Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions January 23rd 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks January 23rd 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (-755) will host the Dallas Mavericks (+524) in a Western Conference matchup. The Thunder are favored by 13 points and have won two straight games. The Mavericks are 9th in the West and have lost two in a row. The over/under line for the game is 220.5.

This game will tip-off at 8:00 ET and can be seen on KFAA. The Thunder are 36-7 and lead the Western Conference. The Mavericks are 23-21 and 3rd in the Southwest Division.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder
• Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
• Date: Thursday, January 23rd
• Betting Odds OKC -13, DAL +524 | OKC -755 O/U 220.5

The Mavericks Can Win If…

Dallas fell to 23-21 on the season after a narrow 115-114 loss to the Timberwolves on Wednesday. Despite being +3.5 point underdogs, the Mavericks covered the spread at home. The total score of 229 points exceeded the O/U line of 213 by 16 points.

The Mavericks went on an 11-0 run early, turning a 17-13 deficit into a 24-17 lead. However, they lost the 2nd and 3rd quarters, allowing 69 points combined. Dallas entered the 4th quarter down 86-82 but outscored Minnesota 32-29 in the final period.

In their 115-114 loss to the Timberwolves, the Mavericks shot 50% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 8 threes at a 27.6% clip. Kyrie Irving led the way with 36 points, 9 assists, and 4 made threes, shooting 57.1% overall.

P.J. Washington added 30 points, shooting 54.5%, while Daniel Gafford contributed 14 points and 12 rebounds. Irving scored 16 points in the 4th quarter, and Washington added 10 in the final period.

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 1st quarter, where they allowed just 17 points, the Mavericks struggled in the 2nd, giving up 38 points. They also allowed 31 points in the 3rd quarter and 29 in the 4th, leading to a 115-114 loss to the Timberwolves.

Dallas held Minnesota to 45% shooting overall and 37% from three, with the Timberwolves making 11 threes. The Mavericks sent Minnesota to the line 34 times, where they converted 30 free throws. Defensively, Dallas recorded 5 steals and 4 blocks.

• In their last ten games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 2-8 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 111 points per game in these contests.
• Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
• Over their last three games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Thunder Can Win If…

With a 123-114 win over the Jazz on Wednesday, the Thunder improved to 36-7 for the season. Playing at home, Oklahoma City was favored by 16.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total score of 237 points went over the 232.5-point line.

A key moment came when the Thunder went on an 11-0 run, breaking a 33-33 tie. They led 95-89 going into the 4th quarter and outscored the Jazz 28-25 in the final period.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander poured in 54 points with 8 rebounds and 5 assists, shooting 48.6% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 30% in the Thunder’s win over the Jazz. Jalen Williams added 25 points, while Cason Wallace contributed 13 points on 75% shooting.

OKC shot 46.3% from the field and made 12 threes at 30.8%. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 18 points in the 3rd quarter and added 13 more in the 4th, while Williams chipped in 12 points in the final period.

Defensively, the Thunder gave up 114 points to the Jazz but held them to 25 points in the 4th quarter to secure the win. Oklahoma City allowed Utah to shoot 46% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Jazz hit 14 threes at a 37% clip. The Thunder sent Utah to the line 24 times, where they made 16 free throws. Oklahoma City finished with 15 steals and 4 blocks.

• Across their ten previous home games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
• Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.
• In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

In this Mavericks vs. Thunder matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Mavericks at +13. While we project the Thunder to win 108-105, our recommendation is to bet on the Mavericks for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 220.5, and our model projects the Mavericks and Thunder to reach a combined total of 213 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

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Thunder and Mavs Ready for Intense Rematch in Oklahoma City

The Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder are set for a rematch against the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday night, less than a week after their heated clash in Dallas.

Last Friday, the Mavericks edged out a 106-98 win over the Thunder in a game packed with drama, including five technical fouls and a flagrant foul. Dallas let a 20-point halftime lead slip before regaining control late, marking their second victory over Oklahoma City this season — the only team to beat the Thunder twice.

Rivalry Heating Up

Mavericks star Kyrie Irving has called the budding rivalry “personal” and expects another intense battle.
“An all-out blitz. All-out warfare,” Irving said of Thursday’s matchup.

The rivalry is fueled by Oklahoma City’s top MVP candidate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who missed Friday’s game due to a wrist injury. Since then, he’s been on fire, including a career-high 54-point performance in Wednesday’s 123-114 win over Utah.

Stay updated with the latest gambling news and insights at Scores and Stats.

Shai’s MVP-Level Season

Gilgeous-Alexander’s brilliance isn’t just limited to scoring. He’s also elevating his defensive game, averaging 2.1 steals per game this season.
“MVP season,” said Alex Caruso. “He’s playing like the best player in the world.”

Gilgeous-Alexander has now posted multiple steals in eight consecutive games, becoming a dual threat for the surging Thunder, who’ve won 21 of their last 24 games.

Mavericks Facing Injuries

The Mavericks enter the game on a two-game skid, still missing Luka Dončić (calf strain), who hasn’t played since Christmas. They’re also dealing with a lengthy injury list that includes Dereck Lively, Klay Thompson, and others. Irving has been the team’s anchor, scoring at least 25 points in each of his last three games.

Despite the challenges, Irving remains optimistic about Dallas’ championship potential.
“We were screaming ‘championship’ two months ago,” Irving said. “We still believe that. We just need to get healthy.”

High Stakes and High Emotions

As the Thunder aim to protect their Western Conference lead and the Mavericks fight to regain momentum, this rematch promises another thrilling showdown. With Gilgeous-Alexander at the peak of his game and the Mavericks battling adversity, expect plenty of fireworks in Oklahoma City.