2025 PFL World Tournament 1 Odds and Predictions 

It’s that time of year again; you can bet on who will win the PFL World Tournament. The 2025 PFL World Tournament odds are up online at the top sports betting sites, and now is the time to place your bets.

PFL 1 will kick off on Thursday at Universal Studios in Orlando, Florida, as eight different fighters in eight different weight classes will touch gloves en route to one champion per weight class. If you’re new to this event or just want some help placing some bets, you can use our PFL and UFC picks for this week.

The tournament gets started with six bouts in the Prelims at 7:00 pm ET, which can be viewed on ESPN+. Follow that up with the main card, which features four more fights in single elimination format, with the action dropping at 10:00 pm EST on ESPN+ and ESPN2.

This opening event for the PFL tourney will feature bouts within the Welterweight and Featherweight divisions. Eager to place your PFL 1 bets? Let’s dive into the latest PFL 1 odds and see which fighters are worth backing.

How To Watch PFL World Tournament 1?

The first round of the 2025 PFL tournament will be stretched over several events, but PFL 1 specifically can be viewed on ESPN+ and ESPN2.

When Is PFL World Tournament 1?

The 2025 PFL World Tournament officially gets underway this week on Thursday, when 10 fights fire off with the start of round one.

Where Is PFL World Tournament 1? 

PFL 1 for 2025 will ring the bell at Universal Studios in Orlando, Florida. The semifinals will be hosted in Nashville, Wichita, and Chicago.

PFL World Tournament Schedule

Check out the upcoming 2025 PFL World Tournament schedule:

• April 3: 2025 PFL World Tournament 1: First Round 
• April 11: 2025 PFL World Tournament 2: First Round 
• April 18: 2025 PFL World Tournament 3: First Round 
• May 1: 2025 PFL World Tournament 4: First Round 
• June 12: 2025 PFL World Tournament 5: Semifinals 
• June 20: 2025 PFL World Tournament 6: Semifinals 
• June 27: 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals 
• August 12: 2025 PFL World Tournament 8: Finals 
• August 15: 2025 PFL World Tournament 9: Finals 
• August 21: 2025 PFL World Tournament 10: Finals 

PFL World Tournament 1 Main Card Odds

Check out the latest PFL World Tournament 1 odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites: 

The PFL 1 main card is pretty interesting. There’s just one bout that is extremely lopsided, while two of these fights seem like they’ll be incredibly tough to call.

You will likely want to target the method of victory for the Movlid Khaybulaev fight, unless of course you feel like hunting one of the biggest PFL 1 upsets to get this tourney started.

I have my PFL 1 picks ready to rock. You can roll with how I see these fights shaking out, or read on for some more analysis on each bout. Want even more advice? Check out the best handicappers available online for extra insight before placing any PFL bets.

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PFL World Tournament 1 Predictions For The Main Card

The PFL 1 main card can be viewed on ESPN+ and ESPN2, starting at 10:00 pm EST.

Jason Jackson (-215) vs. Andrey Koreshkov (+185)

It will be hard to go against Jason Jackson (18-5) going into round one of the 2025 PFL tournament. He’s 34 now, but he has just one loss since 2019 and he has nice finishing upside. His last fight was his first loss in forever, but a Decision defeat against Ramazan Kuramagomedov (13-0) is nothing to be ashamed of.

Jackson is getting older, but he’s tough as nails and looks poised to at least get to the second round of this thing. That said, he’ll be facing Andrey Koreshkov (28-5), who has a more impressive record and is even nastier (14 KOs) when it comes to early stoppage wins.

Andrey is coming off of a nice Decision victory against Goiti Yamauchi in his last bout, and is a solid 6-1 over his last seven matches. His lone defeat came against Magomed Umalatov, which nobody will be holding against him.

Both of these Welterweights are 34 years old and have been in good form, so I am a bit surprised to see such a wide price gap. These guys are both former Bellator champs and without a doubt, this is the key draw of round one.

Jackson is the betting favorite, but I am calling the upset. Andrey is a really tough fighter with good striking and nice finishing ability. He needs this one to stay on the feet and he needs a finish early, but he’s capable of pulling it off.

Bet: Andrey Koreshkov (+185)

Jesus Pinedo (-180) vs. Adam Borics (+155)

Next up is Jesus Pinedo (23-6) against Adam Borics (19-2). Pinedo has more experience, but he’s also endured more lumps in the road to get here. Borics will need to prove his worth as the mild +155 underdog, but his record has admittedly been more impressive.

