Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions March 19th 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks March 19th 2025

At 7:00 ET, the Dallas Mavericks will travel to take on the Indiana Pacers in a non-conference matchup. The Pacers (-419) are favored by 9.5 points over the Mavericks (+324), and the over/under line is set at 234.5.

This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and can be seen on FDSI. The Mavericks have lost three straight games and currently sit 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 33-36. The Pacers are 4th in the East at 38-29.

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Mavericks vs. Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers
• Where: Indianapolis at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Wednesday, March 19th
• Betting Odds IND -9.5, DAL +324 | IND -419 O/U 234.5

The Mavericks Can Win If…

Dallas dropped to 33-36 on the season after a 130-125 loss to the 76ers on Sunday. The Mavericks, who were favored by 6.5 points at home, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 255.5 exceeded the O/U line of 224.5 by 30.5 points.

Dallas went on a 10-0 run early, taking the lead from 38-37 to 47-38. However, a poor 3rd quarter, where they were outscored 34-18, left them trailing 98-86 going into the 4th. Despite a strong finish, outscoring the 76ers 39-32 in the final period, the Mavericks couldn’t complete the comeback.

P.J. Washington led the Mavericks with 29 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 64.7% from the field in their loss to the 76ers. Klay Thompson and Naji Marshall each added 21 points, with Thompson hitting 3 threes at 42.9% efficiency.

Dallas shot 52.9% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 10 threes at 29.4%. Washington scored 14 points in the 1st quarter, while Spencer Dinwiddie added 12 of his 18 points in the 4th.

The Mavericks struggled defensively on Sunday, giving up 130 points to the 76ers. Dallas allowed 36 points in the 1st quarter and 34 in the 3rd, while Philadelphia shot 52% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the 76ers hit 14 threes at a 38% clip. The Mavericks sent Philadelphia to the line 24 times, where they converted 20 free throws. Dallas finished with 4 steals and 3 blocks.

• Although Dallas has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 110 points per game in these games.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
• Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 5-0 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.

The Pacers Can Win If…

With a 130-130 win over the Timberwolves on Monday, the Pacers improved to 38-29 this season. Indiana went into the game as +10.5 point underdogs and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The game’s total of 262 points was well over the 226.5-point line.

Indiana took control with a 14-0 run, stretching the score from 39-38 to 53-38. They held the Timberwolves to just 16 points in the 2nd quarter but allowed 41 points in the 3rd. Despite being outscored 30-28 in the 4th, the Pacers held on for the win.

Obi Toppin knocked down 7 threes at a 70% clip, finishing with 34 points and 10 rebounds in the Pacers’ 130-point effort against the Timberwolves. Toppin was especially clutch in overtime, scoring 12 points in the extra period. The Pacers hit 17 threes as a team, shooting 45.9% from beyond the arc.

Bennedict Mathurin added 22 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter. Quenton Jackson and Jarace Walker each contributed 13 points, with Jackson scoring 9 in the 4th quarter. Andrew Nembhard and Tony Bradley also reached double figures, each scoring 12 points.

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed just 16 points, the Pacers gave up 41 points in the 3rd, ultimately leading to a 130-130 loss to the Timberwolves. Indiana held Minnesota to 45% shooting from the field and 31% from beyond the arc, with the Timberwolves making 13 threes.

The Pacers sent the Timberwolves to the line 36 times, where they converted 29 free throws. Indiana finished with 34 defensive rebounds, allowing 9 offensive boards, and added 7 steals and 6 blocks.

• Although Indiana has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 116 points per game in these games.
• As the betting favorite, the Pacers have an ATS mark of just 4-5-1 in their last ten games. Indiana posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.
• In their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re calling a win for the Pacers, with a final score of 132-78, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Pacers at -9.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 234.5 and given that our model is projecting 210 points between the teams, we like the under.

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Pacers Open Home Stretch with Visit from Mavericks

The Indiana Pacers kick off a critical five-game homestand on Wednesday when they host the struggling Dallas Mavericks. With playoff positioning on the line, both teams will look to secure a much-needed victory.

Pacers Looking to Strengthen Playoff Positioning

Indiana (38-29) enters the final stretch of the regular season tied with the Milwaukee Bucks for the fourth spot in the Eastern Conference. However, the Bucks hold the tiebreaker after winning the season series, including a 126-119 victory over Indiana on Saturday.

The Pacers are also keeping an eye on the Detroit Pistons, who remain in sixth place and have matched Indiana and Milwaukee in wins entering Tuesday’s games.

With eight of their next 10 contests at home, the Pacers have a golden opportunity to solidify their standing. They capitalized on Monday with a thrilling 132-130 overtime victory against the Minnesota Timberwolves, despite missing several key players.

Bennedict Mathurin stepped up with 22 points while starting in place of Tyrese Haliburton (back), who was joined on the inactive list by Pascal Siakam (personal), Myles Turner (hip), and Aaron Nesmith (ankle). Haliburton and Siakam are questionable for Wednesday, while Turner and Nesmith are not listed on the latest injury report.

“We’ve got great guys on this team who know their jobs. Everybody on this team is a very good NBA player. … They know what they’ve got to do when they come into the game, and they’re thirsty. Everybody don’t play every single game.” — Obi Toppin

Toppin led the way in Monday’s win with a season-high 34 points and 10 rebounds, marking his second double-double with at least 30 points in the past month. His performance underscores Indiana’s depth, a key factor for those analyzing NBA expert predictions during this pivotal stretch.

Mavericks Struggling to Stay Afloat

Dallas (33-36) is on a three-game losing streak following a 130-125 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday. Already dealing with frontcourt depth issues, the Mavericks suffered another blow when Dante Exum broke his hand early in Sunday’s game.

“We’re professionals, and our job is to come out here and perform regardless of the circumstances that we’re in.” — Max Christie

With Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Daniel Gafford all sidelined, the Mavericks’ thin roster is feeling the strain. The team is also without All-Star Kyrie Irving, who suffered a torn ACL in what coach Jason Kidd called a “freak accident.” Irving had been leading Dallas with 24.7 points per game since Luka Doncic was traded to the Los Angeles Lakers.

Dallas is just 5-11 in the 16 games Davis has missed with an adductor injury, slipping dangerously close to the Western Conference playoff bubble. The Mavericks currently hold the 10th seed, clinging to the final play-in spot with just a one-game lead over 11th-place Phoenix.

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Despite the adversity, Dallas has seen bright spots, including P.J. Washington’s 29-point, 12-rebound performance against Philadelphia. Christie also provided a spark off the bench, hitting four three-pointers en route to 18 points.

Matchup Outlook

Indiana’s ability to capitalize on home-court advantage will be a major storyline, especially with Dallas desperate to turn things around. The Pacers’ depth gives them an edge, while the Mavericks must find a way to overcome their injuries and stay in the playoff hunt.

With the postseason race heating up, those following NBA betting predictions should watch for updates on key injuries, particularly Haliburton’s status for Indiana.