Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto-raptors Picks and Predictions January 23rd 2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto-Raptors January 23rd 2025

At 7:30 ET, the 11-32 Raptors will travel to Atlanta to take on the 22-21 Hawks. Toronto is currently 14th in the Eastern Conference, while Atlanta is 7th. The Hawks are favored by 5 points, and the over/under line is set at 234.

TSN will have the TV coverage for this Eastern Conference matchup. The Raptors are +169 on the moneyline, while the Hawks are -201. Atlanta has lost two straight games.

Raptors vs. Hawks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Toronto Raptors at Atlanta Hawks
• Where: Atlanta at State Farm Arena
• Date: Thursday, January 23rd
• Betting Odds ATL -5, TOR +169 | ATL -201 O/U 234

The Raptors Can Win If…

The Raptors improved to 11-32 on the season with a 109-93 home win over the Magic on Tuesday. Toronto, who entered the game as +1 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game were 202, falling short of the 212.5 O/U line.

After the Magic went on a 10-0 run early, Toronto responded by holding Orlando to 13 points in the 2nd quarter. The Raptors took control in the 3rd, outscoring the Magic 40-20, and maintained their lead by edging Orlando 24-23 in the final quarter.

The Raptors shot 53.4% from the field and knocked down 13 threes at a 54.2% clip in their win over the Magic. RJ Barrett led the way with 19 points, while Scottie Barnes and Gradey Dick each added 17.

Dick scored 10 of his points in the 3rd quarter, while Barrett added 8 in the 4th. Bruce Brown also contributed 10 of his 15 points in the opening period.

Despite a rough start, the Raptors clamped down defensively after the 1st quarter, allowing just 13 points in the 2nd, 20 in the 3rd, and 23 in the 4th to hold the Magic to 93 points. Toronto limited Orlando to 41% shooting from the field.

The Raptors also did well defending the three, as the Magic hit just 9 threes on 29% shooting. Toronto sent Orlando to the line 19 times, where they made 14 free throws. The Raptors finished with 7 steals and 6 blocks.

• In their last ten games away from home, the Raptors have a straight up record of 1-9 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 110 points per game in these contests.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Raptors have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
• Over their last five games, the Raptors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Hawks Can Win If…

The Hawks dropped to 22-21 on the season after a 114-104 home loss to the Pistons on Wednesday. Atlanta, favored by 3.5 points, failed to cover the spread, and the total score of 218 points fell short of the 233.5-point over/under line.

Detroit took control with an 11-0 run, extending the score from 33-26 to 44-26. The Pistons outscored the Hawks in each of the first three quarters, leading 97-75 going into the 4th. Atlanta rallied in the final period, outscoring Detroit 29-17, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the deficit.

In their 114-104 loss to the Pistons, the Hawks shot just 37.9% from the field and made only 6 threes, hitting at a 15.8% rate from beyond the arc. Dyson Daniels led the way with 20 points and 10 rebounds, scoring 8 of his points in the opening quarter.

Jalen Johnson added 17 points and 9 rebounds, while Clint Capela contributed 16 points and 10 boards, shooting 75% from the field. Capela scored 8 of his points in the 2nd quarter, and Trae Young finished with 13 points, adding 5 in the final period.

The Hawks struggled defensively in the 1st and 2nd quarters, giving up 36 and 33 points, respectively, but tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 17 points. Overall, they allowed the Pistons to shoot 50% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Hawks held the Pistons to 12 made threes on 35% shooting. They sent Detroit to the line 19 times, with the Pistons converting 18. Atlanta finished with 32 defensive rebounds, gave up 7 offensive boards, and recorded 14 steals.

• Across their five previous home games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
• Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Hawks have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.
• In their last three games, the Hawks have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

As the underdogs with a spread of +5, we recommend going with the Raptors on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 234 and our model has the Raptors and Hawks finishing with a combined 263 points. Our pick is to take the over.

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Hawks Look to Rebound Against Raptors in Back-to-Back Matchups

The Atlanta Hawks, sitting seventh in the Eastern Conference, are eager to bounce back from a two-game losing streak as they host the Toronto Raptors on Thursday night. This marks the first of two consecutive games between the teams, concluding their season series on Saturday.

Hawks Seek Turnaround

Atlanta’s recent struggles were highlighted in Wednesday’s 114-104 loss to the Detroit Pistons, where the Hawks shot a season-low 15.8% from beyond the arc (6-of-38). Coach Quin Snyder acknowledged the lack of focus on both ends of the court but emphasized the opportunity to reset with another game right away.
“We’ve got to be ready to come and compete collectively tomorrow night,” Snyder said.

Trae Young continues to lead Atlanta, averaging 23.1 points and an NBA-best 11.6 assists per game. In their previous matchup with Toronto, Young delivered a stellar 34-point, 10-assist performance in a 136-107 road win on Dec. 29.

Raptors Gaining Momentum

Toronto enters Thursday’s game on a high note, having won three of their last four games, including a 109-93 comeback victory against the Orlando Magic on Tuesday. The Raptors erased a 21-point deficit for their first win this season when trailing at halftime.

Scottie Barnes has been a standout for Toronto, averaging 19.8 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 6.6 assists per game. His defensive prowess has earned praise from coach Darko Rajakovic, who trusts Barnes to take on opponents’ top players.
“Scottie is a two-way player and a great team leader,” Rajakovic said. “He’s always asking, ‘How do I help my team win?’”

Despite their progress, the Raptors have struggled mightily on the road this season, holding a dismal 1-19 record away from home.

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What to Watch

The Hawks have won three of their last four home games against the Raptors since the 2021-22 season. With both teams looking to solidify their footing in the playoff race, these back-to-back games carry significant implications.

Will Trae Young and Atlanta regain their focus, or can Scottie Barnes and Toronto overcome their road woes? Expect a battle of wills in Atlanta.