Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers Picks and Predictions January 12th 2025

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers January 12th 2025

The Eagles are favored by -5 in their Wild Card round matchup against the Packers, which kicks off at 4:30 ET on Sunday, January 12th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Eagles’ money line odds are -237, while the Packers’ money line odds are +199. This NFC matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 46 points.

Green Bay vs. Philadelphia Key Information

• Teams: Packers at Eagles
• Where: Lincoln Financial Field Philadelphia
• Date: Sunday, January 12th
• Betting Odds PHI -237 | GB +199 O/U 46

The Packers Can Win If…

After finishing the regular season with an 11-6 record, the Packers enter the playoffs as the NFC’s 7th seed. They rank 3rd in our power rankings and have a +7.2 scoring margin. Against the spread, Green Bay is 8-8-1, and their O/U record is also 8-8-1, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Green Bay ended the regular season with two straight losses, including a 24-22 home loss to the Bears in week 18. The Packers were favored by 10 points but couldn’t secure the win. In week 17, they lost 27-25 to the Vikings, failing to cover the 0.5-point spread as favorites.

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Packers are 10th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 8th in the NFL in points per game (27.1) and 5th in yards per game (370.5). Green Bay has leaned on the run game, ranking 5th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game (146.8). Despite ranking 3rd in red zone attempts, they are 27th in red zone conversion percentage (8.7%).

In the first quarter, the Packers are 3rd in the NFL in scoring. They also rank 14th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 39.5% success rate. Jordan Love is questionable for the Wild Card round with an elbow injury, after throwing for 3,389 yards and 25 touchdowns this season.

In their 24-22 loss to the Bears, the Packers’ defense gave up 141 passing yards on 21 completions. The Bears managed just 83 rushing yards on 26 attempts, averaging 3.2 yards per attempt. Despite this, the Packers allowed Chicago to convert 50% of their third down attempts.

Green Bay’s defense picked off one pass, and the Bears finished with a total of 224 yards. The Packers’ defense also limited Chicago to 4.7 yards per pass attempt and allowed just one passing touchdown.

• Across Green Bay’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 2-1.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Packers have gone 6-4 straight up. Across these games, their ATS record was just 4-5-1, while posting an over-under record of 5-5.

The Eagles Can Win If…

After a week 2 loss to the Falcons, the Eagles bounced back with two straight wins to finish the season 14-3, putting them 2nd in the NFC and 1st in the NFC East. In week 1, they narrowly defeated the Packers 34-29, covering the 1.5-point spread. The O/U line was 49.5, and the teams combined for 63 points. In week 3, they beat the Saints 15-12, covering as 2.5-point underdogs.

Heading into the playoffs, the Eagles rank 5th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +9.4 and are 11-6 ATS this season. Their O/U record is 7-10, with their games averaging 45.1 points (O/U line: 45).

Jalen Hurts threw for 311 yards on 29/38 passing in week 3, but he didn’t find the end zone and threw one interception while being sacked four times. Dallas Goedert led the team with 10 catches for 170 yards. Saquon Barkley rushed for 147 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries.

Philadelphia ranks 4th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the league in points per game (27.2) and 8th in yards per game (367.2). The Eagles rely heavily on the run game, leading the NFL in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 179.3.

In their 20-13 win over the Giants, the Eagles’ defense allowed just 138 passing yards. New York completed 22 passes and averaged only 4.8 yards per attempt. However, the Eagles did allow one passing touchdown and were unable to generate any sacks. The Eagles’ run defense held up well, allowing just 100 yards on 25 attempts.

Despite their strong performance against the pass, the Eagles allowed the Giants to convert 28.6% of their third down attempts. Additionally, Philadelphia’s defense allowed a high completion percentage of 75.9%.

• Philadelphia will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 3-0 over their past three games. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
• Philadelphia has put together a record of 8-2 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record against the spread in this stretch is 5-5 to go along with an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Lean

Our pick vs. the spread in this Eagles vs. Packers playoff matchup is to take the Packers to cover as road underdogs. The point spread lines have the Eagles at -5, and with our projected final score being 24-22 in favor of Philadelphia, we like the Packers to cover at +5.

For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 46 points, which matches the current O/U line of 46 points.

Eagles and Packers Clash in NFC Wild-Card Rematch

The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers will rekindle their playoff rivalry Sunday night when they meet at Lincoln Financial Field in an NFC wild-card showdown. With both teams boasting championship aspirations, the clash offers a high-stakes rematch of their Week 1 thriller in Brazil.

Revisiting Their Regular-Season Showdown

The Eagles opened their season with a 34-29 victory over the Packers in Sao Paulo, Brazil, behind a dominant performance from Saquon Barkley. The NFL’s 2024 rushing champion accumulated 109 yards on the ground and scored three total touchdowns, including an 18-yard reception.

Quarterback Jalen Hurts threw for 278 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Green Bay’s Jordan Love countered with 260 yards, two TDs, and one interception. Both offenses were productive, with Green Bay slightly outgaining Philadelphia 414-410.

Green Bay’s Jayden Reed had a breakout performance, posting 171 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns in the losing effort.

Injury Updates: Hurts and Love

The Eagles received a boost Wednesday when Jalen Hurts returned to practice for the first time since sustaining a concussion in Week 16 against Washington. Hurts, who led Philadelphia to the Super Bowl in 2022, aims to shake off rust after missing significant time.

“This is why you practice,” Eagles coach Nick Sirianni said. “We feel like we practice at a very high-intensity level. This is why you go out there and do these things.”

For Green Bay, Jordan Love practiced on a limited basis after leaving the Week 18 game against Chicago with an elbow injury. Love, who made his playoff debut last season, remains hopeful to start Sunday:

“We’ll see. Yeah, I’m hopeful,” Love said after practice.

Key Matchups

Eagles’ Defense vs. Packers’ Playmakers

Philadelphia’s defense, ranked first in total defense (278.4 yards per game) and second in scoring defense (17.8 points per game), will aim to limit Green Bay’s dynamic offense. The Packers finished fifth in total offense (370.8 yards per game) and feature playmakers like Jayden Reed and running back Aaron Jones.

With the loss of wide receiver Christian Watson (ACL), Green Bay will lean on Romeo Doubs, who is expected to return after missing the regular-season finale.

Barkley’s Impact

Saquon Barkley remains the centerpiece of Philadelphia’s offense, and his versatility was evident in the Week 1 matchup. Green Bay coach Matt LaFleur acknowledged the challenge:

“They got a lot of playmakers, so you just gotta be on all your details and try to eliminate as much space as possible,” LaFleur said.

Turnover Battle

Both teams excel at protecting the ball, with Green Bay tying for third in the NFL with a plus-12 turnover margin. The Eagles’ ability to force turnovers could prove decisive in a closely contested playoff game.

Dive into Expert Insights and Strategies for the NFL Wild Card Round’s Biggest Games

What’s at Stake

Sunday’s game marks the first playoff meeting between these storied franchises since the Packers’ 21-16 wild-card win in Philadelphia during the 2010 season, which preceded their Super Bowl XLV championship.

Philadelphia, boasting a 14-3 record, is aiming to recapture its Super Bowl form under Nick Sirianni. Meanwhile, Green Bay, led by Matt LaFleur, is looking to make a deep playoff run after falling short in the divisional round last season.

With two elite teams set to collide, Sunday night promises a postseason battle that could write the first chapter of another championship journey.