Week 8 of the college football season and we are now into the thick of conference play. What we need to target at this point in the season are things like team dynamics, changes, more technical details than just a number that looks too high or low. As the books will get sharper as the year goes on, we have to target things that the books struggle with more.
Clemson vs. Pittsburgh Week 8 Total
Clemson vs. Pittsburgh Predictions
Best Bet: OVER 48.5 Points
I think that this is a very interesting game for a bunch of reasons, but the total is the one that I am most interested in. Kenny Pickett is an ACC journeyman turned star late in his career who is looking to gain draft hype, award recognition, and simply his best win in his career on Saturday afternoon.
I like the over in this game for a few reasons. While I think that Clemson is in a very bad spot offensively, I do think that they have still run a bit bad when it comes to making the big plays. Clemson has just never really gotten in a rhythm offensively this year and this has resulted in a lack of explosiveness even when the receivers DO win. The Tigers’ receiving group has struggled this year, but even when they do get open, they aren’t being thrown to accurately enough.
I also think that Clemson’s defense looked very, very “leaky” against Boston College and the Syracuse game just had no explosive threats through the air. I think that Pitt should be able to exploit these issues that Clemson has flashed in recent weeks and I want to capitalize on these gaps.
Tennessee vs. Alabama Week 8 Total
Tennessee vs. Alabama Predictions
Best Bet: OVER 67 Points
I am a pretty big fan of Alabama overs at this point in the season for a few reasons. We have seen their pass rush and their pass blocking struggle more than they have in recent years and I think that this actually just increases the number of snaps in the game, especially for an opponent. Alabama also needs to look good to make as good of a case as possible for a playoff spot.
For Tennessee, we could see Joe Milton out there, which would definitely be a bit of an unknown, but I am okay with embracing that in this game with the talent on each roster. Really, with an offense like Tennessee’s, either they are going to be moving the ball or the other team is going to get a LOT of possessions. Both ways get the total around 60ish to me. The question is can Tennessee get over this 67 number?
I think that the answer is yes due to Alabama’s poor line play. Alabama doesn’t look like a big bully this year. They look more like a much more talented older brother. If Tennessee can move the ball on the ground efficiently at all here, we’ll hit the over.
Ohio State vs. Indiana Week 8 Total
Best Bet: OVER 60.5 Points
Ohio State has not punted with the starters since CJ Stroud came back from a shoulder injury. I think that they will score 50 again and we will coast to an over barring an Indiana shutout. This one is easy.
Wisconsin vs. Purdue Week 8 Total
Wisconsin vs. Purdue Predictions
Best Bet: UNDER 40.5 Points
I think that this line is 2 or 3 points too high given the defensive nature of each team. I definitely prefer the Boilermakers in this spot because we could see David Bell dominate in this game, but either way, how do we expect these teams to move the ball with any consistency at ALL? Just take the under and fade an explosive Wisconsin play.
Cincinnati vs. Navy Week 8 Total
Cincinnati vs. Navy Predictions
Best Bet: UNDER 49 Points
Just take the option under here. Navy will grind out the clock all game long and while Cincy will want an impressive win, I think that they can get it by winning 38-0 and not breaking much of a sweat. If the game is close, it’s because Cincy isn’t great on offense. That’s even better.