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Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings March 13th 2025
The Sacramento Kings travel to San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors in a Western Pacific division matchup. The Kings are 9th in the Western Conference, while the Warriors are 6th.
Golden State has won five straight and is favored by 7.5 points. The over/under line is set at 233.5. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 ET and can be seen on TNT.
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Kings vs. Warriors Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors
- Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
- Date: Thursday, March 13th
- Betting Odds GS -7.5, SAC +229 | GS -282 O/U 233.5
The Kings Can Win If…
The Kings fell to 33-31 on the season after a 133-104 home loss to the Knicks on Monday. Sacramento, who entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs, couldn’t cover the spread, losing by 29 points. The total points for the game reached 237, surpassing the O/U line of 223.5 by 13.5 points.
Sacramento got off to a rough start, trailing 37-22 after the 1st quarter. They went on a 10-0 run to cut the deficit from 46-28 to 46-38 but couldn’t sustain the momentum. The Kings were outscored 37-26 in the 3rd quarter and entered the 4th down 103-77, and the Knicks edged them 30-27 in the final period.
The Kings struggled offensively in their loss to the Knicks, scoring just 104 points on 41.9% shooting from the field. They connected on only 10 three-pointers, hitting at a 29.4% clip.
Malik Monk led the way with 21 points, including 13 in the 2nd quarter and another 8 in the 3rd. Isaac Jones added 10 of his 12 points in the final period.
The Kings struggled defensively on Monday, giving up 133 points to the Knicks. Sacramento allowed 37 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, with New York shooting 53% from the field.
The Knicks also connected on 22 threes, shooting 55% from beyond the arc. The Kings sent New York to the line 26 times, where they made 21 free throws. Sacramento recorded 7 steals and 4 blocks in the game.
- Across their last five road contests, Sacramento has been good against the spread posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 114 points per game.
- Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Kings have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-4.
- Over their last three games, the Kings have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
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The Warriors Can Win If…
The Warriors improved to 37-28 this season with a 130-120 win over the Trail Blazers on Monday. Golden State was favored by 12 points at home but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 250 exceeded the over/under line of 236.5 by 13.5 points.
Golden State took control early, leading 68-49 at halftime after winning the 1st quarter 35-27 and the 2nd quarter 33-22. Portland fought back in the 3rd, outscoring the Warriors 43-34, but Golden State maintained their lead, entering the 4th quarter up 102-92. Both teams scored 28 points in the final period.
The Warriors shot 52.9% from the field and knocked down 21 threes at a 51.2% clip in their win over the Trail Blazers. Gary Payton II led the way with 26 points, hitting 4 threes at 66.7%, while Stephen Curry added 24 points and 5 made threes.
Moses Moody contributed 20 points, shooting 70% from the field. Payton scored 9 points in the 2nd quarter and 8 more in the 4th, while Curry added 12 points in the 3rd.
Defensively, the Warriors had a strong 2nd quarter, holding the Trail Blazers to just 22 points, but they struggled in the 3rd, allowing 43 points. Overall, they gave up 120 points on 48% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Warriors allowed Portland to hit 18 threes at a 42% clip. They also sent the Trail Blazers to the line 17 times, where they made 14 free throws. Golden State finished with 16 steals and 5 blocks.
- Across their ten previous home games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 119 points per game.
- Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Warriors have an overall record of 4-1 while going 1-3-1 against the spread.
- In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Coming in as the underdogs at +7.5, we have the Kings as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 233.5 and given that our model is projecting 264 points between the teams, we like the over.
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Warriors Aim to Stay Hot, Kings Desperate for Playoff Push
The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings meet on Thursday night in a matchup that could have major implications for the Western Conference playoff race.
Golden State has surged into the sixth seed, winning 12 of its last 14 games, while Sacramento sits ninth, now 3.5 games behind the Warriors for a guaranteed playoff spot.
The Kings have dropped two straight games, including a blowout loss to the New York Knicks, making this a must-win situation as they try to avoid slipping further in the standings.
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Golden State Rolling Since Butler Trade
The Warriors have been on fire since acquiring Jimmy Butler from the Miami Heat on February 6.
- Butler recorded a triple-double (15 points, 10 assists, 10 rebounds) in Monday’s 130-120 win over Portland.
- Golden State has gone 9-1 since the All-Star break and continues to build momentum.
Butler has embraced his role on the team, praising the Warriors’ team-first mentality.
“I think it’s everything that I expected. Everything that I actually dreamed of,” Butler said. “They just want to win. They don’t care about individual stats. All I want to do is win a championship.”
Key Player Updates for the Warriors:
- Jonathan Kuminga is expected to return after missing 31 straight games with an ankle injury. He will be on a minutes restriction.
- Brandin Podziemski (back soreness) will miss his third straight game.
Butler has also dismissed concerns about Golden State’s lack of size, saying their speed and IQ make up for it.
“We are expected to win, no matter who is in the lineup or how tall we are,” Butler said.
Kings Struggling at the Worst Time
Sacramento is quickly falling out of the top-six playoff race, and their 133-104 loss to the Knicks on Monday exposed major weaknesses.
- New York shot 53.6 percent from the field and led by 35 points in the fourth quarter.
- Malik Monk returned from injury and scored 21 points, while Zach LaVine added 17.
- Domantas Sabonis (hamstring) has missed five straight games and is questionable for Thursday.
Monk was frustrated with the team’s effort against the Knicks.
“They just punked us tonight. We didn’t get any loose balls, and they just outplayed us,” Monk said.
The Kings lost both games in a back-to-back, including a 111-110 overtime loss to the Clippers on Sunday. After two straight defeats, Sacramento must find its energy quickly.
Center Jonas Valanciunas, who has stepped in for Sabonis, didn’t hold back after Monday’s loss.
“We can look for excuses, but it’s on us,” Valanciunas said. “It was embarrassing. We didn’t come out with energy. We have to find our style of play and be better.”
Key Matchups to Watch
Jimmy Butler vs. Kings’ Defense
- Butler has stabilized the Warriors, bringing a defensive presence and leadership.
- Sacramento must slow him down and not let him dictate the game.
Golden State’s Small Lineup vs. Kings’ Interior Play
- The Warriors lack size but thrive on speed and ball movement.
- If Sabonis returns, Sacramento could exploit Golden State inside.
Kings’ Energy and Defensive Effort
- Sacramento looked sluggish against New York, allowing over 130 points.
- Can they match the Warriors’ intensity and avoid another blowout loss?
Final Thoughts: Must-Win for Sacramento, Warriors Stay Confident
The Warriors have all the momentum and are closing in on securing a top-six spot.
The Kings need this game badly to avoid slipping further down the standings.
Can Sacramento bounce back and keep its playoff hopes alive, or will Golden State continue its dominant stretch with another statement win?
Tip-off is Thursday night in San Francisco.
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