2025 PGA Valero Texas Open Odds and Predictions

The PGA Tour rolls into San Antonio this week for the 2025 Valero Texas Open, and with The Masters looming just a week away, this event serves as a final tune-up for several notable names looking to sharpen their form.

As always, we’re diving deep into the odds, value plays, and long shots to help you refine your golf betting strategies.

If you’re new to golf betting or just looking for reliable wagering insights, be sure to explore our top sports betting sites. We also provide weekly breakdowns across the PGA Tour to help you stay ahead of the competition.

Where Is The Valero Texas Open Played?

The Valero Texas Open is held at TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course), a par-72 track stretching over 7,400 yards.

This Greg Norman-designed course has hosted the event since 2010 and is known for its wind exposure, tight fairways, and strategically placed hazards. It rewards precision and iron play, making it a true test before Augusta pops up on the schedule next week.

How To Watch Valero Texas Open

You can catch the action on the Golf Channel and CBS throughout the weekend. Streaming is available through the PGA Tour Live platform and the Paramount+ app for CBS coverage. Tee times usually begin early Thursday morning, with featured groups broadcast live.

What Is The Valero Texas Open Purse?

The 2025 purse is set at $9.5 million, up from $9.2 million last year. The winner will take home about $1.7 million along with 500 FedExCup points. The $1.7 million figure for the top finisher is about 18 percent of the total prize pool.

This makes the Valero Texas Open one of the more lucrative non-major stops on the PGA Tour.

Who Won The Valero Texas Open?

In 2024, Akshay Bhatia claimed his first career Texas Open title after outlasting Denny McCarthy in a playoff. Bhatia carded a final score of 20-under par, which was the best score at this event since Corey Conners matched it back in 2019. Conners is a 2-time winner of this event, as he also won it back in 2023.

In news that should surprise nobody, both Bhatia and Conners are among the betting favorites to win this year’s Texas Open, as well. The field is a bit weaker than the one we saw at last week’s Houston’s Open, as top-ranked players like Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele will take the week off leading up to the Masters.

The Valero Texas Open Odds

Check out the latest 2025 Valero Texas Open odds:

Ludvig Aberg comes in as the betting favorite at +1200, but there’s a tight cluster of contenders right behind him. With the likes of Patrick Cantlay, Jordan Spieth, and Hideki Matsuyama in the mix, this could be one of the more competitive editions in recent memory. For more betting advice from the best handicappers, check out our featured experts.

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The Valero Texas Open Favorites

The following golfers are considered the odds-on favorites, according to the latest Valero Texas Open odds:

Ludvig Aberg (+1200)

The young Swede has made waves on the PGA Tour in the past year and comes into San Antonio as the betting favorite. With a combination of elite distance and underrated short game, Aberg is looking for a statement win ahead of his 2nd career trip to Augusta.

Remember, Aberg finished 2nd behind Scheffler at last year’s Masters. He’ll headline the field at the Valero Texas Open as the favorite as he prepares to seek his first-ever major championship.

Aberg leads the PGA Tour in strokes gained: off the tee and ranks second in total driving. Both of which are critical for navigating the long and demanding TPC San Antonio layout. Aberg also ranks 2nd in par-5 scoring and 8th in birdie average.

Although he missed the cut here in 2023, Aberg’s game has evolved dramatically since then. With six Top-25 finishes in his last seven starts and an elite tee-to-green game, he’s always a candidate to find his way to the top of the leaderboard. Aberg finished a much more respectable tied for 14th in San Antonio last year.

This could very well be his week for the youngsters to notch that second PGA Tour win on U.S. soil.

Corey Conners (+1600)

A two-time winner at this event (2019, 2023), Corey Conners thrives at TPC San Antonio. His elite ball striking fits this course perfectly, and with +1600 odds, there’s strong value for bettors who believe in course history.

Conners is practically synonymous with success at TPC San Antonio, and he’s looking to become the first player to ever win the event three times.

Conners ranks 12th on Tour in shots gained: approach and is 20th in greens in regulation, which suits this course perfectly. His ball-striking consistency is a huge edge on a layout that demands accuracy over power.

