Lsu Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners Picks and Predictions November 30th 2024

LSU Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners November 30th 2024

LSU is the favorite in this matchup, with the point spread set at -6.5 as they host the Oklahoma Sooners at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge (LA). The game is scheduled for 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th, and ESPN will be covering the action. The over/under line is currently at 47 points. LSU comes in with a 7-4 record, while Oklahoma is 6-5 on the season.

Oklahoma vs. LSU Key Information

Oklahoma enters Week 14 with a 6-5 record, ranked 23rd in our power rankings. They are guaranteed bowl eligibility but have no chance of winning the Southeastern. The Sooners are 4-3 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

Against the spread, Oklahoma is 5-5, with a 2-1 record on the road and a 3-4 mark at home. They’ve been favored in four games, going 2-2 ATS as the favorite and 3-3 as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 47 points. Oklahoma’s games have averaged 45.2 points, with an average line of 48.5 points. Their over/under record this season is 4-6, with an average margin of -6.1 points.

Oklahoma’s offense has been underwhelming this season, ranking 92nd in our offensive power rankings and averaging just 25 points per game, placing them 72nd nationally. Their passing game has struggled, with only 172.8 yards per game, and they are 104th in third-down conversions, converting just 35.4% of their attempts.

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Quarterback Jackson Arnold has thrown for 1,311 yards, with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 90. Oklahoma is 11th in rushing attempts, averaging 41.8 per game, but they are 71st in rushing yards, with 160.5 per game. Jovantae Barnes leads the team with 577 rushing yards and five touchdowns.

Oklahoma’s defense is coming off a stellar performance, allowing just three points in their 24-3 win over Alabama. They held the Crimson Tide to 70 rushing yards on 30 attempts and picked off three passes, giving up only 234 total yards.

On the season, Oklahoma ranks 20th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 107.3 yards per game. They’re also 21st in the country, giving up 20.2 points per game.

LSU enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, hosting Oklahoma. While they have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible, they are out of the Southeastern race. The Tigers are ranked 19th in our power rankings.

LSU has been favored in seven of their 11 games, going 5-2 as the favorite. They are 3-1 at home and have a +4.3 average scoring margin this season, but their ATS record stands at 2-7.

The over/under line for this week is 47 points. LSU’s games have averaged 53 points, with an average line of 58.1 points. Their over/under record is 2-7, with games falling short by an average of 6.3 points.

LSU’s offense ranks 13th in our power rankings heading into week 14, averaging 28.6 points per game, which is 51st nationally. They have been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 3rd in passing attempts, averaging 42.4 per game. They are 5th in completions, with 27 per game, and 7th in passing yards, averaging 318.1 yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 50.3%, also 5th in the nation.

Garrett Nussmeier leads the Tigers with 3,462 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 92. LSU ranks 56th in passer rating nationally. Nussmeier has completed 63.3% of his passes. On the ground, Caden Durham has 609 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Kyren Lacy leads the receivers with 825 yards and eight touchdowns on 55 catches.

LSU’s defense has allowed 24.4 points per game this season, ranking 50th nationally. In their recent game against Vanderbilt, they gave up 17 points, allowing 308 total yards, including 122 rushing yards and 186 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 148.7 rushing yards per game on 31.2 attempts against LSU, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 88.2, averaging 214.4 passing yards per game.

Oklahoma is the +6.5 point favorite over LSU in this week 14 matchup. We have the Sooners winning 22-18, so we recommend taking Oklahoma to cover as the road underdog.

With the over/under line set at 47 points, our projection of 40 combined points suggests that taking the under is the best play.

QBs Grab Spotlight as Sooners Visit LSU

Oklahoma coach Brent Venables has vivid memories of facing LSU, even though those games weren’t in Baton Rouge.

Venables experienced the Tigers’ intensity in the 2003 Sugar Bowl and the 2019 College Football Playoff National Championship, both times as a defensive coordinator.

“It was deafening,” Venables said. “Could not hear on the headsets.”

This Saturday, Venables will finally experience Tiger Stadium firsthand as the Sooners face LSU in their regular-season finale.

Sooners Riding High

Oklahoma (6-5, 2-5 SEC) comes into the game with renewed confidence after a stunning 24-3 home victory over Alabama. The win not only shocked the SEC but also extended the Sooners’ bowl streak to 26 seasons.

Defensively, Oklahoma shined against Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe, holding him to 164 passing yards, no touchdowns, and three interceptions. On the ground, Milroe managed just 7 rushing yards on 15 carries.

LSU Looking to Build Momentum

The Tigers (7-4, 4-3 SEC) snapped a three-game losing streak last week with a 24-17 win over Vanderbilt. Now, LSU hopes to end the regular season on a high note, with the quarterback battle likely to take center stage.

LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier has been a standout this season, ranking seventh nationally with 3,458 passing yards. Known for his toughness and mobility in the pocket, Nussmeier presents a different challenge for the Sooners’ defense.

“He moves around really well,” Venables said. “They boot him, they roll him out, they dash him, they sprint him, so he can do a great job keeping his eyes down the field and throws the ball really, really well on the move.”

A Battle of Contrasting Styles

Oklahoma quarterback Jackson Arnold offers a stark contrast to Nussmeier. Arnold is a dual-threat quarterback who is coming off a career-best performance, rushing for 131 yards on 25 carries against Alabama.

LSU coach Brian Kelly acknowledged the challenge Arnold presents, especially given the Tigers’ recent struggles against mobile quarterbacks.

“I think everyone here knows our history with the quarterbacks that run the football,” Kelly said.

In recent games, Alabama’s Milroe rushed for 184 yards and four touchdowns against LSU, while Texas A&M’s Marcel Reed tallied 62 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Both games resulted in LSU losses.

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Key Matchups to Watch

Oklahoma Defense vs. Garrett Nussmeier

• Nussmeier’s ability to extend plays and stay accurate on the move will test a Sooners defense that excelled against Alabama’s aerial attack.

LSU Run Defense vs. Jackson Arnold

• LSU must improve its run defense to limit Arnold, especially after being burned by mobile quarterbacks in previous weeks.

Momentum and Execution

• Oklahoma’s confidence is riding high, but LSU’s Tiger Stadium provides one of the toughest environments in college football. Execution under pressure will be pivotal.

Final Showdown in Baton Rouge

This SEC clash offers a compelling quarterback duel and a battle of defenses with plenty on the line. Oklahoma looks to cap its rollercoaster season with another statement win, while LSU aims to secure its eighth victory and enter bowl season on a positive note. Expect a high-stakes battle in one of the most iconic settings in college football.