2025 Super Bowl MVP Odds and Predictions

Industry’s Best

Handicapping Membership

Get Free Trial

At long last, the Super Bowl 59 matchup is finally set. You’re going to hear quite a bit of buzz over the next few weeks leading up to the game itself, and rightfully so. Super Bowl 59 will be a rematch of Super Bowl 57, pitting the Kansas City Chiefs against the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Chiefs are a dynasty, while the Eagles have been one of the NFL’s 3 most successful franchises over the past decade or so. They’ve also been arguably the league’s 2 best and most consistent teams all season long, so both are well deserving of their places in the championship game.

Super Bowl MVP is one of the greatest individual honors in American professional sports. Over the years, we’ve seen countless Hall of Famers add Super Bowl MVP trophies to their impressive resumes. We’ve also seen other players rise from obscurity to win the award. That’s part of what makes betting on Super Bowl MVP one of the most fun and exciting ways to get action on the game.

Who’ll win Super Bowl 59 MVP? Let’s take a look at the candidates and betting odds and find our best bet, shall we?

For more NFL insights, check out our comprehensive Super Bowl blog and explore the latest NFL odds. Stay up-to-date on everything NFL in our NFL Category.

What Does The Super Bowl MVP Get?

The Super Bowl MVP receives the Pete Rozelle Trophy, an accolade honoring their outstanding performance. In addition, they often earn extra endorsements. Hyundai used to give a brand new car to the Super Bowl MVP, but that promo ceased after Super Bowl 50.

Who Won Super Bowl MVP 2024?

The 2024 Super Bowl MVP was (surprise!) Patrick Mahomes, who has now won the MVP award in each of Kansas City’s 3 Super Bowl wins since 2020. In news that should surprise nobody, Mahomes is the clear-cut favorite to win his 4th career Super Bowl MVP award this year.

Super Bowl MVP Odds

Check out the latest Super Bowl MVP odds courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

Patrick Mahomes leads the odds at +110 as the clear favorite, but the Eagles’ Saquon Barkley (+160) and Jalen Hurts (+340) aren’t far off the pace. After those 3, no other player has Super Bowl MVP odds more favorable than +1600 (Travis Kelce).

Super Bowl MVP Favorites

The following players are considered the odds-on favorites to win the 2025 Super Bowl MVP:

Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs (+110)

As the reigning back-to-back Super Bowl MVP and leader of the powerhouse Chiefs, Mahomes is still among the most consistent and dynamic players in the league. Mahomes didn’t have his best statistical regular season, but he’s turned things on in the playoffs. What else is new?

Mahomes was the driving force in the Chiefs’ 32-29 win over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game. The 29-year-old completed 18 of his 26 throws for 245 yards and a touchdown, but he won the game with his legs. Mahomes set a new playoff career-high with 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, including a couple of rushing touchdowns.

Mahomes isn’t typically a run-first QB, but he is opportunistic in those situations. When the Chiefs need a few yards on a crucial third down, he has a knack for finding his way into open space and getting to where he needs to go. That underrated scrambling ability makes him a nightmare for opposing defensive coordinators, and we’ll see what Eagles DC Vic Fangio has up his sleeve in the Super Bowl.

Obviously, you can always wager on Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP and feel pretty good about it. QBs almost always take home MVP honors, and he’s done so in each of the Chiefs’ recent title runs.

Jalen Hurts – Philadelphia Eagles (+340)

The Eagles fell short in their quest for glory a couple of years ago, but they’re back for revenge in 2025. Jalen Hurts’ exploits were largely overshadowed by those of Saquon Barkley during the regular season, but Hurts is still a major weapon in his own right.

That was on display in Philly’s NFC Championship Game drubbing of the Washington Commanders. Despite battling a sore knee, Hurts went off for 4 total touchdowns in the 55-23 triumph. 3 of those scores came on his 10 rushing attempts, while he also added 246 yards and another score through the air.

Interestingly enough, Hurts put up an extremely similar stat line when the Birds met the Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. He finished that game with 304 passing yards and a touchdown along with 15 carries for 70 yards and 3 more rushing scores. Hurts is more of a short-yardage pounder than a Jayden Daniels or Lamar Jackson type who’ll make explosive plays on the ground, but he does still have that element to his game.

The Eagles are slight underdogs in the rematch, but I do like their chances of pulling the upset. Hurts is one of the few QBs we’ve seen in recent memory who isn’t the favorite from his own team to win Super Bowl MVP. As a result, I love the value here at his +340 Super Bowl MVP odds.

Saquon Barkley – Philadelphia Eagles (+160)

The prevailing thought before this season was that the running back position was dead, but that’s far from the current reality. The Eagles stole Saquon Barkley away from the New York Giants in free agency, and we can directly attribute their upcoming Super Bowl appearance to that one decision.