That isn’t to say Pinedo is not a problem; he most certainly is. The 28-year old has 14 knockouts to his name and he’s only been KO’d twice. That hasn’t happened since 2015, either, as he’s an impressive 14-2 over his last 16 fights.

Pinedo has stopped his opponent early in three straight fights and he’ll be a real threat to make it four in a row as he tries to advance to round two of the PFL World Tournament. Borics isn’t an easy opponent, as he’s never been KO’d and has proven to be a tough and versatile fighter.

That could have it being closer than expected, but the reality is Pinedo is the more explosive mixed martial artist. I think the value lies with him in this one.

Bet: Jesus Pinedo (-180)

Magomed Umalatov (-330) vs. Logan Storley (+270)

The PFL odds start getting a bit wonkier in this third fight on the PFL 1 main card, where Magomed Umalatov is a pretty big -330 betting favorite.

The math checks out, as Umalatov is 17-1 for his career and has been a vicious fighter (11 KOs). He is coming off his first and only defeat, of course, which also happened to be a TKO defeat by the hands of Shamil Musaev.

I wouldn’t hold that against him, and would fully expect him to bounce back against Logan Storley (16-3), who is just 2-2 over his last four fights. He has the ability to finish fights (9 KOs), but this is a mismatch and I don’t anticipate an upset.

Bet: Magomed Umalatov (-330)

Movlid Khaybulaev (-750) vs. Jeremy Kennedy (+550)

The last fight of the 2025 PFL 1 main card has Movlid Khaybulaev (20-0-1) as a massive favorite to win. This dude has a draw on his resume, but has yet to officially lose. Moreover, this guy inflicts a lot of damage and consistently wins rounds.

That’s a big reason why he’s racked up 12 Decision wins throughout his career. His finishing ability hasn’t been amazing, but he hasn’t really been close to losing a fight since 2019 and I doubt we see that change in round one of the 2025 PFL tourney.

Jeremy Kennedy (19-5) is a solid fighter, but the 32-year old appears to be regressing. He’s dropped two fights in a row, and he may be overmatched in the wrestling department in this one.

Bet: Movlid Khaybulaev (-750)

PFL World Tournament 1 Preliminary Card Odds

Check out the latest PFL World Tournament 1 odds for the Preliminary Card:

PFL World Tournament 1 Predictions For The Preliminary Card

The PFL Prelims get going at 7:00 pm EST on ESPN+.

Thad Jean (-240) vs. Mukhamed Berkamov (+205)

Thad Jean starts off the PFL 1 Prelims as a pretty nice favorite. That isn’t too shocking, seeing as he’s a perfect 8-0. He’s got some KO power (4 KOs) and he’s coming in hot with two wins in 2024 and more specifically a nice Decision win over Chris Brown last August.

This matchup will be a contrast of styles, as Jean offers the size, power, and striking advantage, while Berjamov will hope this one goes to the ground. He does offer pretty good value here, especially when you consider he would have an edge in terms of wrestling and submission ability.

Ultimately, Jean’s power and aggressiveness do give him enough of an edge to take a shot at his -240 odds. If you don’t love those odds – and even if you do – I’d be hunting two different additional wagers; Jean by KO, or Buerkamov via submission.

Bet: Thad Jean (-240)

Gabriel Braga (-600) vs. Yves Landu (+425)

There are a couple of huge PFL 1 favorites that are so likely to win that we probably don’t need to think twice about it. One of them is Gabriel Braga (15-2), who is a -600 favorite against Yves Landu (21-9).

The 26-year old Braga is pretty one-dimensional (7 KOs, 0 submissions), but he’s only been KO’d once and that happened back in 2023 against Jesus Pinedo. There’s no shame in that, and he’s gone 3-1 since that loss, so it looks like he’s very much back on track.

Braga is still young enough to get tripped up, but this isn’t the bout to bet on it. Landu doesn’t have nearly as imposing of a record and at age 38, is naturally past his prime. He’s been in fantastic form (5-0 over his last five fights), but he’s quite simply overmatched here.

Bet: Gabriel Braga (-600)

Masayuki Kikuiri (-184) vs. Giannis Bachar (+159)

The other PFL 1 Prelims are pretty evenly matched in terms of pricing. In this one we see Masayuki Kikuiri (10-2-1) as a decent -184 favorite, but he should be challenged by Giannis Bachar (9-2).

