2025 The Valspar Championship Odds and Predictions

The 2025 Valspar Championship is set to tee off. This tournament, known for the challenging Copperhead Course, typically delivers surprises, and this year’s iteration should be no different.

While some of the world’s best golfers – including Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Collin Morikawa – will take the week off, the Vaspar field is still stacked with recognizable names. In this space, we’ll break down the 2025 Valspar Championship odds and pick a few winners for you to add to your bet slip.

Check out our expert analysis and free picks as we dive into the latest odds for the 2025 Valspar Championship. If you’re looking for more golf betting analysis, be sure to check out our PGA Tour coverage and our guide to betting on golf.

When Is The Valspar Championship?

The 2025 Valspar Championship will take place from Thursday, March 20 to Sunday, March 23, 2025.

Where Is The Valspar Championship?

The event is held at the Innisbrook Resort’s Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida. Known for its difficult “Snake Pit” finishing stretch, this course has been a staple on the PGA Tour for years, consistently providing a stern test for the world’s best players.

How To Watch The Valspar Championship?

Golf fans can catch all the action on Golf Channel and NBC, with live streaming available on PGA Tour Live, Peacock, and ESPN+.

Who Won The Valspar Championship in 2024?

Last year, American Peter Malnati came out of nowhere to win the Valspar Championship. The 37-year-old had previously won just once on the PGA Tour at the 2015 Sanderson Farms Championship. He has 8 professional wins on his ledger, with most of those coming on lesser golf circuits.

Malnati finished at 12-under, 2 strokes ahead of the runner-up, Cameron Young. Xander Schauffele – who will return to play in this year’s event – finished tied for 5th at 8-under.

The Valspar Championship Odds

Check out the latest Valspar Championship odds, courtesy of the the best sports betting sites.

Tommy Fleetwood is the current betting favorite at +1100, but Schauffele (+1200) isn’t far behind. Some intriguing value picks stand out further down the list, particularly Sam Burns (+2200), a past winner at Copperhead. For more expert insight, check out our best handicappers.

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The Valspar Championship Favorites

The following golfers are considered the odds-on favorites, according to the latest Valspar Championship odds:

Tommy Fleetwood (+1100)

Fleetwood leads the odds board at +1100, an indicator of his decent form and consistent finishes on tough courses. While he hasn’t yet broken through for a PGA Tour victory, this could be his moment.

Frankly, it’s hard to believe this guy has never won on the PGA Tour. Fleetwood is currently the 9th-ranked player in the world. 7 of his 10 career professional wins have come on the European Tour, yet he’s claimed a top-5 finish at each of the 4 majors over the course of his career. Fleetwood also took home the silver medal at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris.

The England native has finished 22nd or better in each of his first 4 starts of this season, including a solid tie for 5th at the Genesis Invitational back in the middle of February. Fleetwood settled for a tie for 14th at last week’s Players Championship.

Consistency is key, and Fleetwood has an average finish of 7-under par over his last 5 events. He finished 16th at his first-ever Valspar appearance in 2022, while he tied for 3rd in 2023.

Xander Schauffele (+1200)

Schauffele at +1200 is another favorite. Schauffele spent most of last season riding Scheffler’s coattails, though he’ll have a chance to break through this week with Scheffler out.

The American’s 2025 season is off to an inauspicious start. Schauffele hasn’t finished better than 30th at his 3 outings at The Sentry, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and last week’s Players Championship. He fell to 72nd last week, finishing a brutal 13-over par. An unsightly 81 in the final round was ultimately his undoing.

It’s worth noting that Schauffele has been hampered by a rib injury, which helps to explain his subpar form. Schauffele is still making cuts – he’s now made the cut in 58 consecutive tournaments – but he was close to missing last week at The Players. Schauffele did finish 5th here last year and he’s one of the steadiest presences on the PGA Tour, but I have no idea how you can justify betting on him given how terrible he’s looked as he continues to play through the injury.

I’ll pass on Schauffele this week, even though his +1200 odds to win are admittedly tempting.

Sepp Straka (+1600)

Sepp Straka has quietly climbed the ranks and sits at +1600 to lift the trophy this week. With a history of solid performances in similar setups, he presents good value among the favorites at those odds.

The Austrian already has a victory on his ledger this season, which came at the AmEx back in January. Straka’s been busy, as this will already be his 10th start of the campaign. He’s missed the cut just once – at The Genesis – and he’s already racked up 4 finishes inside the top-5. Straka also hasn’t finished worse than 30th in any of the events at which he’s made the cut.