All Barkley did in his first full season with the Eagles was carry the ball 345 times for 2,005 yards and 13 touchdowns. Barkley has a decent chance at becoming the first non-quarterback since Adrian Peterson back in 2012 to win the regular-season MVP award.

He’s picked up right where he left off in the postseason, as well. Barkley has added 66 rushes for 442 yards and 5 more touchdowns across Philly’s 3 playoff games, including a 3-touchdown effort in the aforementioned 55-23 jackhammering of the Commanders in the NFC Championship Game.

At 27, Barkley clearly has plenty of gas left in the tank. Kansas City has been a stout run defense for much of the year, though they’ve struggled to contain Joe Mixon and James Cook in their first 2 playoff appearances. We know the Eagles will be happy to feed Saquon early and often, and there isn’t another player in the league with his game-breaking ability. Barkley’s +160 Super Bowl MVP odds don’t offer a ton of upside, but he is a better value than Mahomes at +110.

Super Bowl MVP Betting Value

The following NFL players offer betting value based on their odds and potential for on-field success:

Travis Kelce – Kansas City Chiefs (+1600)

At +1600, Travis Kelce represents excellent value as one of Mahomes’s most reliable targets. Kelce may be in the twilight of his career, but we saw a couple of weeks ago that he’s still more than capable of making a huge impact.

In Kansas City’s Divisional Round win over the Houston Texans, the future Hall-of-Fame tight end hauled in 7 passes on 8 targets for 117 yards and a touchdown. The Bills did a better job of keeping Kelce in check – 2 catches for 19 yards – yet the Chiefs still found a way to win.

This will be Kelce’s 5th trip to the Super Bowl. Across his previous 4 outings, he’s caught a total of 31 passes for 350 yards and a couple of touchdowns. His most recent Super Bowl TD came in 2023 against this same Eagles team, though Philly’s defense has arguably improved since then.

Mahomes has won Super Bowl MVP in each of the Chiefs’ 3 recent victories, and it would take a monumental stat line for Kelce to win it. Still, the +1600 odds are potentially appealing.

A.J. Brown – Philadelphia Eagles (+3000)

With odds of +3000, A.J. Brown is an intriguing option. As the Eagles’ top receiver, Brown certainly has the potential to decimate Kansas City’s secondary. The matchup is a difficult one on paper, but Brown has been one of the NFL’s best big-play threats over the course of his career.

Philly is a run-first team, but we did see the passing attack perk up in the NFC Championship Game. Brown caught 6 passes for 96 yards and a touchdown, which was a welcome sight after he caught a total of just 3 balls for 24 yards in Philadelphia’s first 2 postseason games. Brown did top 1,000 yards during the regular season, but his volume was down considerably from last year. Brown caught just 67 passes in 13 games this season after grabbing 106 passes in 17 games in 2023-24.

Interestingly enough, Brown’s 6 catches (8 targets) for 96 yards and a touchdown last week is identical to the stat line he posted against the Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. That game was a 38-35 shootout, and we could see something similar in the rematch. If that’s the case, Brown’s Super Bowl MVP chances aren’t great considering several players are likely to have big statistical outputs.

The Best Super Bowl MVP Longshot

Defensive players rarely win the MVP, but Chris Jones at +2500 offers intriguing potential. As a disruptive force on the Chiefs’ defensive line, he could take over the game with sacks and big plays.

Jones is renowned by many as the game’s best interior defensive lineman, and the Chiefs’ defense looks completely different whenever he’s on the field. The issue is interior linemen rarely rack up huge sack totals – Jones had 5 during the regular season – so it would take something major for Jones to have a real shot. He’d likely have to do something like recover a fumble and return it for a touchdown or intercept a pass to make a real Super Bowl MVP case.

While the +2500 odds make Jones a viable target, I’d rather take the extra value you get with Brown at +3000. Receivers just have a clearer path to posting MVP-caliber stat lines than defensive tackles do.

Super Bowl MVP Predictions

When it comes to picking the Super Bowl MVP, it’s hard to bet against Patrick Mahomes. His consistent brilliance and ability to elevate his team in critical moments make him the standout choice for 2025. The Chiefs are favored, and QBs from the winning team almost always win this award.

That said, I do think the Eagles have more than a puncher’s chance of emerging victorious in this one. As a result, I’m a fan of taking either Barkley (+160) or Hurts (+340) to claim the prize. Hurts is the best value of the bunch given the aforementioned quarterback success rate, and, as we saw in the NFC Championship, he’s capable of winning a game with his legs.

For more NFL betting takes ahead of Super Bowl 59, take a look at our updated NFL Picks.

Best Bet: Jalen Hurts (+340)

Super Bowl MVP Winners

The following is a list of the most recent Super Bowl MVP Winners: