North Carolina Tar Heels vs Smu Mustangs Picks and Predictions January 7th 2025

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Can UNC Ride Momentum from Dramatic Win Into SMU Matchup?

The North Carolina Tar Heels return home to face the SMU Mustangs on Tuesday night in Chapel Hill. UNC is coming off a thrilling last-second win over Notre Dame, while SMU looks to rebound from a blowout loss to Duke. Both teams are eager to make a statement in this intriguing non-conference showdown.

The Tar Heels (9-6, 2-1 ACC) secured an electrifying 74-73 victory over Notre Dame on Saturday, thanks to Elliot Cadeau’s game-winning four-point play with 4.8 seconds left.

  • Key Performers:
    • Ian Jackson led UNC with 27 points in the win, while Cadeau delivered in the clutch.
    • RJ Davis, however, has been struggling offensively. His scoring has dipped from 21.2 points per game last season to 17.7 this year, largely due to a drop in 3-point shooting (26.8% this season).
  • Defensive Challenges: UNC’s defense has been a glaring weakness, allowing 79.2 points per game, ranking near the bottom nationally.

Coach Hubert Davis stressed the need for defensive improvement:

“Not just for SMU, but moving forward for the remainder of the year, everything is going to be tied to how good of a defensive team we are.”

SMU Mustangs: Resetting After a Tough Loss

The Mustangs (11-3, 2-1 AAC) had their seven-game winning streak snapped in an 89-62 loss to Duke on Saturday. Despite the blowout, SMU remains a dangerous team with standout performers and a solid defensive foundation.

  • Key Performers:
    • Kevin Miller continues to be the engine for SMU, averaging 15.8 points and 5.9 assists per game. He dropped 21 points against Duke despite the team’s struggles.
  • Defensive Strengths: SMU has held opponents to 40.6% shooting this season, though they allowed Duke to shoot 53.2%.
  • Coach’s Perspective: Andy Enfield focused on the bigger picture after the loss:”One game doesn’t make or break your season. We’ll see what we can do to improve and get ready for (North Carolina).”
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Offensive Firepower

Both teams boast talented scorers. UNC will rely on Ian Jackson, Cadeau, and Davis to lead their attack, while SMU’s Kevin Miller is a consistent threat.

Defensive Adjustments

UNC’s struggles on defense could open the door for SMU, but if the Mustangs fail to recover their defensive form after the Duke game, UNC’s offense could dominate.

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  • Why UNC Could Win:
    • Momentum from their dramatic win over Notre Dame.
    • Home-court advantage and offensive firepower led by Cadeau and Jackson.
  • Why SMU Could Win:
    • Kevin Miller’s ability to exploit UNC’s defensive issues.
    • SMU’s potential to rebound defensively and force turnovers.

This game is a clash of resilience and adjustments. UNC hopes to build on their thrilling win and tighten their defense, while SMU aims to bounce back and prove their loss to Duke was an outlier.

Will the Tar Heels ride their momentum to another win, or can the Mustangs regroup and pull off a road upset? This game is shaping up to be an exciting battle in Chapel Hill.

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North Carolina Tar Heels
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SMU Mustangs
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