However, Straka did miss the cut at last year’s Valspar Championship. He has an average finish of 46th with an average score of 3-over at his last 2 outings at Copperhead, so this course hasn’t really treated him all that well over the years.

The Valspar Championship Best Betting Value

The following golfers offer betting value based on their current Valspar Championship odds, 2025 seasons to date, and past success at this golf course::

Justin Thomas (+2000)

While Justin Thomas has been inconsistent lately, he has the firepower to dominate a field like this. If he finds his groove, his odds offer excellent value.

Thomas has flashed an awfully wide range of outcomes on the season. The Kentucky native has finished as high as 2nd place – at the AmEx – but he’s also finished 26th or worse in another 4 events. Thomas hasn’t missed a cut yet in 2025, however, so that consistency should give you some solace if you take a shot on his +2000 odds to win the Valspar.

He has an average finish of 23rd place with an average score of -6 at his last 5 trips to the Valspar, as well. Thomas’ best showing was a 3rd-place finish here in 2022, while he finished 10th the year after that. Thomas’ 2024 Valspar Championship was a rough go, however, as he slumped all the way to 64th.

Still, you’re getting what has historically been an upper-echelon golfer at +2000, which isn’t too shabby.

Sam Burns (+2200)

As mentioned, Sam Burns has won here before, which counts for something. His ability to handle the Copperhead Course makes him a yearly contender, and we’re getting pretty good value in the +2200 odds.

Burns is still fairly young at 28, and his awful recent form is likely contributing to his long-ish odds. Burns finished tied for 8th at The Sentry in his first start of the year, but it’s been all downhill from there. Burns hasn’t finished better than 22nd in any of his subsequent 6 appearances on tour, including a missed cut at The Players a week ago. That was Burns’ first missed cut of the year, to be fair.

Burns also missed the cut at last year’s Valspar Championship, so it hasn’t been all roses for him here over the years. That said, he’s won this tournament twice. The LSU alum won back-to-back Valspars in 2021 and 2022, respectively, before finishing 3rd place in 2023. You won’t often see a player with that kind of elite track record at a single course, especially a player as young as he is.

While he struggled last year, it’s fair to assume he’s a good bet to bounce back this year. His recent form does give me some pause, but Burns is hard to overlook given his copious amounts of success at Copperhead.

The Top Valspar Championship Longshot

Kurt Kitayama (+5000) is a boom-or-bust type of player, but his ability to rise to the occasion in tough conditions makes him a worthwhile longshot pick.

Kitayama has just one career appearance at the Valspar Championship. He missed the cut here in 2022, which certainly doesn’t inspire much confidence. He has also been awful so far this season, which inspires even less confidence. Kitayama has missed 3 cuts in 7 tournaments, and his 33rd-place finish at last week’s Players Championship was his best of the campaign. Not ideal!

Kitayama’s recent struggles are a surprise considering he finished the 2024 season well. This is the epitome of a YOLO longshot bet at his +5000 odds.

The Valspar Championship Predictions

Fleetwood has as good a chance as anybody to win this week, but the fact that he’s never done so on the PGA Tour does give me some pause. I just don’t see much of a need to wager on him to finally do so this week, especially as the favorite.

Frankly, I think Burns is a phenomenal value at +2200 given his history of dominance at Copperhead. The fact that he’s been struggling is a bit of a concern, however. For that reason, I’d rather make the more consistent Straka (+1600) as my golf pick for this week’s PGA event.

Bet: Sepp Straka (+1600)

Valspar Championship Prop Bets

The following PGA Tour prop bets are courtesy of Bet365:

Best Top 5 Finish

Burns knows how to navigate this course and has a great shot at a top-five finish. Even if he doesn’t win the tournament outright, would anybody really be shocked to see him in the running come Sunday? The +400 odds on Burns to land inside the top-5 offer loads of upside.

Bet: Sam Burns (+400) 

Best Top 10 Finish

Zalatoris is an elite ball striker, and he’s yet another player who’s flying under the radar heading into this one. He’s been scuffling – no finishes higher than 12th all season – but a weaker field for the Valspar Championship could lead to his best result of the young campaign.

Bet: Will Zalatoris (+360)

Top 5 Finish

I like Straka’s chances of winning this week, so, naturally, I also like his odds of cracking the top-5. +360 on a top-5 finish is excellent value for a consistent player with a trio of top-5 finishes already this season.

Bet: Sepp Straka (+360)