Kikuiri has seven KOs to his name and is on fire at the moment (four straight wins), while his lone KO defeat came way back in 2019. He’s also won via finish in three of his last four victories, so he looks like a reasonable bet to do something similar in this one.

Even so, Bachar is a dangerous striker (8 KOs) who has never been knocked out. The downside? He absolutely has some flaws, and lacks versatility. He’s specifically been submitted twice, and he’ll be going up against a more skilled and more disciplined fighter in Kikuiri.

I put Bachar live for the upset due to his power and striking, but I lean Kikuiri due to being a bit more balanced.

Bet: Masayuki Kikuiri (-184)

Tae Kyun Kim (-140) vs. Nathan Kelly (+110)

Nathan Kelly is a compelling underdog at PFL 1. The 27-year old has a respectable 11-3 record and has proven to be a tough and versatile fighter. He has knockout ability (4 KOs), but he’s even more dangerous on the mat (5 submissions).

He did lose via submission in his last bout, but has otherwise been in solid form with a 4-1 mark over his last five fights. He’s a slight underdog here, but his versatile skill-set makes him a fun underdog.

Kelly gets Tae Kyun Kim (10-1), who is just as versatile and has yet to be finished. He’s coming off of his first career loss, however, so it’s arguable he could be a bit vulnerable coming into PFL 1.

I see why Kim is the favorite, but I dig the value with Kelly. I like him at his +110 moneyline, but a win via submission will also be an appealing bet to target.

Bet: Nathan Kelly (+110)

Joseph Luciano (-230) vs. Sarek Shields (+195)

Joseph Luciano is the likely winner when he touches gloves with Sarek Shields. He’s got a solid 10-2 record so far and is a major problem on the canvas (6 submissions). He’s not a real threat on his feet, however, which could leave some wiggle room for someone like Shields (6-2) to stage the upset.

Luciano’s defense is another big reason why he’s a sizable favorite here, however, while he’s also a tough fighter. He’s never been finished, and I don’t see why Shields would be the first to do it.

Shields has not displayed reliable power and if he gets this fight to the floor, I’d just favor Luciano.

Bet: Joseph Luciano (-230)

Nathan Ghareeb (-115) vs. Fred Dupras (-105)

The last PFL 1 Prelims bout is the toughest match of this entire card to call. It sees Nathan Ghareeb (9-3) taking on Fred Dupras (8-1) in a fight where Ghareeb is the slightest of favorites.

You could argue either side of this one. Ghareeb has won eight of his fights by stoppage, so we know he can be dominant and explosive. He’s been KO’d already in his young career, of course, and it happened not that long ago against Lerryan Douglas in May of 2024.

The nice thing is Ghareeb did manage to bounce back and take out Mohammad Al Kinani, and he’s facing a one-dimensional opponent in Dupras. Unfortunately, the one thing Dupras is good at, he’s elite at.

Dupras has eight submissions to his name and he is in elite form with six consecutive wins. His lone KO loss came all the way back in 2018, too, so he has learned his lesson and has exhibited fantastic toughness and stellar defense ever since then.

Given his ability to fend off quality striking – and his desire to get this fight to the mat and finish his opponent – I tend to side with Dupras.

Bet: Fred Dupras (-105)

The Best PFL World Tournament Picks

The following is our best PFL World Tournament picks for this week’s event:

• Masayuki Kikuiri (-184)
• Thad Jean (-240)
• Jesus Pinedo (-180)

A lot of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 1 fights are priced nicely, so you can certainly pick a slew of bouts to target. The three fights listed above stand out above the others, however, as I think these are elite values.

Masayuki Kikuiri is too cheap considering his skill-set and the opponent he’s facing. He simply has too many weapons at his disposal, whereas the sloppy Giannis is sure to get tripped up and either leave an opening for a finish, or allow enough damage to see Kikuiri score better.

Thad Jean definitely needs to be on high alert, as he is at risk of tapping out if he’s not careful. I think his elite defense and striking give him the edge, however. I like his -240 price, but would be even more excited to hunt a KO on his behalf.

Lastly, there’s Jesus Pinedo, who is really nicely priced for a guy with high-level finishing ability. His defense is also fantastic, while he’s on fire right now. I highly doubt his streak runs cold in the first round of the PFL tourney.

PFL Fight Card

Check out the updated PFL World Tournament fight card: