Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks February 12th 2025
At 8:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-235) will host the Bucks (+197) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 224.5 points.
Minnesota is currently favored by 6 points over Milwaukee. The Timberwolves are 30-24 and 7th in the Western Conference, while the Bucks are 28-24 and 5th in the East. This game will be played at the Target Center in Minneapolis and can be seen on FDSN.
Who do the experts think will take this showdown? Get expert NBA picks now!
Bucks vs. Timberwolves Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves
- Where: Minneapolis at Target Center
- Date: Wednesday, February 12th
- Betting Odds MIN -6, MIL +197 | MIN -235 O/U 224.5
The Bucks Can Win If…
The Bucks fell to 28-24 on the season after a 125-111 home loss to the Warriors on Monday. Milwaukee entered the game as +7 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 236 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 230.
After trailing 58-51 at halftime, Milwaukee narrowed the gap to 89-83 by the end of the 3rd quarter. However, an 11-0 run by the Warriors in the 4th quarter turned the tide, and the Bucks couldn’t recover.
In the Bucks’ 125-111 loss to the Warriors, Damian Lillard led the way with 38 points, 7 assists, and 5 rebounds, shooting 60% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 33.3%. Kyle Kuzma added 21 points, with 13 coming in the 4th quarter, and Taurean Prince contributed 19 points, knocking down 5 threes at a 71.4% rate.
![Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Predictions February 12th 2025 2 Milwaukee Bucks on ScoresandStats](https://www.scoresandstats.com/app/uploads/2025/02/Milwaukee-Bucks-on-ScoresandStats.png)
Milwaukee shot 50% from the field but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 10 threes at 30.3%. Lillard scored 11 points in the 3rd quarter, while Kuzma’s late surge saw him score 13 points in the final period.
Defensively, the Bucks gave up 125 points to the Warriors, allowing 29 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, 31 in the 3rd, and 36 in the 4th. Milwaukee held Golden State to 44% shooting from the field.
The Bucks limited the Warriors to 13 made threes on 28% shooting from beyond the arc. However, they sent Golden State to the free-throw line 38 times, where the Warriors converted 30. Milwaukee recorded 32 defensive rebounds, gave up 15 offensive boards, and added 5 steals and 4 blocks.
- In their last five games away from home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 0-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 109 points per game in these contests.
- As the betting underdog, the Bucks have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Milwaukee posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
- Over their last three games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.
The Timberwolves Can Win If…
The Timberwolves fell to 30-24 on the season after a 128-107 road loss to the Cavaliers on Monday. Minnesota entered the game as +8.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 235, just over the pre-game line of 232.
Cleveland set the tone early with a 16-0 run, and Minnesota never recovered. The Timberwolves were outscored 30-12 in the 1st quarter and trailed 104-78 heading into the 4th, where they outscored the Cavs 29-24.
In their 128-107 loss to the Cavaliers, the Timberwolves shot just 40% from the field and 30.8% from three-point range, making 12 threes overall. Anthony Edwards was a bright spot, hitting 8 threes at a 53.3% clip and finishing with 44 points, including 18 in the 3rd quarter.
![Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Predictions February 12th 2025 3 Minnesota Timberwolves on ScoresandStats](https://www.scoresandstats.com/app/uploads/2025/02/Minnesota-Timberwolves-on-ScoresandStats.png)
Rob Dillingham contributed 13 points, while Rudy Gobert added 12 on 66.7% shooting. Edwards was the only Timberwolves player to make a significant impact, as no one else scored more than 13 points.
Defensively, the Timberwolves struggled against the Cavaliers, giving up 128 points on 51% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed 38 points. Minnesota did manage to tighten up in the 4th, holding Cleveland to 24 points, but it wasn’t enough to change the outcome.
The Timberwolves also had a tough time defending the three, as the Cavaliers hit 17 threes at a 39% clip. Minnesota sent Cleveland to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Timberwolves recorded 10 steals and 6 blocks in the game.
- Minnesota has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 115. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Timberwolves have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
- In their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +6, the Bucks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 224.5 and our model has the Bucks and Timberwolves finishing with a combined 211 points. Our pick is to take the under.
Timberwolves’ Anthony Edwards on Fire Entering Matchup with Bucks
The Minnesota Timberwolves look to keep their star guard’s hot streak alive as they host the Milwaukee Bucks in their final game before the All-Star break on Wednesday night.
Can the Bucks Overcome Fatigue?
Milwaukee (35-21) has been inconsistent lately, alternating wins and losses in each of its last five games. The Bucks are coming off a 125-111 loss to the Golden State Warriors on Monday, a game where coach Doc Rivers said fatigue played a role.
“I thought we were playing on tired legs,” Rivers said. “Hopefully, we can muster up enough energy and rest and play this last game before we get our real rest.”
The Bucks are also without Giannis Antetokounmpo (left calf strain), who will miss the All-Star Game and is expected to return after the break. In his absence, Milwaukee will rely on Damian Lillard (25.8 ppg), Bobby Portis (13.8 ppg), and new acquisition Kyle Kuzma, who is averaging 15.3 points in his first three games with the team.
Can Anthony Edwards Stay Hot?
Minnesota (39-16) has won eight of its last 11 games but suffered a 128-107 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday. The lone bright spot was Anthony Edwards, who erupted for 44 points, including eight three-pointers. Edwards has now topped 40 points in three straight games, making him the biggest threat to the Bucks’ defense.
“He got hot,” Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said. “We need him playmaking as well for his teammates at a high level, like we know he can do.”
Minnesota’s offense has struggled with ball movement, recording just 17 assists in the loss to Cleveland. With second-leading scorer Julius Randle (groin) still out, Edwards will need to carry the load alongside Naz Reid (14.1 ppg) and Jaden McDaniels (11.3 ppg).
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Key Matchups and Playoff Implications
Both teams are jostling for playoff positioning, with Minnesota sitting near the top of the Western Conference and Milwaukee battling for a top seed in the East.
Can the Timberwolves’ defense slow down Lillard, or will the Bucks find a way to contain the red-hot Edwards?