Xavier Musketeers vs Georgetown Hoyas Picks and Predictions February 4th 2025

Xavier Musketeers vs Georgetown Hoyas February 4th 2025

Looking to win big? The Hoyas and Musketeers face off at 8:30 ET on FS1. The Musketeers are hosting the game at Cintas Center in Cincinnati, OH. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 139.5 points, and Xavier is favored by -8.5 to win at home against Georgetown.

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Hoyas vs. Musketeers Key Information

• Sport: CBB
• Teams: Georgetown Hoyas at Xavier Musketeers
• Where: Cincinnati at Cintas Center
• Date: Tuesday, February 4th
• Betting Odds XAV -8.5, GEORGE +277 | XAV -352 O/U 139.5

The Hoyas Can Win If…

Georgetown Hoyas Recent Game/Games

Georgetown improved to 14-8 on the season with a 73-70 win over Butler on Friday. The Hoyas were -3.5 favorites at home but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 143, surpassing the O/U line of 137.5.

After trailing 37-36 at halftime, Georgetown outscored Butler 37-33 in the second half to secure the win.

Georgetown’s offense put up 73 points in their last game, shooting 49.2% from the field. They were dominant inside, hitting 63% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, going just 2-for-17 (11.8%). Their effective field goal percentage was 50.8%, and they connected on 69.2% of their free throws.

Thomas Sorber and Micah Peavy each scored 19 points, with Peavy grabbing 9 rebounds. Andre Screen was efficient, shooting 72.7% from the field, while Finley Bizjack hit both of Georgetown’s threes, finishing with 17 points and 5 assists.

Georgetown’s defense gave up 70 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 49% from the field. Inside the arc, they allowed 29 two-point baskets on 46 attempts, a 63% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Georgetown held their opponents to just 2 made threes on 17 attempts, an 11% shooting performance. They also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 13 times, where they made 9 free throws, shooting 69%.

• Through their last ten road games, Georgetown has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 63 points per game.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Hoyas have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
• Over their last five games, the Hoyas have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.

The Musketeers Can Win If…

Xavier Musketeers Recent Game/Games

The Musketeers fell to 13-9 on the season after an 86-77 loss to Creighton on Wednesday. Xavier, who entered the game as +6 point underdogs, couldn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points reached 163, surpassing the over/under line of 143.5.

Xavier trailed 40-35 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, scoring 42 points while allowing 46.

Xavier put up 77 points in their last game, shooting 42.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 48.5%. They connected on 37.5% of their threes, hitting 9 of 24 attempts, and went 12 of 17 from the free-throw line, good for 70.6%.

Ryan Kalkbrenner led the way with 29 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 70.6% from the field and hitting both of his three-point attempts. Ryan Conwell added 20 points, knocking down 4 of 8 threes, while Jamiya Neal contributed 16 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists, shooting 50% from beyond the arc.

Defensively, Xavier struggled, giving up 86 points while allowing the opponent to shoot 52% from the field. The Musketeers couldn’t contain the two-point attack, as they gave up 19 baskets on 32 attempts, a 59% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, Xavier allowed 11 threes on 25 attempts, with the opponent shooting 44% from deep. They also sent the other team to the line 19 times, where they hit 15 free throws, good for 78%. Xavier gave up 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

• Across the Musketeers last five home games, the team averaged 69 points per game while allowing 70. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
• Xavier has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
• In their last three games, the Musketeers have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For a point-spread wager in this Musketeers vs. Musketeers game, we suggest taking the Musketeers at -8.5. Even though our predictions have the Musketeers winning 76-70, we see the Hoyas as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 139.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the over.

NCAAB Expert Handicappers

Xavier vs. Georgetown: Must-Win Battle for NCAA Tournament Hopes

Two teams fighting for a shot at the NCAA Tournament will meet in a high-stakes Big East showdown on Tuesday night as the Xavier Musketeers (13-9, 5-6 Big East) host the Georgetown Hoyas (14-8, 5-6 Big East) in Cincinnati.

Both teams have little margin for error in their pursuit of an at-large bid, making this a crucial matchup for their postseason aspirations.

Xavier’s Urgency to Turn Season Around

The Musketeers are coming off an 86-77 loss to Creighton but have had five days to regroup before this pivotal matchup. With nine regular-season games remaining, Xavier head coach Sean Miller understands the urgency of the moment.

“We could really take off over the next four or five weeks,” Miller said. “Whether we’re able to do it or not remains to be seen. We have the ability to play at a very high level. We’ve shown that. We’ve got to turn it into high gear now.”

Xavier’s success this season has been driven by Zach Freemantle and Ryan Conwell:

• Zach Freemantle: 16.5 PPG, 7.4 RPG
• Ryan Conwell: 16.3 PPG

With a strong home-court advantage, the Musketeers will aim to avenge their 69-63 loss to Georgetown earlier this season.

Scores&Stats Expert Betting Guide

Georgetown Looking for Consistency

The Hoyas snapped a rough stretch with a 73-70 win over Butler on Friday after suffering a 25-point home loss to St. John’s. Despite an impressive 14-8 record, they have lost six of their last eight games, damaging their NCAA Tournament chances.

Head coach Ed Cooley acknowledged the team’s struggles but praised their resilience:

“It’s been a frustrating January, not having the same lineup consistently. But I give our kids a lot of credit. Coming off of a disturbing loss, for us to respond the way we did defensively in the second half was great. When you’re building and growing, you have to expect ups and downs.”

Georgetown will lean on its balanced scoring attack, led by:

• Thomas Sorber: 14.7 PPG, 8.9 RPG
• Micah Peavy: 14.4 PPG
• Malik Mack: 26 points in their last meeting vs. Xavier

Key Matchup & What to Watch

The battle in the paint will be crucial, with Freemantle and Sorber both capable of dominating inside. Additionally, Xavier will need to find an answer for Malik Mack, who torched them in their previous matchup.

Both teams are in must-win mode, and a victory here could provide the momentum needed for a late-season surge.

Game Prediction & Implications

While both teams are evenly matched, Xavier’s home-court advantage and rest period could give them the edge. A loss for either team would make the road to an at-large NCAA bid nearly impossible, increasing the intensity of this matchup.

With the Big East Tournament looming, every game counts—and Tuesday night’s clash could be a defining moment for both programs.