St. John’s Red Storm vs Butler Bulldogs Picks and Predictions March 13th 2025

St. John’s Red Storm vs Butler Bulldogs March 13th 2025

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bulldogs versus the Red Storm? Tip off is at at 12:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on PEAC. The game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. This Big East conference matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points, and St. John’s is favored to win by -12.5 at home vs. Butler.

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Bulldogs vs. Red Storm Key Information

• Sport: CBB
• Teams: Butler Bulldogs at St. John’s Red Storm
• Where: New York at Madison Square Garden
• Date: Thursday, March 13th
• Betting Odds STJOHN -12.5, BUTL +583 | STJOHN -881 O/U 145.5

The Bulldogs Can Win If…

Butler Bulldogs Recent Game/Games

Butler improved to 14-18 on the season with a 75-69 road win over Providence on Wednesday. Entering the game as 1-point favorites, the Bulldogs covered the spread with the victory.

Butler led 39-31 at halftime and added 36 points in the 2nd half, while allowing 38. The combined points of 144 fell just under the O/U line of 147.5.

Butler put up 75 points in their last game, shooting 48.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%. They hit 59.5% of their two-point attempts, while their three-point shooting was 32% on 8-of-25 from deep.

Pierre Brooks II led the way with 25 points, shooting 61.1% overall, though he struggled from three, hitting just 1-of-6. Bensley Joseph added 20 points, connecting on 4-of-11 from beyond the arc, and Oswin Erhunmwunse was efficient inside, going 7-of-9 from the field.

Butler’s defense held their opponent to 69 points on 37% shooting from the field. They allowed 21 two-point baskets on 42 attempts, a 50% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Butler’s defense limited their opponent to 8 made threes on 35 attempts, just 22% shooting. They sent their opponent to the free-throw line only 4 times, where they made 3 free throws.

• Across the Bulldogs last ten road games, the team averaged 72 points per game while allowing 74. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 3-7 straight-up.
• Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bulldogs have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
• Over their last three games, the Bulldogs have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Red Storm Can Win If…

St. John’s Red Storm Recent Game/Games

St. John’s improved to 27-4 on the season with an 86-84 win over Marquette on Saturday, March 8th. The Red Storm were +4.5 point underdogs going into the game and covered the spread with the win.

St. John’s led 36-35 at halftime and scored 39 points in the 2nd half while allowing 40. The total points for the game were 170, surpassing the O/U line of 146.5.

St. John’s put up 86 points in their last game, shooting 44.6% from the field. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 5 of 23 attempts for 21.7%, but were more effective inside, connecting on 54.9% of their two-point shots. The Red Storm also grabbed 19 offensive rebounds and dished out 18 assists.

Kam Jones led the way with 32 points, 9 rebounds, and 7 assists, shooting 46.7% overall and 30.8% from three. RJ Luis Jr. added 28 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 42.9% of his threes, while David Joplin contributed 21 points, going 3 for 4 from deep and shooting 77.8% overall.

St. John’s gave up 84 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 43% from the field, hitting 31 of 71 attempts. Inside the arc, the Red Storm allowed 50% shooting, as their opponents made 21 of 42 two-point shots.

From three-point range, St. John’s defense saw their opponents connect on 10 of 29 attempts, good for 34%. They also sent the opposing team to the free-throw line 22 times, where they made 12, shooting 54%. St. John’s allowed 17 offensive rebounds in the game.

• In their last three home games, St. John’s has averaged 81 points per game while allowing 70. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-0-1 vs. the spread.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Red Storm have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 5-4-1.
• In their last five games, the Red Storm have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Red Storm vs. Red Storm game, our recommendation is to take the Red Storm at -12.5. Despite our model showing the Red Storm winning 76-70, we like Bulldogs as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 145.5, and our model predicts the Bulldogs and Red Storm to score a combined 146 points. We recommend betting on the over.

St. John’s Looks to Extend Dream Season in Big East Quarterfinals Against Butler

For the first time in nearly four decades, St. John’s enters the Big East Tournament as the top seed, a position that stirs memories of the program’s dominance in the 1980s. After a historic 27-4 regular season, the sixth-ranked Red Storm will begin their postseason push on Thursday afternoon at Madison Square Garden, where they have been unbeatable this season (9-0).

