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Week 7 of the college football season is a bit tamer than Week 6, but that doesn’t mean that there aren’t a bunch of great bets on the board here. Let’s break down some of the best totals bets on the slate.
Learn how to bet on game totals.
TCU vs. Oklahoma Week 7 Total
TCU vs. Oklahoma Over/Under Pick
Best Bet: OVER 65 Points
I love this number. TCU is a fine football team with multiple explosive athletes on the field and I think that is very important against this Oklahoma defense. Oklahoma is a defense dealing with some injuries in the back seven and the bad cornerback play was on display last week and I think that TCU will be able to exploit this a bit with Taye Barber and Zach Evans.
On the other side of the ball, Oklahoma seems to be making the transition to Caleb Williams at QB and I think that this switch is pretty clearly beneficial to overall points in this game for a multitude of reasons. Williams is an elite athlete playing QB and this means that he is more than willing to try and make massive plays downfield like we saw last week and his rushing ability makes this offense more dynamic. I also think that he is a true freshman and mistakes can occur, which would only increase scoring overall assuming those turnovers don’t come exclusively in the red zone.
Speaking of the red zone, I think that Williams’ skill set is better around the goal line than Rattlers in general and we’ve seen Williams used in short-yardage already this year. If we can see them revert this offense back to a more Jalen Hurts style team with a lot of open downfield passes and QB runs. I expect the overall point totals to look more similar to 2018-2019 Oklahoma.
Army vs Wisconsin Week 7 Total
Army vs. Wisconsin Over/Under Pick
Best Bet: UNDER 39.5 Points
This is a very scary number, but let’s have some perspective here when it comes to these 2 teams. The explosiveness just does not exist in these offenses, especially against the opposing defense that will be on the field here. Wisconsin has played 5 games this season and the most points scored by the losing team in any of the 5 games is 17. Basically, either Wisconsin can’t score or their opponent can’t score, not to mention both.
Army’s triple-option offense is usually a pain in the neck for most college defenses. Wisconsin wants nothing more than to play in a phone booth with a team that will not throw the ball at all over the top. We saw last week when Wisconsin played at Illinois that their run defense is more than elite, especially when they cannot get beaten in the passing game.
Wisconsin is also a team that will kill the clock the first second that they get and so is Army for that matter. These teams are going to run, run, and run again and we could see multiple possessions that last 8+ minutes in this game, meaning that even efficient performances let us get the under.
Texas A&M vs. Missouri Week 7 Total
Texas A&M vs. Missouri Over/Under Pick
Best Bet: OVER 59 Points
TAMU had a monster game last week vs. Alabama and it’ll be interesting to see how they respond to what seems like their best offensive performance in 10 years. This could also be seen as a letdown game and reasonably so. However, this Mizzou defense is BAD and the run defense is INCREDIBLY BAD. I expect to see TAMU get 40+ here and Mizzou’s offensive talent will get them to where they need to be.
Ole Miss vs. Tennessee Week 7 Total
Ole Miss vs. Tennessee Over/Under Pick
Best Bet: OVER 82 Points
This is another scary, scary line to target this week, but I lean towards the over here because of the offensive minds at coach and my confidence in them making smart and aggressive decisions when necessary. We saw Ole Miss do this vs. Alabama and fail to score enough because of it. However, they understood that if they didn’t overperform in those scenarios, they weren’t winning anyways. I also think that these coaches are understanding that point will be very necessary for this game and will game plan accordingly.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Week 7 Total
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Over/Under Pick
Best Bet: Over 57.5 Points
I think that this game goes one of 2 ways and I think that both of them hit the over, so this is a great spot to me. Alabama lost last week and that means that we will either see a bounce-back game or continued struggles.
If Alabama has a bounce-back game, this offense could score 50 alone and I think that 40 is basically the assumption in a big win. We have seen them willing to sit on the ball, but I think that getting the team in rhythm will be a point of emphasis for this coaching staff.
If they do struggle again, I think we see a legitimately close game and that will come with Mississippi State scoring. Alabama isn’t playing a 28-24 game with anyone in the country outside of the best 5 defenses in the country if that. In any game script, we know Mississippi State will be passing CONSTANTLY, meaning that the clock should stop plenty if they do have the ball.
