North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils Picks and Predictions March 8th 2025

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No. 2 Duke Aims for Season Sweep Against North Carolina in High-Stakes Rivalry Showdown

Chapel Hill, NC — Get ready for another classic in college basketball’s fiercest rivalry. No. 2 Duke (27-3, 18-1 ACC) is heading to Chapel Hill to face North Carolina (20-11, 13-6 ACC) on Saturday night in a matchup that carries serious postseason implications. With both teams eyeing ACC Tournament positioning and NCAA Tournament aspirations, this battle means more than just bragging rights.

Duke’s Dominance and Shot at No. 1

The Blue Devils are rolling into this game on a seven-game win streak, flexing their elite offense and relentless defense. They’ve crushed opponents all season, winning nine games by 30+ points, including their last four in dominant fashion.

But head coach Jon Scheyer knows staying hungry is the key to success.

“It’s not normal what these guys are doing, and we don’t take it lightly,” Scheyer said. “We know the job’s not done.”

With Auburn’s recent loss to Texas A&M, Duke has a legit shot at taking the No. 1 national ranking—but only if they handle business against UNC. A loss, combined with wins from Clemson and Louisville, could drop them to a No. 3 seed in the ACC Tournament.

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UNC’s Momentum and Tournament Hopes

After an up-and-down season, the Tar Heels have caught fire, winning six straight to get back in the tournament conversation. But they still need a signature win to lock in their NCAA bid.

Head coach Hubert Davis is confident his team has finally found its groove.

“Every game, our guys are seeing and experiencing what it looks like to consistently play at that level and stay at that level,” Davis said.

Their latest performance? A 91-59 beatdown of Virginia Tech, where they made history with five players scoring in double figures for the fourth straight game—something no UNC team has ever done in ACC play.

RJ Davis Makes History

Senior guard RJ Davis will set an ACC record by playing in his 170th career game. The fifth-year veteran, who took advantage of the extra pandemic year, embraces his role as a leader.

“I think we’ve found our recipe these past couple of weeks,” Davis said. “Whatever it takes to win—that’s our motto.”

Looking Back: Duke’s Dominant Win in February

The last time these teams clashed, Duke sent a loud message with an 87-70 win on Feb. 1. Freshmen Kon Knueppel (22 points) and Cooper Flagg (21 points) led the charge, helping the Blue Devils build a massive 32-point lead before UNC made the scoreline more respectable late in the game.

Meanwhile, RJ Davis and Drake Powell struggled, each scoring just 12 points. If the Tar Heels want a different outcome this time, they’ll need a much stronger offensive effort.

Key Matchups to Watch

Cooper Flagg vs. UNC’s Defense

Duke’s star freshman, Cooper Flagg, will be stepping into enemy territory for the first time. His ability to impact the game on both ends has been huge for the Blue Devils, and how UNC handles his versatility could be the game’s biggest factor.

Duke’s Perimeter Shooting vs. UNC’s Defense

The Blue Devils have been lights-out from deep, draining 15 three-pointers in their last game—a 93-60 blowout of Wake Forest. Hubert Davis knows stopping Duke’s outside shooting is key.

“What has allowed us to shoot better from outside has been our persistence to dominate points in the paint,” Davis said.

Can UNC close out on shooters while still protecting the paint? That’s the challenge.

RJ Davis’ Experience vs. Duke’s Freshmen

With 170 career games under his belt, RJ Davis is the most seasoned player in this rivalry. His leadership, decision-making, and clutch play will be crucial against Duke’s young but ultra-talented core.

Duke Assistant Jai Lucas Set to Depart

Saturday’s game will be the final one for Duke assistant coach Jai Lucas, who’s leaving to become the head coach at Miami. While the timing isn’t ideal, Scheyer fully supports his decision.

“There’s no other option,” Scheyer said.

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What’s at Stake? More Than Just a Rivalry Win

Beyond the history and tradition, this game carries serious consequences for both teams:

  • Duke: A win could push them to No. 1 in the national rankings and lock in a top seed in the ACC Tournament.
  • North Carolina: A win would solidify their NCAA Tournament bid and prove they’ve grown since their February loss.

One of college basketball’s greatest rivalries is about to add another unforgettable chapter. Will Duke continue their dominance, or will UNC’s hot streak lead them to a statement victory?

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