Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions March 15th 2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers March 15th 2025

At 8:00 ET, the Pacers will travel to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks. The Pacers are currently on a two-game win streak and have a record of 37-28. They are 5th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Central Division. The Bucks are favored by 5.5 points and have the same record as the Pacers. They are 4th in the East and 2nd in the Central.

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum and can be seen on FDSW. The over/under line is set at 235.5.

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Pacers vs. Bucks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks
• Where: Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum
• Date: Saturday, March 15th
• Betting Odds MIL -5.5, IND +178 | MIL -213 O/U 235.5

The Pacers Can Win If…

Indiana improved to 37-28 on the season with a 112-100 win over the 76ers on Friday. The Pacers were favored by 13 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 212 fell well short of the 232.5 O/U line.

After falling behind 20-10 early due to a 12-0 run by the 76ers, Indiana responded by outscoring Philadelphia in each of the final three quarters. The Pacers took control in the 4th, where they outscored the 76ers 34-25.

Pascal Siakam led the Pacers to a win over the 76ers, scoring 27 points and grabbing 7 rebounds while shooting 60% from the field. Myles Turner added 18 points, and Aaron Nesmith contributed 16 points, hitting 3 threes at a 50% rate.

As a team, the Pacers made 10 threes, shooting just 28.6% from beyond the arc, but finished with an overall field goal percentage of 49.4%. Siakam scored 12 points in the 3rd quarter, while Nesmith added 8 points in the final period.

The Pacers put together a strong defensive performance, holding the 76ers to just 100 points. They were consistent throughout, allowing 26 points in the 1st quarter, 25 in the 2nd and 4th, and just 24 in the 3rd.

Indiana limited Philadelphia’s three-point shooting, giving up just 11 threes on 28% shooting. The 76ers also went 15/22 from the free-throw line. The Pacers grabbed 33 defensive rebounds, allowed 11 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 4 blocks.

• When looking at their past ten road matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 1-9 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 5-5 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
• Over their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-4-1 vs. the spread.

The Bucks Can Win If…

Milwaukee improved to 37-28 with a 126-106 win over the Lakers on Thursday. The Bucks were favored by six points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 232 points went over the 226.5-point line.

After the Lakers went on a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 50-40 to 60-40, Milwaukee responded by outscoring them 31-19 in the third quarter. The Bucks entered the fourth with a 102-82 lead, and both teams scored 24 points in the final period.

Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 24 points, 12 rebounds, and 9 assists in their 126-106 win over the Lakers, shooting 47.1% from the field. Brook Lopez added 23 points, hitting 75% of his threes, while Damian Lillard and Kevin Porter each contributed 22 points, with Lillard adding 10 assists.

The Bucks hit 17 threes at a 42.5% rate, with Lopez making 3 from deep. Giannis scored 12 points in the 3rd quarter, while Lillard and Porter each added 12 in the 2nd.

The Bucks tightened up defensively in the 3rd quarter, allowing just 19 points, helping them secure a 126-106 win over the Lakers. Milwaukee gave up 29 points in the 1st quarter and 34 in the 2nd but limited the damage in the 4th, allowing 24 points.

Overall, the Bucks held the Lakers to 43% shooting, including 37% from three, with Los Angeles hitting 15 threes. Milwaukee sent the Lakers to the line 18 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Bucks grabbed 41 defensive rebounds, giving up just 5 offensive boards, while also recording 9 steals and 8 blocks.

• In their last five games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 114 points per game in this stretch.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
• In their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Pacers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 235.5 and our model has the Pacers and Bucks finishing with a combined 263 points. Our pick is to take the over.

Playoff Positioning on the Line

The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks enter Saturday night’s showdown tied for fourth place in the Eastern Conference, both holding a 37-28 record. With the regular season winding down, every game carries postseason implications, and this final regular-season meeting between the teams could prove crucial in the standings.

The Pacers grabbed a thrilling victory over Milwaukee on Tuesday, thanks to an iconic four-point play by Tyrese Haliburton in the final seconds. Haliburton, inspired by Pacers legend Reggie Miller, is looking to create more signature moments as Indiana aims to climb the standings. Meanwhile, the Bucks are looking to bounce back and defend their home court, where they are 23-11 this season.

Pacers Gaining Momentum After Another Clutch Win

Indiana enters this matchup fresh off a 112-100 road win against the Philadelphia 76ers on Friday night. Despite trailing by as many as 16 points, the Pacers surged back in the second half to secure the victory. Pascal Siakam, who was questionable before the game with an elbow injury, stepped up in a big way, scoring 27 points.

Coach Rick Carlisle acknowledged his team’s slow start in that contest but was pleased with their second-half execution. Haliburton, who was the hero in Tuesday’s win over Milwaukee, finished with 14 points and continued to show his leadership late in games.

Indiana has struggled in back-to-back scenarios this season, posting a 4-6 record. Fatigue could be a factor, especially after an emotional comeback victory in Philadelphia. However, the Pacers have been a resilient group, and they will need to bring that same energy against a Milwaukee team that is starting to find its rhythm.

Bucks Looking to Build on Bounce-Back Win

Milwaukee ended a three-game losing streak on Thursday with a 113-105 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers. The win was much-needed for a Bucks squad that had been searching for consistency. Giannis Antetokounmpo had a relatively light workload, playing just 30 minutes but still managing 24 points. The reigning Finals MVP continues to be one of the league’s top scorers, averaging 30.5 points per game this season.

Damian Lillard contributed 22 points in the win and emphasized the importance of staying composed despite recent struggles. The Bucks have gone 8-4 since the All-Star break and have started to play with more cohesion.

Brook Lopez has been a key contributor in recent games, scoring 23 points in back-to-back contests while shooting an incredible 17-for-20 from the field over that span. Coach Doc Rivers praised Lopez’s two-way impact, noting that his ability to protect the rim and stretch the floor makes him invaluable.

Milwaukee will be without Bobby Portis, who is serving a suspension until April 8 due to an illegal medication violation. His absence affects the team’s frontcourt depth, but Lopez’s recent play has helped compensate for the loss.

Head-to-Head Season Series Analysis

This is the fourth and final regular-season meeting between these teams, with Milwaukee holding a 2-1 advantage in the season series. The Pacers’ lone victory came in dramatic fashion on Tuesday, when Haliburton’s late-game heroics stunned the Bucks.

Historically, Giannis has struggled slightly against Indiana compared to other teams, averaging just 24.5 points per game in his career against the Pacers. However, with Milwaukee looking to tighten its grip on home-court advantage, expect the Bucks to come out with added motivation.

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Expert Prediction and Betting Insight

Both teams enter this game with identical records, making this a pivotal matchup for seeding in the Eastern Conference. Indiana is on a roll but will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back, which has been an issue for them this season. Milwaukee, meanwhile, has a strong home record and will be looking for revenge after Tuesday’s stunning loss.

Expect the Bucks to lean on their experience and home-court advantage to take control early. If the Pacers can keep it close, Haliburton’s late-game magic could come into play once again. However, with Milwaukee’s balanced scoring and improved defensive play, they have the edge in this contest.

For the latest insights, check out our updated NBA Expert Picks before making your final wagers.