Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia-76ers Picks and Predictions March 19th 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia-76ers March 19th 2025

At 8:00 ET, the 76ers (+358) will travel to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder (-472) in a non-conference matchup. The Thunder (-10) are currently on a three-game win streak and are favored over the 76ers. The over/under line is set at 230.5 points.

This game will be played at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 56-12 and are currently the top team in the Western Conference. The 76ers are 23-45 and are 12th in the Eastern Conference.

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76ers vs. Thunder Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Philadelphia 76ers at Oklahoma City Thunder
• Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
• Date: Wednesday, March 19th
• Betting Odds OKC -10, PHI +358 | OKC -472 O/U 230.5

The 76ers Can Win If…

Philadelphia fell to 23-45 on the season after a 144-137 loss to the Rockets on Monday. The 76ers, who entered the game as +17 point underdogs, managed to keep things closer than expected. The total points for the game finished at 281, well over the pre-game O/U line of 223.5.

Philadelphia jumped out to a strong start, leading 78-57 at halftime. However, a 45-24 third quarter in favor of Houston brought the game back to even at 102-102 heading into the 4th. The 76ers went on a 10-0 run to take a 112-105 lead, but couldn’t hold on as the Rockets rallied to close out the game.

Quentin Grimes knocked down 8 threes at a 57.1% clip, leading the 76ers with 46 points and 13 rebounds in their 144-137 loss to the Rockets. Philadelphia hit 24 threes as a team, shooting 49% from deep and 50.5% overall from the field.

Grimes scored 17 points in the 4th quarter and added 6 more in overtime. Jared Butler contributed 11 of his 21 points in the 4th, while Justin Edwards finished with 18 points, hitting 4 threes at 57.1%.

The 76ers gave up 144 points in their loss to the Rockets, with a particularly rough 3rd quarter where they allowed 45 points. Overall, they allowed 28 points in the 1st and 4th quarters and 29 in the 2nd.

Defensively, the 76ers allowed the Rockets to shoot 47% from the field and 41% from three, with Houston hitting 22 threes. Philadelphia also sent the Rockets to the line 24 times, where they made 20 free throws. The 76ers recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks.

• In their last five road games, Philadelphia has averaged 120 points per game while allowing 128. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 3-2.
• Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Philadelphia has an ATS mark of 3-0 while going 1-2 straight up.
• Over their last five games, the 76ers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

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The Thunder Can Win If…

With a 121-105 win over the Bucks on Sunday, the Thunder improved to 56-12 this season. Oklahoma City, favored by -5.5 points, covered the spread with the +16 point victory. The game’s total of 226 points fell short of the 233-point over/under line.

After falling behind 29-24 following a 10-0 Bucks run, the Thunder responded by outscoring Milwaukee 29-15 in the 2nd quarter. They then took control with a 39-33 3rd quarter, entering the 4th with a 92-74 lead. Milwaukee edged the Thunder 31-29 in the final period, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the deficit.

In their win over the Bucks, the Thunder shot 51.7% from the field, but hit just 10 threes at a 34.5% clip. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 31 points and 8 assists, despite shooting 40.7% from the floor.

Isaiah Hartenstein was efficient, scoring 24 points on 73.3% shooting, while Isaiah Joe added 19 points, hitting 5 threes at 55.6%. Joe contributed 8 points in the 2nd quarter, matching Gilgeous-Alexander’s output in that frame.

The Thunder put together a strong defensive performance on Sunday, holding the Bucks to 105 points on 39% shooting. Oklahoma City was especially effective in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed just 15 points.

From beyond the arc, the Thunder gave up 13 threes on 38% shooting. They also sent the Bucks to the line 33 times, where Milwaukee converted 26 free throws. Oklahoma City finished with 42 defensive rebounds, while allowing 9 offensive boards.

• Across their last five home contests, Oklahoma City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 123 points per game.
• The Thunder have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
• In their last three games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For a pick on the point-spread in this Thunder vs. 76ers matchup, our bet is to grab the 76ers at +10. Even though our projections have the Thunder winning 73-69, we see the 76ers as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 230.5 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the under.

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Rising Thunder and Sliding Sixers to Collide in Oklahoma City

The Oklahoma City Thunder have all but shifted their focus to the postseason, while the Philadelphia 76ers appear to already be looking ahead to next season. On Wednesday, the two teams will meet in Oklahoma City in what could have implications for both their futures.

Thunder Eyeing No. 1 Seed

Oklahoma City (56-12) holds a commanding 12.5-game lead in the Western Conference with 14 games remaining. A win against the Sixers, combined with losses from Houston and Denver, would officially clinch the No. 1 seed for the second consecutive season.

The Thunder have been on fire, winning three straight games and 10 of their last 11. Coach Mark Daigneault has maintained a deep rotation, constantly adjusting lineups to keep opponents guessing.

“You can have the same effect by doing a lot of things and being unpredictable. You can save something and it’s unpredictable because no one’s ever seen it before, or you can do so many things that you become unpredictable.” — Mark Daigneault

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to make his case for MVP, leading the league with 33.0 points per game. Meanwhile, Luguentz Dort has emerged as a serious Defensive Player of the Year candidate, anchoring the league’s top-ranked defense, which boasts a 107.2 defensive rating.

For those looking to back Oklahoma City’s dominance, checking out the latest NBA expert picks could provide insight into their postseason potential.

Philadelphia’s Injury Woes Continue

The Sixers (23-45) have struggled all season, ranking among the bottom 10 teams in offensive rating at 112.4 points per 100 possessions. Their struggles have been exacerbated by a string of injuries, including the recent season-ending shutdown of Paul George.

“It just seemed like every time we built any momentum, we’d lost multiple players. Hopefully, everybody can get healthy as soon as possible and get back and have good summertime prep.” — Nick Nurse

Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, and George have all missed significant time, leaving Philadelphia in disarray. However, Maxey, who has been sidelined for eight consecutive games, is expected to return at some point during this six-game road trip.

Philadelphia’s struggles make this matchup particularly interesting for those analyzing the latest NBA predictions, as the Sixers aim to salvage something from a lost season.

Who Will Win the NBA Championship? – Get the latest odds & expert picks.

Draft Implications Loom

Beyond this season, Wednesday’s game carries additional weight. The Sixers’ first-round draft pick will go to the Thunder unless it lands in the top six. Currently, Philadelphia is teetering on that edge, with Toronto close behind in the draft lottery standings.

Oklahoma City won the first meeting between these teams 118-102 on Jan. 14, despite Embiid, George, and Maxey all being unavailable. However, Philadelphia has had success in Oklahoma City in recent years, winning their last four road games against the Thunder.

With the postseason looming, bettors and fans alike will be looking at the latest NBA betting predictions to see if the Thunder can keep rolling or if the Sixers can pull off an upset.