Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks November 30th 2024
ESPN2 will be covering this week 14 matchup between the Kansas Jayhawks and Baylor Bears, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from McLane Stadium in Waco. The Jayhawks are the slight -1 point underdogs on the road. The over/under line is currently at 61.5 points. Kansas comes in with a 5-6 record, while Baylor is 7-4 on the season.
Kansas vs. Baylor Key Information
- Teams: Jayhawks at Bears
- Where: McLane Stadium Waco
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds BAYL -116 | KAN -104 O/U 61.5
The Jayhawks Can Win If…
Kansas enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, needing a win against Baylor to become bowl-eligible. They are 3-2 at home and 1-4 on the road this season. The Jayhawks have been favored in four games, going 1-3 as the favorite and 3-3 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +6.5 points per game, and they are ranked 28th in our power rankings.
Against the spread, Kansas is 5-5, with a 3-2 record at home and 2-3 on the road. They are 1-3 ATS as the favorite and 4-2 as the underdog this season.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 61.5, the highest they’ve faced all season. Kansas’ over/under record is 5-5, with their games averaging 55.1 points, just above their average line of 55 points.
Heading into week 14, Kansas ranks 41st in points per game, averaging 30.8, but they are 14th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is key, with 213.8 rushing yards per game on 37.7 attempts.
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Devin Neal leads the ground attack with 1,133 rushing yards, 15 touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. On the passing side, Jalon Daniels has thrown for 2,174 yards with 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
Heading into their matchup with Baylor, Kansas’ defense ranks 49th nationally, allowing 24.3 points per game. They’ve given up 232.6 passing yards per game (111th) and a passer rating of 91.6, with opponents completing 61.3% of their throws. On the ground, Kansas has faced 32.1 rushing attempts per game, allowing 143 yards per contest.
In their recent game against Colorado, Kansas’ defense allowed 21 points but limited the Buffaloes to just 43 rushing yards on 12 attempts. Colorado threw the ball 29 times, completing 23 passes for 266 yards and three touchdowns.
- Over their last three games, the Kansas Jayhawks have gone 3-0 straight up. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
- The Kansas Jayhawks have gone 4-6 over their last ten regular season games. Across these games, their ATS record was just 5-5, while posting an over-under record of 5-5.
The Bears Can Win If…
Baylor enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, and they are 100% bowl-eligible. They’ve gone 3-1 at home and 3-2 on the road this season. The Bears have been favored in six of their 11 games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +7.7 points per game.
Against the spread, Baylor is 7-2, covering in four of five road games and three of four home games. As the favorite, they’ve gone 5-1 ATS this season.
This week’s over/under line is set at 61.5 points. Baylor’s games have averaged 59.7 points, with an average over/under line of 53.5 points. Their over/under record for the season is 6-3.
Heading into week 14, Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.7 points per game, placing them 24th in the nation. They are ranked 32nd in our offensive power rankings. Sawyer Robertson leads the team with 2,316 passing yards, 22 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 102.
Baylor ranks 48th in passing yards per game, averaging 240.2 yards, and they convert 40.5% of their third downs. On the ground, they average 182 rushing yards per game. Bryson Washington has rushed for 812 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron leads the receivers with 541 yards and 8 touchdowns.
Baylor’s defense played a key role in their recent 20-10 win over Houston, allowing just 10 points and forcing three interceptions. They limited Houston to 239 total yards, including 92 rushing yards on 26 attempts and 147 passing yards.
For the season, Baylor ranks 59th nationally, giving up 26 points per game. They’ve allowed 151.5 rushing yards per game and 222.6 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 56% of their throws and posting a passer rating of 77.5.
- Through their last three games, the Baylor Bears have a record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 3-0 over-under mark.
- Baylor has put together a record of 4-6 in their last ten games (regular season). This includes going 5-5 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Lean
Our projections have Kansas winning this matchup 29-28 on the road vs. Baylor. Even though Kansas comes in as a +1 point underdog, we see them as the better pick to win straight-up. For a point spread pick, we like Kansas to cover as the road underdog.
With the over/under line sitting at 61.5 points, we have these teams combining for 57 points, making the under the best play for this line.
Surging Baylor Looks to Continue Winning Ways in Clash vs. Kansas
Two of the hottest teams in college football, Baylor and Kansas, face off in a pivotal Big 12 matchup on Saturday in Waco, Texas. Both squads bring significant momentum into the game, with postseason implications hanging in the balance.
Baylor Eyes Big 12 Championship Hope
The Bears (7-4, 5-3 Big 12) remain mathematically alive for a spot in the Big 12 championship game, though the path requires a win against Kansas and a highly unlikely scenario of an eight-team tie atop the standings.
Baylor has been on a tear, winning five straight games after a 2-4 start. Last week, the Bears secured a 20-10 road victory over Houston, powered by a strong defensive performance and a balanced offensive attack. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson threw for 204 yards and two touchdowns, while running back Bryson Washington contributed 113 yards on 28 carries.
“I never lost faith in the team,” Baylor defensive tackle Elinus Noel III said. “There were a couple of things that we had to fine-tune. We’ve gotten better at cleaning that up, and it’s starting to show. We’ve still got a lot further to go.”
Kansas Looks to Punch Bowl Ticket
Kansas (5-6, 4-4) has staged an incredible turnaround after starting the season 1-5. The Jayhawks have won three straight games, all against ranked opponents, including a statement 37-21 victory over Colorado last week in Kansas City.
With a win on Saturday, the Jayhawks will become bowl eligible, capping a remarkable resurgence.
“I’m so proud of this group and our coaching staff because so many people had written this team off,” Kansas coach Lance Leipold said. “But this group stuck together, stayed committed to the process and has everything we asked of them.”
Key Players to Watch
Baylor
- Sawyer Robertson: The Bears’ quarterback has gained confidence during their winning streak and will look to continue his steady play.
- Bryson Washington: The freshman running back has been a workhorse, providing consistent production in the backfield.
- Baylor Defense: The unit limited Houston to just 239 total yards last week and has been a critical factor in the team’s recent success.
Kansas
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- Devin Neal: The star running back rushed for 207 yards and three touchdowns against Colorado while adding 80 receiving yards and a score. Neal’s dominant performance earned him Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week honors.
- Kansas Defense: The Jayhawks will need another stout effort to slow down Baylor’s balanced attack and keep their bowl hopes alive.
A Battle of Resilience
Both teams have overcome adversity this season to put themselves in a position to achieve their goals. For Baylor, it’s about continuing their late-season surge and keeping their Big 12 title hopes alive. For Kansas, it’s an opportunity to complete a stunning turnaround and punch their ticket to a bowl game.
The showdown in Waco promises to be a hard-fought contest with no shortage of drama.