He’s also been dialed in recently, finishing inside the Top 25 in four of his last five starts. With a strong history and current form to match, Conners offers a compelling combination of reliability and upside, making him a phenomenal betting choice at +1600.

Tommy Fleetwood (+1600)

Tommy Fleetwood has quietly pieced together a solid early-season resume. His putting remains a concern, but if he can find the flat stick this week, he has the all-around game to contend.

Fleetwood enters the Valero Texas Open with considerable momentum and compelling upside. He’s gained strokes in six straight tournaments and ranks 14th on Tour in total shots gained, which is a good indicator of his balanced skill set across all facets of the game.

Fleetwood also ranks 9th in scrambling and 15th in shots gained: around the green, which are both critical stats for navigating the tricky run-offs and firm greens at TPC San Antonio.

With multiple top-20 finishes this season and a reputation for performing well in tough conditions, Fleetwood is trending upward. His consistency, recent form, and sharp short game make him a strong contender to notch his first PGA Tour win, at long last.

The Best Valero Texas Open Betting Value

The following golfers offer betting value based on their Valero Texas Open odds, current season to date, and previous results in this tournament:

Keegan Bradley +2200

Keegan Bradley at +2200 is an appealing value pick this week, especially considering his current form and course fit. Bradley leads the PGA Tour in Total Driving and ranks second in shots gained: off the tee over his last 24 rounds—an ideal combo for success at TPC San Antonio.

He’s also coming off a strong performance at The Players Championship and has consistently gained strokes tee-to-green. With the kind of reliable ball-striking that suits this layout, Bradley is a sneaky-good option for those hunting value in the mid-tier price range.

Daniel Berger (+3000)

Daniel Berger at +3000 also offers intriguing value. Berger enters this week’s event as one of the top sleepers after finishing T13 at the Valspar Championship in his last start. The former World No. 12 has been working his way back into form after an extended injury layoff and is showing signs of returning to the elite ball-striking that made him a four-time PGA Tour winner.

He ranks 15th in shots gained: approach over his last two starts and has gained strokes off-the-tee in three of his last four events. If his iron play holds up, Berger is more than capable of contending—and possibly winning—at a course like TPC San Antonio, where precision is typically tantamount to success.

The Top Valero Texas Open Longshot

Ben Griffin at +4500 is a compelling longshot to target this week. Griffin has made the cut in seven of his last eight starts and comes in off a T13 finish at the Valspar Championship.

He ranks inside the top 35 in strokes gained: putting and has gained strokes tee-to-green in four of his last five tournaments. With a steady all-around game and the ability to consistently roll the rock with impressive accuracy, Griffin has the kind of upside needed to surprise at a venue like TPC San Antonio, where short game and scoring efficiency matter.

The Valero Texas Open Predictions

Based on all the players we’ve discussed, my favorite bet to win the 2025 Valero Texas Open is Ludvig Aberg at +1200. He’s the favorite, but a worthy one.

Although he missed the cut here last year, Aberg’s improvement since then is substantial. All eyes will be on Aberg at Augusta next week, and I think he can build momentum going into the Masters with a win this week down in Texas.

In a field without a dominant force, Aberg’s blend of power, precision, and form makes him the most well-rounded bet among the favorites. He checks every statistical and narrative box. For more expert golf picks, check out our full breakdown.

Bet: Ludvig Aberg (+1200)

The Best Valero Texas Open Prop Bets

The following PGA Tour prop bets are courtesy of Bet365:

Best Top 5 Finish

He’s as consistent as they come at TPC San Antonio, and his history here makes him one of the safest bets to land in the Top 5.

Bet: Corey Conners (+330)

Best Top 10 Finish

Fleetwood’s all-around consistency and recent form suggest a strong finish is very much in play.

Bet: Tommy Fleetwood (+160)

To Play in the Final Pairing

As the tournament favorite, Aberg will likely be in the mix all weekend if he keeps the driver under control.

Bet: Ludvig Aberg (+1200)

Valero Texas Open Winners

The following is a list of the most recent Valero Texas Open winners: