL season has already seen many unexpected storylines and thrilling accomplishments. With NFL teams heading into the final stretch of the season, things are not only heating up in the standings and NFL Awards’ races, but also with betting on the latest NFL prop bets as well.

One player who has checked all of the boxes above, and then some, is Saquon Barkley. The electric running back is not only battling for the league lead in rushing yards, but he’s also helping to transform the Philadelphia Eagles into a legitimate NFC Championship contender as well as becoming one of the favorites in the NFL MVP race.

With Barkley trending upwards on the field, on fantasy football teams and with sports betting sites, there’s a plethora of NFL prop bets available for one of my favorite players in the league.

Let’s dive deeper into the latest Saquon Barkley prop bets and make our predictions on how the remainder of the season will play out for one of the best players in the league.

Saquon Barkley Odds

Saquon Barkley Predictions

I guess this should be the spot where I put a disclaimer saying how I’m a huge Saquon Barkley fan and have been since he took the field for my alma mater Penn State Nittany Lions.

Needless to say, I was doing cartwheels and somersaults after Barkley left the Giants. New York is and was a dumpster fire. They capped Barkley’s ceiling due to their inability to block or throw the ball.

When he went to the Eagles this offseason, I knew Barkley would go off. Give him a better offensive line and solid coaching, along with talent around him, and you are seeing what he can truly do.

Penn State head coach James Franklin echoed these comments in a recent interview:

“It’s a couple things, it’s an example of he’s at a really good place, really well-run organization, arguably the best o-line coach in the NFL (Jeff Stoutland), behind arguably one of the best offensive lines. We all knew that given the opportunity and put in a favorable situation, he’d have a chance to maximize it.”

With that in mind, let’s break down the latest Saquon Barkley prop bets and make some predictions on what could be a record-breaking season:

Will Saquon Barkley Break 2,000 Rushing Yards?

• Yes (+150)
• No (-200)

As of this writing, just prior to the Week 13 game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Baltimore Ravens, Saquon Barkley leads the NFL in rushing with 1,392 yards. He’s tallied 67 more rushing yards than second-place Derrick Henry.

However, Henry has played one more game than Barkley has, as the Ravens have yet to go on their Bye Week. That will take place in Week 14.

Barkley only needs 608 more rushing yards to hit the magical 2,000 rushing yard mark. The following eight players have joined this exclusive club:

• 1973: OJ Simpson rushed for 2,003 yards in 14 games
• 1984: Eric Dickerson set the NFL record with 2,105 yards
• 1997: Barry Sanders reached 2,053 yards
• 1998: Terrell Davis rushed for 2,008 yards
• 2003: Jamal Lewis finished with 2,066 yards
• 2009: Chris Johnson rushed for 2,006 yards
• 2012: Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP with 2,097 rushing yards
• 2020: Derrick Henry rushed for 2,027 yards

Of these eight men, despite Dickerson’s record, OJ Simpson’s total is the most impressive as he accomplished this in just 14 games. Simpson finished that season averaging 143.1 yards per game.

As you can see, Henry was the last man to rush for 2,000 yards. And, he has a legitimate chance of doing it again this season.

Turning our attention back to Barkley, he only needs 101 rushing yards per game in order to finish with 2,000 yards on the season.  

Currently, after 11 games, Barkley is averaging 126.5 yards per game. At this pace, he will eclipse 2,000 yards by the end of his 16^th game (Week 17).

I don’t expect Barkley to keep his average that high, as he will face the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers who both have elite run defenses. I would expect sub-100 yards in those games.

However, in his other four games, he’s taking on the Panthers, Commanders, Cowboys and Giants. All four of those teams have bad run defenses. In fact, the Panthers are last in the league against the run. Washington is 31^st, Dallas is 29^th and New York is 28^th against the run.

That’s four of the five worst run defenses in the league that Barkley will be able to feast on. Take the Yes option for this prop bet.

Bet: Yes (+150)

Will Saquon Barkley Break Regular Season Rushing Record?

• Yes (+350)
• No (-600)

For Barkley to break Dickerson’s record, he needs 713 more yards. That’s an average of 119 yards per game over his final six games, which is six yards per game below his current average.

