Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Predictions March 19th 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche March 19th 2025

Planning on watching today’s Avalanche and Maple Leafs game? Catch the action at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, as the Maple Leafs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on TNT. In this non-conference matchup, the Avalanche are favored by -1.5 vs. the Maple Leafs. The over/under for the game is 6 goals.

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Colorado vs. Toronto Key Information

• Teams: Avalanche at Maple Leafs
• Where: Scotiabank Arena Toronto
• Date: Wednesday, March 19th
• Betting Odds COL -122 | TOR +103 O/U 6

The Avalanche Can Win If…

Following a 5-2 loss to the Predators, the Avalanche’s record dropped to 41-24-3. Colorado initially took the lead with a goal at 17:06 in the second period, but Nashville answered with five straight goals, including two empty-netters.

The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, and the combined 7 goals surpassed that mark. Colorado was the underdog on the puck line, and their defense struggled, giving up the last five goals of the game.

In their 5-2 loss to the Predators, the Avalanche took 30 shots on goal but only found the net twice. Cale Makar opened the scoring with his 5th goal of the season on a power play, while Nathan MacKinnon added his 6th goal late in the third period.

Makar and MacKinnon each picked up an assist, with MacKinnon now at 14 assists for the season. The Avalanche had 23 offensive giveaways and were shut out in the first period before Makar’s goal at 17:06 in the second.

Justus Annunen made 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5% in Colorado’s 5-2 loss to Nashville. The Avalanche took a 1-0 lead at 17:06 of the 2nd period, but their defense gave up 5 goals, including two late empty-netters from the Predators. Colorado also allowed the first two goals of the 3rd period, which made the score 3-1. The Avalanche’s defense finished with 26 hits and 11 takeaways.

• Colorado will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. This includes going 1-2 vs. the puck line and posting an over-under mark of 2-1.
• The Avalanche have gone 8-2 over their last ten regular season games. This includes going 7-3 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 6-4.

The Maple Leafs Can Win If…

The Maple Leafs fell to 40-24-3 with a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. As underdogs on the puck line, the total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3.

Toronto gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it up with a power-play goal at 19:08. The Wild scored the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime.

William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, scoring on a power play at 19:08 in the first period. Auston Matthews, with his 6th assist, and Mitchell Marner, who now has 12 assists, contributed on Nylander’s goal.

Despite taking 28 shots on goal, Toronto only found the net once and recorded 10 giveaways. The Leafs were held scoreless in the second and third periods, as well as in overtime.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period, and the game-winner at 2:14 into overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. The defense also recorded 2 takeaways, 30 hits, and 24 blocks.

• Through their last three regular season contests, Toronto has a record of 1-2. Across this span, their puck line record sits at 2-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-1-1.
• Through their last ten regular season contests, Toronto has a record of 5-5. In these contests, the team went just 2-8 against the spread, while going 6-3-1 on the over-under.

The Lean

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Maple Leafs to secure a victory over the Avalanche at home. With the moneyline currently set at +103, I’m locking in my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Maple Leafs winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Maple Leafs straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

Leafs Seek Consistency Against Surging Avs

The Toronto Maple Leafs (40-24-3, 83 points) host the Colorado Avalanche (41-24-3, 85 points) on Wednesday night, aiming to maintain momentum from a 6-2 win over Calgary while testing themselves against one of the league’s hottest teams. Toronto enters the game having ended a stretch where they lost five of six, whereas Colorado rides an impressive 8-0-1 run – a matchup that should provide clarity on both sides’ playoff-readiness.

For bettors analyzing NHL Expert Picks, the tale of this matchup lies in the Leafs’ ability to hold leads versus the Avalanche’s balanced attack led by Nathan MacKinnon. Toronto’s recent lapses in defensive composure have proven costly, and this showdown offers a measuring stick to see if the Maple Leafs have truly addressed those issues.

Toronto Aims for Defensive Stability

The Maple Leafs rebounded from back-to-back home losses with a convincing 6-2 win over Calgary on Monday, featuring a revitalized performance from captain Auston Matthews (two power-play goals, one assist). Max Domi also notched a goal and delivered a highlight-reel assist, prompting praise from head coach Craig Berube about his increased aggressiveness and playmaking.

Despite Monday’s solid performance, sustaining intensity has been a concern for Toronto, highlighted by recent struggles in holding leads. A stark example was a 7-4 defeat in Colorado last week, where the Leafs led 4-2 midway through the third period before surrendering five unanswered goals (including two empty-netters). If the Maple Leafs hope to compete with the Avalanche this time, limiting D-zone turnovers and avoiding late-game collapses will be vital.

Avalanche Riding Hot Streak

Colorado, now 8-0-1 in its last nine, has overcome key injuries and remains a top contender in the Western Conference. The Avs displayed resilience on Sunday, outlasting the Dallas Stars 4-3 in overtime despite blowing a two-goal lead in the third period. Cale Makar sealed the victory with the OT tally, underscoring the blue line’s significant role in the Avs’ late-season surge.

Nathan MacKinnon, who leads the league in assists (76) and has 103 points overall, scored twice against Toronto in their previous meeting on March 8. With MacKinnon anchoring an explosive offense, the Avalanche can challenge the Maple Leafs’ defensive pairings – especially if key rearguard Josh Manson (lower-body injury) remains sidelined.

Head-to-Head Recap

• March 8 (in Colorado): Avalanche 7, Maple Leafs 4
  Toronto led 4-2 in the third period but surrendered four unanswered goals. Nathan MacKinnon netted two, while Toronto’s defensive lapses proved costly.

Given the teams’ contrasting moods – Toronto hoping to maintain a new standard and Colorado firing on all cylinders – Wednesday’s contest should be a revealing litmus test for both sides.

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Expert Prediction and Betting Insight

Toronto’s offense has reignited, but the main question remains: can they play a full 60 minutes of structured defense and secure leads against an elite foe? Meanwhile, Colorado continues to roll behind MacKinnon’s red-hot playmaking and the steady presence of Cale Makar on the back end.

If the Maple Leafs can avoid the turnovers and lapses that doomed them in their previous meeting, they stand a strong chance on home ice. However, the Avalanche’s depth and confidence pose a significant challenge. Bettors should weigh Toronto’s recent uptick in intensity against Colorado’s proven ability to capitalize on mistakes.

Check our latest NHL Expert Picks for in-depth betting angles and best-value options for this marquee East-West clash.