Awaiting them is ninth-seeded Butler (14-18), which is fresh off an opening-round victory over Providence and looking to play spoiler in what will feel like a home game for the Red Storm.

Rick Pitino’s Revival: St. John’s Returns to Big East Prominence

Head coach Rick Pitino has orchestrated a remarkable turnaround in just his second season, leading St. John’s to its first outright regular-season Big East title since 1984-85—the same season the program reached the Final Four. Pitino, who was recently named Big East Coach of the Year, emphasized the need for total focus as his team enters March with championship aspirations.

“You got to stay focused on every little thing,” Pitino said. “The NCAA Tournament, you just got to cut out all the distractions. You got to shut the phones off. You really, really got to focus.”

St. John’s was picked fifth in the preseason Big East poll, but they exceeded expectations by winning 18 straight home games and finishing strong, including a dramatic 86-84 overtime win at Marquette in their regular-season finale. That game showcased one of the Red Storm’s biggest strengths—grit in close contests. The team is 8-4 in games decided by six points or fewer, an invaluable trait in the high-stakes environment of tournament play.

RJ Luis and Zuby Ejiofor Leading the Way

A key part of St. John’s success has been RJ Luis, who was named Big East Player of the Year, becoming the first Red Storm player to earn the honor since Walter Berry. Luis has been on fire recently, scoring 28 points in the regular-season finale and shooting 26-for-48 over his final three games.

Meanwhile, Zuby Ejiofor has emerged as a force in the frontcourt, earning Big East Most Improved Player honors. The sophomore big man, who backed up Joel Soriano last season, has stepped into a starring role, averaging 14.1 points and 8.2 rebounds while delivering clutch performances.

“I think we’re in the best shape of our lives,” Ejiofor said. “Honestly, the practice sessions that coach puts us through—we’re a little bit more conditioned than most teams. We do whatever it takes to win. We’re a gritty team.”

Butler Looks for the Upset After Beating Providence

While St. John’s is riding high, Butler enters the quarterfinals as a hungry underdog after a 75-69 victory over Providence in the opening round. The Bulldogs never trailed in that game, led by Pierre Brooks II’s 25-point effort on 11-of-18 shooting.

Butler played some of its best defense of the season, holding an opponent under 70 points for just the second time this year. However, they were dominated on the boards, getting outrebounded 53-29 while allowing 25 offensive rebounds—a weakness that could be a major issue against a St. John’s squad that thrives in the paint.

Head coach Thad Matta knows the challenge ahead, calling St. John’s “the best team in the league.” Brooks echoed the sentiment but embraced the opportunity.

“It’s a home game for St. John’s,” Brooks said. “It’s going to be pretty packed in here, so we have to come in as one and come in calm and collected and try to get a W.”

Regular-Season Meetings: St. John’s Swept Butler

The Red Storm already own two wins over Butler this season, though neither came easily:

• Jan. 4: St. John’s won 71-62 at home despite a dreadful 1-of-21 performance from three-point range.
• Feb. 26: The Red Storm prevailed 76-70 in Indianapolis behind 24 points from Luis.

Brooks has been Butler’s go-to scorer, posting 29 points in those two matchups, but he shot just 11-for-29 against the Red Storm’s defense. If Butler wants a chance to pull off the upset, they’ll need to find more consistent offensive production while holding their own on the glass.

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Can St. John’s Keep the Magic Alive at MSG?

Despite their dominant season, St. John’s has struggled historically in the Big East Tournament, failing to win the event since 2000. Their last semifinal appearance was just last year, but their recent 0-4 record in the quarterfinals looms over them.

With Pitino at the helm and a confident, battle-tested roster, this could finally be the year the Red Storm reclaim Big East Tournament glory. However, Butler has nothing to lose and will be looking to stun the conference’s top team.

With March Madness in full swing, the stage is set for a thrilling quarterfinal showdown at The World’s Most Famous Arena. Will St. John’s continue its dream season, or will Butler crash the party?