Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats Picks and Predictions February 22nd 2025

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No. 4 Alabama Looks to Bounce Back Against No. 17 Kentucky in SEC Showdown

The Alabama Crimson Tide have no time to dwell on their two-game losing streak, as another Top 25 SEC opponent is heading to Tuscaloosa. After giving up 110 points to Missouri, Alabama is in desperate need of a defensive reset before hosting No. 17 Kentucky on Saturday night.

Kentucky, meanwhile, is still looking for consistency on the road, sporting a 2-5 away record this season. Can they capitalize on Alabama’s defensive struggles, or will the Tide regain their momentum?

Alabama Searching for Defensive Answers

For a team ranked No. 4 in the country, Alabama has a glaring problem—their defense.

The Crimson Tide (21-5, 10-3 SEC) have given up 80+ points in seven of their last nine games, including:

  • 94 points to No. 1 Auburn in a rivalry loss
  • 110 points to No. 15 Missouri in their latest defeat

The loss to Missouri was particularly concerning as the Tigers shot 60.3% from the field and led Alabama by as many as 20 points.

“That obviously was not one of our better defensive games,” said Alabama coach Nate Oats. “Getting our guys ready to go is part of my job as head coach, and I did not do a good job of it.”

Despite the loss, Mark Sears continues to shine. The senior guard dropped a season-high 35 points against Missouri and is averaging 18.5 PPG, making him one of the SEC’s most dangerous scorers.

Alabama’s SEC title hopes took a hit, as they now sit two games behind Auburn with a brutal schedule ahead, including matchups with Mississippi State, Tennessee, Florida, and a rematch with Auburn.

Kentucky Seeking Road Breakthrough

The Wildcats (18-8, 7-6 SEC) are still chasing a signature road win to boost their seeding for March Madness. While they have been dominant at home, their 2-5 record away from Rupp Arena has been a major concern.

Kentucky’s 82-61 win over Vanderbilt on Wednesday provided a confidence boost, led by:

  • Otega Oweh20 points, his eighth 20+ point game of the season
  • Amari Williams17 points, 6 rebounds, 4 blocks, perfect 6-of-6 from the field
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Williams, a transfer from Drexel, has stepped up his game, saying:

“At the start of the year, I was still figuring things out, but now I realize how I can battle against some of these bigger guys.”

However, Kentucky remains short-handed, missing key players:

  • Lamont Butler (shoulder) – Has missed two straight games, five of last seven
  • Jaxson Robinson (wrist) – Has missed the last three games

Coach Mark Pope knows playing at Alabama will be a major test.

“Now we’ve got the epic challenge of all challenges going to Alabama and seeing if we can deal with that insanity down there,” Pope said.

Key Matchup: Alabama’s Firepower vs. Kentucky’s Defense

The first meeting between these teams was a thriller, with Alabama winning 102-97 in Lexington.

  • Mark Sears (Alabama) led the way with 24 points and 9 assists
  • Grant Nelson (Alabama) had a 25-point, 11-rebound double-double
  • Oweh (Kentucky) put up 21 points
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For Kentucky to even the season series, they’ll need to:

  • Slow down Sears and force Alabama into tough perimeter shots
  • Dominate the paint with Williams and their frontcourt
  • Limit turnovers, especially in a hostile road environment

Prediction & Final Thoughts

With Alabama coming off two losses, expect a sense of urgency from the Tide at home. However, if Kentucky’s defense can hold up, this could be another high-scoring shootout.

Alabama will need to tighten up defensively and rely on Sears to lead the way. If Kentucky’s road struggles continue, expect the Tide to pull away late.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
spread
moneyline
over/under
Alabama Crimson Tide
-10
-110
-450
O 181
-110
Kentucky Wildcats
+10
-110
350
U 181
-110
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