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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets January 14th 2025
At 9:30 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-178) will travel to take on the Dallas Mavericks (+149) in a Western Conference matchup. The Nuggets (-4.5) are currently 4th in the West and have won three straight, while the Mavericks are 5th in the conference and 3rd in the Southwest Division.
This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and can be seen on TNT. The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 232.5 points.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
- Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
- Date: Tuesday, January 14th
- Betting Odds DEN -4.5, DEN -178 | DAL +149 O/U 232.5
The Nuggets Can Win If…
The Nuggets improved to 23-15 this season with a 112-101 road win over the Mavericks on Sunday. Denver, favored by 5.5 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 213 points fell short of the 232.5 O/U line.
Dallas jumped out to a 21-3 lead, but Denver responded with a 41-29 2nd quarter. After falling behind 89-79 in the 3rd, the Nuggets dominated the 4th, holding the Mavericks to 12 points while scoring 33 to seal the win.
Russell Westbrook led the Nuggets with 21 points, 10 rebounds, and 7 assists in their win over the Mavericks, shooting 58.8% from the field. Nikola Jokic added 19 points and 18 rebounds, while Jamal Murray contributed 17 points, including 8 in the 4th quarter.
Denver struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 7 threes at 21.9%, but shot 48.9% overall. Westbrook scored 8 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, and Murray also added 8 in the final period.
Despite a slow start, the Nuggets tightened up defensively in the 4th quarter, allowing just 12 points to secure a 112-101 win over the Mavericks. Denver held Dallas to 41% shooting from the field.
The Nuggets limited the Mavericks to 12 three-pointers on 35% shooting. Denver also collected 40 defensive rebounds while giving up 8 offensive boards. They added 6 steals and 5 blocks.
- The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
- Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
The Mavericks Can Win If…
The Mavericks fell to 22-17 on the season after a 112-101 loss to the Nuggets on Sunday. Dallas, who were +5.5 point underdogs at home, failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 213, falling short of the 232.5 O/U line.
Dallas started strong, going on a 10-0 run early and leading 32-17 after the 1st quarter. However, Denver outscored them 41-29 in the 2nd quarter. After a solid 3rd quarter, where Dallas held Denver to 21 points, the Mavericks collapsed in the 4th, scoring just 12 points while allowing 33.
In their 112-101 loss to the Nuggets, the Mavericks shot just 41.2% from the field, with 12 made threes at a 35.3% clip. Klay Thompson led the way, hitting 6 threes at 46.2%, finishing with 25 points and 6 rebounds.
Naji Marshall and Spencer Dinwiddie each contributed 16 points, with Dinwiddie adding 10 assists despite shooting 30.8%. Thompson scored 11 points in the 3rd quarter, while Dinwiddie and Marshall added 6 points each in the final period.
The Mavericks’ defense had a strong 1st and 3rd quarter, but a rough 2nd and 4th led to a 112-101 loss to the Nuggets. They allowed 41 points in the 2nd quarter and 33 in the 4th, with Denver shooting 48% from the field overall.
Dallas did well defending the three, holding the Nuggets to 21% shooting and just 7 made threes. The Mavericks also sent Denver to the line 20 times, where they made 13 free throws. Dallas finished with 7 steals and 5 blocks.
- Across the Mavericks last three home games, the team averaged 101 points per game while allowing 113. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
- Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
- In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Not only do we have the Nuggets winning this one by a score of 129-112, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Nuggets at -4.5.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 232.5, and our model projects the Nuggets and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 241 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
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Nuggets Look to Stay Hot, Mavericks Aim to Regroup in Dallas Rematch
The Denver Nuggets are on a roll, and they’re heading into Dallas on Tuesday night to face the Mavericks for the second time in three days. After a dominant fourth-quarter comeback on Sunday, Denver is riding high, while Dallas is trying to figure things out without their two biggest stars.
Denver: Jokic Doing MVP Things
The Nuggets have been on fire lately, winning three in a row and seven of their last nine games. Sunday’s 112-101 win over Dallas was a classic Denver performance, with Nikola Jokic nearly notching another triple-double.
- Jokic Keeps Dominating:
- The reigning MVP is putting up career-best numbers this season, averaging 31.2 points per game and hitting 47.1% of his 3-pointers. On Sunday, he dropped 19 points, grabbed 18 boards, and dished out nine assists. Oh, and don’t forget his three steals.
- “He’s doing everything,” said Nuggets coach Michael Malone. “Scoring, passing, rebounding—he’s just unique.”
- Aaron Gordon’s Back:
- After missing nine games with a calf injury, Gordon returned on Sunday, scoring 13 points and adding six rebounds.
Coach Malone is loving this back-to-back setup in Dallas. “It’s like a mini-playoff series,” he said. “No travel, just focus, and a chance to fine-tune our game.”
Dallas: Fighting Without Luka and Kyrie
The Mavericks have hit a rough patch, losing six of their last eight games. Injuries to Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving haven’t helped, but coach Jason Kidd is looking on the bright side.
- Luka’s Absence:
- Luka’s left calf strain has sidelined him since Christmas, and he’s set to be re-evaluated on Jan. 27. Unfortunately, missing Tuesday’s game means he’s out of the running for MVP due to the 65-game eligibility rule.
- “We need him back, not for individual awards, but to help us win a championship,” Kidd said.
- Kyrie Out Too:
- Irving’s back sprain has left the Mavs without their second star, but Kidd sees it as a chance for others to step up.
- Klay Thompson Steps Up:
- Thompson had his best game in weeks on Sunday, scoring 25 points and hitting six 3-pointers. But the team’s 19-point lead evaporated in the fourth quarter, a trend they’ll need to fix fast.
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What to Watch
- Jokic vs. the Mavs Defense:
- Jokic has been unstoppable, and Dallas will need to find a way to slow him down if they want to compete.
- Can Dallas’ Role Players Deliver?
- With Luka and Kyrie out, it’s up to guys like Thompson to carry the load.
- Season Series Finale:
- Denver leads the season series 2-1, and this is the last regular-season matchup between the teams.
The Bottom Line
Denver is firing on all cylinders, and Jokic is playing at an MVP level. Dallas, meanwhile, is just trying to stay afloat without their stars. The Nuggets are the clear favorites, but if the Mavs can tighten up their defense and hit their shots, they might just pull off an upset.
