Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Predictions March 15th 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators March 15th 2025

Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Senators versus the Maple Leafs? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The over/under for this game is set at 6 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 against the Senators in a Atlantic division matchup.

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Ottawa vs. Toronto Key Information

• Teams: Senators at Maple Leafs
• Where: Scotiabank Arena Toronto
• Date: Saturday, March 15th
• Betting Odds TOR -151 | OTT +125 O/U 6

The Senators Can Win If…

With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators moved to 35-25-5 this season. Ottawa covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short of that mark.

All three goals came from different players for the Senators. Adam Gaudette scored first, followed by Brady Tkachuk, and Tim Stützle added an empty-net goal to seal the win.

Ottawa’s offense took 23 shots on goal in their 3-0 win over Seattle. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, followed by Brady Tkachuk, who also netted his 7th. Tim Stützle added an empty-netter, his 6th goal of the year.

The Senators had 11 giveaways and recorded 5 assists, including Tim Stützle’s 10th of the season. Ottawa scored once in each period, with Gaudette’s goal coming at 14:32 in the first period.

Defensively, the Senators will look to build on their previous performance, where they held Seattle scoreless. Anton Forsberg made 22 saves, finishing with a 100% save percentage. Ottawa’s defense also contributed 2 takeaways and 25 hits.

• Ottawa has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. Their strong play has also resulted in an puck line mark of 2-1 (last 3). They had an over/under mark of 2-1 in those same games.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, Ottawa has a record of 6-4. Against the spread, Ottawa went 4-6 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 8-2.

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The Maple Leafs Can Win If…

Toronto’s 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild moved their record to 39-23-3. The Maple Leafs were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3.

Ryan Hartman put the Wild ahead at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it up for Toronto with 52 seconds left in the period. Matt Boldy scored the game-winner for Minnesota at 2:14 in overtime.

In their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, the Maple Leafs took 28 shots on goal but only managed to score once. William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews picking up his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner his 12th.

After Nylander’s goal at 19:08 in the first period, the Leafs were held scoreless for the remainder of the game. They had 10 giveaways in the contest.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the 1st period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. Toronto’s defense also contributed 2 takeaways and 30 hits.

• Across Toronto’s last three regular season games, their record sits at 1-2. The team’s record vs the puck line was just 1-2, in addition to an over-under mark of 2-1.
• Toronto has put together a record of 6-4 in their last ten games (regular season). This includes going 3-7 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Lean

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Maple Leafs to defeat the Senators while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at -151, I’m placing a wager on the Maple Leafs to win outright.

If you’re looking for my recommendation on the puck line, I suggest taking the Senators to cover. Even if the Maple Leafs manage to win outright, this game is expected to remain competitive, and the Senators should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

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Senators Go for Another Win Over Rival Maple Leafs

The Ottawa Senators will look to extend their five-game winning streak and continue their dominance over the Toronto Maple Leafs when the teams meet on Saturday night in Toronto.

Senators on a Roll, Eyeing Playoff Spot

The Senators (6-0-1 in their last seven games) are surging at the right time, keeping their playoff hopes alive with a 6-3 victory over the Boston Bruins on Thursday.

Ottawa has also owned the Battle of Ontario, winning four straight against Toronto, including both meetings this season:

• Nov. 12: 3-0 win in Toronto
• Jan. 25: 2-1 win in Ottawa

“We had a great start,” Senators coach Travis Green said after the Bruins win. “We’ve been playing a lot of emotional hockey.”

Goaltender Linus Ullmark made a highlight-reel save late in the second period to preserve Ottawa’s lead.

“I was just laughing,” Ullmark said. “Sometimes you wonder, ‘How did that happen?’”

Captain Brady Tkachuk tweaked his hip late in the game, but Green expects him to be ready for Saturday.

Leafs Look to Snap Skid, Keep Pace in Atlantic Division

Toronto (1-4 in their last five games) lost a tough 3-2 battle against Florida on Thursday, missing a chance to tie for first place in the Atlantic Division. The Leafs now trail the Panthers by four points with a game in hand.

John Tavares opened the scoring early, but Toronto’s penalty kill struggled, allowing two Florida power-play goals.

“Five-on-five, I thought it was a pretty even game,” coach Craig Berube said. “The difference is they scored two power-play goals and we didn’t capitalize on our PP.”

Toronto went 0-for-3 on the power play and has now lost four of its last five games.

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“That’s as close to a playoff game as you’re going to get,” said forward Max Domi, who scored and fought in the first period.

“We need to obviously clean up our PK,” added defenseman Chris Tanev, who returned after a two-week injury absence.

Key Matchups to Watch

• Brady Tkachuk vs. Toronto’s Defense – If Tkachuk plays, he’ll be a major force down low.
• Linus Ullmark vs. Toronto’s Offense – Ullmark has been stellar and will be tested again.
• Special Teams Battle – Ottawa’s power play has been clicking, while Toronto’s PK has struggled.