Phoenix-suns vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions November 30th 2024

Phoenix-Suns vs Golden State Warriors NBA Sat, Nov 30, 21:00 pm.
Phoenix-Suns
ML: -150
0
0
Golden State Warriors
ML: 130
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At 9:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (12-6) will travel to Phoenix to take on the Suns (10-8) in a Western Pacific division matchup. The Suns (-162) are favored by 3.5 points over the Warriors (+136), and the over/under line is set at 232.5.

Golden State has lost three straight games and is currently 3rd in the Western Conference. On the other side, Phoenix is 9th in the West and has dropped two of their last three contests.

Warriors vs. Suns Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns
  • Where: Phoenix at Footprint Center
  • Date: Saturday, November 30th
  • Betting Odds PHO -3.5, GS +136 | PHO -162 O/U 232.5

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors fell to 12-6 on the season after a 105-101 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday. Golden State was +4.5 point underdogs at home and covered the spread, but couldn’t pull off the win. The total score of 206 points was well below the O/U line of 224.5.

Oklahoma City’s 10-0 run early in the game set the tone, as they jumped ahead 22-16. Golden State responded by winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters, taking an 83-84 deficit into the 4th. However, the Thunder edged them out 21-18 in the final period to seal the win.

In their 105-101 loss to the Thunder, the Warriors shot just 35.7% from the field, with a three-point percentage of 32%. Despite the struggles, they hit 16 threes, with Buddy Hield connecting on 5 of 8 attempts.

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Jonathan Kuminga led the Warriors with 19 points, including 10 in the 2nd quarter and 9 more in the 3rd. Andrew Wiggins added 16 points, 11 of which came in the opening period.

Despite a rough start, giving up 39 points in the 1st quarter, the Warriors tightened up defensively, allowing just 66 points over the final three quarters. They held the Thunder to 23 points in the 2nd, 22 in the 3rd, and 21 in the 4th.

Golden State did a great job defending the three, holding Oklahoma City to 11 made threes on 29% shooting. The Thunder also went 16/26 from the free-throw line. The Warriors finished with 39 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 6 blocks.

  • Across their three previous road games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 101 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Golden State has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Over their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Suns Can Win If…

The Suns fell to 10-8 on the season after a 127-117 loss to the Nets on Wednesday. Phoenix, who were -9.5 point favorites at home, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 244 points exceeded the O/U line of 220.5 by 23.5 points.

Brooklyn took control with a 12-0 run, turning a 71-66 deficit into a 78-71 lead. The Suns were down 96-84 going into the 4th quarter and outscored the Nets 33-31 in the final period, but it wasn’t enough to complete a comeback.

Devin Booker led the Suns with 31 points in their loss to the Nets, adding 11 points in the 1st quarter and 9 more in the 4th. Kevin Durant contributed 30 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter and another 9 in the final period.

Bradley Beal added 17 points, scoring 6 in both the 2nd and 4th quarters. As a team, the Suns shot 53.2% from the field and made 12 threes at a 38.7% clip.

The Suns couldn’t find a way to slow down the Nets on Wednesday, giving up 127 points in the loss. They allowed 34 points in the 1st quarter and 33 in the 3rd, with Brooklyn shooting 50% from the field overall.

Phoenix struggled to defend the three-point line, where the Nets hit 18 threes at a 42% clip. Brooklyn also went to the line 22 times, making 21 free throws. The Suns finished with 34 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 5 blocks.

  • Through their last three home contests, the Suns offense has averaged 101 points per game while allowing an average of 115. Phoenix posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, Phoenix has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 4-1.
  • In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re calling a win for the Suns, with a final score of 140-119, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Suns at -3.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 232.5, and our model projects the Warriors and Suns to reach a combined total of 259 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry Both Expected to Go as Suns Host Warriors

Suns Look to Rebound Against Warriors in High-Profile Matchup

The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors, two Western Conference powerhouses aiming to reverse recent fortunes, square off Saturday night in Phoenix. Both teams suffered home losses to the Brooklyn Nets earlier this week, but the spotlight is on the anticipated head-to-head clash of former teammates Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry.

Durant’s Impactful Return

Kevin Durant rejoined the Suns lineup Tuesday after missing seven games due to a strained calf. Phoenix struggled in his absence, going 1-6, but his return immediately reinvigorated the team with a dominant 127-100 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers. Durant contributed 23 points in his comeback and followed it up with a 30-point effort the next night, though it wasn’t enough to prevent a 127-117 loss to Brooklyn.

Durant was critical of his own performance after the loss to the Nets, specifically pointing out his seven turnovers.

“That’s the game,” Durant said while reviewing the stat sheet. “I can’t have seven turnovers if we want to win.”

Turnovers have been a persistent issue for the Suns during their recent slide, and they’ll need to clean things up against the Warriors’ disruptive defense.

Warriors’ Turnover Troubles

Golden State has struggled with turnovers during its current three-game losing streak, having committed more giveaways than their opponents in each loss. The Warriors, once boasting a 12-3 record, have slipped to 12-6 following defeats to the San Antonio Spurs, Brooklyn Nets, and Oklahoma City Thunder.

Stephen Curry missed Wednesday’s 105-101 loss to the Thunder due to sore knees but is expected to play against Phoenix. Despite his absence, the game highlighted the promise of reserve guard Pat Spencer, whose energy and court vision earned high praise from coach Steve Kerr.

“Fantastic,” Kerr said of Spencer’s performance. “You love to see a guy just come in and play with great force and energy, and push the ball, and find shooters. He just plays the game.”

Curry, however, will be the focal point upon his return. While he’s averaged three turnovers per game in his past 10 outings, his scoring and leadership remain crucial to Golden State’s success.

A Rare Durant vs. Curry Showdown

Durant and Curry have faced each other just six times since Durant departed Golden State in 2019. In those games, Durant’s teams hold a 4-2 edge, with two wins each during his stints with the Nets and Suns. Curry has outscored Durant 157-135 in those contests, highlighting the star power each brings to the rivalry.

This matchup marks their first meeting of the 2023-24 season, and fans eagerly anticipate the clash between the two former teammates who led the Warriors to championships in 2017 and 2018.

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History and Playoff Implications

While the Suns and Warriors have not met in the postseason in recent years, both teams remain contenders in the West. The last playoff meeting between the two franchises dates back to 1994, long before Curry and Durant were household names.

For Phoenix, this game represents an opportunity to stabilize after Durant’s injury hiatus. Golden State, meanwhile, hopes to break out of its slump and avoid falling further behind in the competitive Pacific Division standings.

With Durant and Curry both expected to take the floor, Saturday’s showdown promises to be a must-watch event for basketball fans.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Fri, Nov 29, 20:10 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Phoenix-Suns
-2.5
-110
-150
O 231.5
105
Golden State Warriors
+2.5
-110
130
U 231.5
-125
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