Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto-raptors Picks and Predictions April 11th 2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto-Raptors April 11th 2025

At 8:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-583) will host the Toronto Raptors (+429) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 225 points.

Currently, the Raptors are 11th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 30-50, while the Mavericks are 10th in the West at 38-42. Toronto has won two straight games, while Dallas has dropped three in a row.

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Raptors vs. Mavericks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks
• Where: Dallas at American Airlines Center
• Date: Friday, April 11th
• Betting Odds DAL -11, TOR +429 | DAL -583 O/U 225

The Raptors Can Win If…

The Raptors improved to 30-50 on the season with a dominant 126-96 win over the Hornets on Wednesday. Playing at home, Toronto entered the game as -11.5 point favorites and covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game reached 222, just surpassing the O/U line of 219.

Toronto took control after a close 1st quarter, outscoring Charlotte 28-22 in the 2nd. They extended their lead with a 35-23 3rd quarter, going into the 4th up 88-68. The Raptors finished strong, outscoring the Hornets 38-28 in the final period.

Jared Rhoden’s 23 points and 7 rebounds on 66.7% shooting led the Raptors in their 126-96 win over the Hornets. Rhoden hit 3 threes at a 60% clip, while Scottie Barnes also made 3 threes, finishing with 17 points, 11 rebounds, and 5 assists. Jonathan Mogbo added a double-double with 17 points, 11 rebounds, and 11 assists.

Toronto connected on 19 threes, shooting 36.5% from deep and 47.1% overall. Rhoden scored 10 points in the 4th quarter, while Barnes added 9 in the 3rd. Mogbo contributed 7 points in the 3rd and 6 more in the 4th.

The Raptors put on a defensive clinic against the Hornets, holding them to just 96 points. Toronto allowed 23 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, and just 22 in the 2nd. Even in the 4th, the Hornets could only manage 28 points.

Toronto limited Charlotte to 43% shooting, including just 31% from three, where the Hornets hit 11 threes. The Raptors also sent Charlotte to the line 16 times, where they made 13 free throws. Toronto controlled the boards, giving up just 5 offensive rebounds, while also recording 8 steals.

• Through their last ten road games, Toronto has an ATS record of just 8-2. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 113 points per game.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Raptors have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
• Over their last five games, the Raptors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

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The Mavericks Can Win If…

Dallas fell to 38-42 on the season after a 112-97 loss to the Lakers on Wednesday. The Mavericks were +4.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 209 points fell well short of the 226.5-point over/under line.

Dallas led 30-26 after the 1st quarter but allowed the Lakers to take control, outscoring them 34-27 in the 2nd quarter and 23-19 in the 3rd. The Mavericks went on a 12-0 run to take an 86-83 lead in the 4th quarter, but the Lakers responded by outscoring them 29-21 to close out the game.

Naji Marshall led the Mavericks with 23 points and 8 assists in their 97-point effort against the Lakers, shooting 64.3% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 40%. P.J. Washington added 14 points, knocking down 3 threes at 42.9%, while Anthony Davis contributed 13 points and 11 rebounds.

Dallas shot 50% from the field but struggled from deep, connecting on just 9 threes at 34.6%. Marshall scored 9 points in the 1st quarter and added 8 more in the 3rd.

Defensively, the Mavericks had a strong 3rd quarter, giving up just 23 points, but they struggled in the 2nd, allowing 34 points in their 112-97 loss to the Lakers. Overall, they held Los Angeles to 12 made threes on 33% shooting from deep.

Dallas sent the Lakers to the line 21 times, where they converted 16 free throws. The Mavericks finished with 6 steals and 6 blocked shots, but they allowed 15 offensive rebounds.

• Across the Mavericks last ten home games, the team averaged 112 points per game while allowing 121. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 4-6 straight-up.
• Although the Mavericks have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-4.
• In their last three games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Mavericks to secure the win, with an expected final score of 145-58. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -11.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 225, and our model predicts the Raptors and Mavericks to score a combined 203 points. We recommend betting on the under.

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Mavericks Look to Snap Skid as Raptors Come to Town

The Dallas Mavericks are trying to halt a late-season slide before it costs them a postseason berth. Losers of three straight, the Mavericks return home to face the surging Toronto Raptors on Friday with hopes of regaining momentum before the play-in tournament.

Dallas (38-42) has dropped to the 10th and final play-in spot in the Western Conference, and recent performances haven’t inspired much confidence. Wednesday’s 112-97 loss to the Lakers was punctuated by Luka Doncic’s return to Dallas—not as a hero, but as the enemy. The former face of the franchise torched the Mavs for 45 points, including 31 in the first half.

“We have two games left to get things going in the right direction before we play Sacramento (in the play-in). That’s all we’re worried about,”

– Mavericks coach Jason Kidd on looking ahead despite the recent skid.

Before diving into who can step up for Dallas, don’t miss our expert NBA picks and predictions to help you bet smarter on this must-win matchup.

Injuries have compounded Dallas’ struggles. With Kyrie Irving out for the season due to a torn ACL, the team has leaned on P.J. Washington (14.7 ppg, 7.8 rpg) and Klay Thompson (14.1 ppg), but scoring has been inconsistent. The Mavs have failed to reach 100 points in two of their last three games. Naji Marshall, averaging 13.4 ppg, has emerged as a bright spot, leading the team in scoring in two of those losses.

The Raptors (30-50), by contrast, come in hot, winning six of their last nine. On Wednesday, they dominated the Hornets 126-96, powered by an unexpected triple-double from rookie Jonathan Mogbo—17 points, 11 assists, and 10 rebounds. Mogbo is the first member of the 2024 draft class to accomplish the feat.

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“Every time I go out there, I try to be aggressive and open things up on the court,”

– Raptors rookie Jonathan Mogbo on his evolving role.

Jared Rhoden added 23 points off the bench, and RJ Barrett continues to lead the team in scoring with 21.1 points per game. Scottie Barnes (18.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 5.8 apg) and Jakob Poeltl (14.5 ppg, 9.6 rpg) round out a balanced attack that’s gaining confidence despite being out of the playoff hunt.

The Mavericks are desperate to right the ship before it’s too late. The Raptors, meanwhile, are embracing their spoiler role with a confident young core eager to prove themselves.