As you can see from above, Barkley will face the league’s worst run defenses over those final six games. So, even if he gets limited in the matchups versus the Steelers and Ravens, Barkley will still put up huge numbers versus the Panthers, Cowboys, Giants and Commanders.

To give you a better idea of what he can do, Barkley already rushed for 176 yards against the Giants, 66 yards versus Dallas and 146 yards against Washington. That Dallas total was due to the game already being well out of hand as they won 34-6 and he didn’t play as much in the fourth quarter.

The Panthers give up 160.5 rushing yards per game, Dallas gives up 147.6 ypg, Washington allows 145.5 ypg, and the Giants allow 145.8 ypg.

As you can see, Barkley is going to have plenty of opportunities to put up yards as he feasts on these terrible defenses.

I’m taking Barkley to break the single-season record for multiple reasons. First, he has 17 games to do so. Second, he’s averaging 126.5 ypg. Third, he’s on an explosive offense where opposing defenses can’t stack the box to stop him. Fourth, he along with Josh Allen are my favorite players in the league. Yes, that last point matters the most!

Bet: Yes (+350)

Who Finishes With Most Rushing Yards?

• Saquon Barkley (+110)
• Derrick Henry (-150)

As mentioned above, Barkley has 67 more yards than Henry and has played one less game. Following Week 13, Henry will have a Bye in Week 14.

For the season, Henry will finish with games against the Giants, Steelers, Texans and Browns. Yes, the Giants and Browns are terrible teams and Henry will feast on them. However, the Steelers and Texans are strong against the run.

Barkley already has a lead in rushing yards, one more game to play, and a better slate to end the season than Henry does. Take the value with Barkley’s odds for this matchup.

Bet: Saquon Barkley (+110)

Who Finishes With Highest YPC Average?

• Saquon Barkley (-130)
• Derrick Henry (-110)

Just like with the yards tallied between both running backs, Barkley also leads Henry in yards per carry average. Currently, Barkley is at 6.2 ypc and Henry is at 6.0 ypc. I think both players will see their numbers dip a little.

However, Barkley has four of the five worst run defenses left to play, so that favors him more than Henry. Take Saquon to win this prop bet as well.

Bet: Saquon Barkley (-130)

Will Barkley & Henry Finish With 100 YPG Average?

• Yes (-150)
• No (+110)

I think this is pretty much a guarantee. Henry currently has a 110.4 ypg average, while Barkley is at 126.5 ypg. It would take multiple clunkers from both men to close out the season below 100 yards per game average. Take the Yes option before the value decreases.

Bet: Yes (-150)

Will Saquon Barkley Win NFL MVP?

• Yes (+550)
• No (NA)

Currently, the +550 odds are for Barkley’s odds to win the NFL MVP. These odds do not represent a specific prop bet available as of this writing. Barkley’s +550 odds put him behind Josh Allen (+150) and Lamar Jackson (+250).

To see my two favorite players in the hunt for the NFL MVP race is exciting. I give Allen the edge in this race up to this point. However, if Barkley breaks the NFL single season rushing record the he definitely deserves the NFL MVP.

Allen is doing more with less than Barkley. The latter is on a team with one of the top receivers in AJ Brown, one of the best offensive lines, a Top 10 QB and a Top 10 defense.

Allen has faced a great deal of injuries on offense, a strong o-line, average receivers, and a talented backfield. Buffalo also has a Top 10 defense as well.

The race between MY TWO FAVORITE players is very close. I’m going to celebrate either way. It’s rare for a non-QB to win this award which is a shame. So, it’s going to take a record-breaking season for Barkley to win the MVP.

Peterson won the MVP in 2012, after coming nine yards shy of breaking Dickerson’s record. Yet, he wasn’t facing the level of competition in the MVP race like Barkley is this year.

Even Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson is ahead of Barkley according to oddsmakers. So, Saquon will need to leap two QBs, with Jackson having won two NFL MVP awards, in order to win. It’s definitely a possibility, but it will be a tough task.

Bet: No (NA)