Last week’s Top 10 NFL picks for Scores & Stats were split right down the middle against the closing number at 5-5. The underdogs covered in 10 of the 16 games.
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Moving to this Sunday’s NFL schedule, here are my Top 10 plays for Week 16.
Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs Picks
Best Bet: OVER 53½
Atlanta has lost its last three games SU and it is riding out the string at 4-10 straight-up. The Chiefs are rolling towards the No. 1 seed in the AFC at 13-1 SU with the total going OVER in four of their last six games.
Carolina Panthers at Washington Football Team Picks
Best Bet: Carolina +2½
The Panthers are just 4-10 SU overall but they have covered in four of their last six games. Washington desperately needs to win this game to hold onto first place in the NFC East but quarterback Alex Smith remains questionable.
Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars Picks
Best Bet: Chicago -7½
The 7-7 Bears are still in contention for a wild card spot in the NFC while 1-13 Jacksonville has its sights set on the No. 1 pick in next year’s NFL draft. Chicago has won eight of its last 11 December games SU.
Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans Picks
Best Bet: Cincinnati +9
The Bengals are coming off a huge Monday night upset over Pittsburgh. At 4-10 SU with a 5-9 record ATS, Houston is not good enough to cover nine points against any NFL team. The Texans are 2-4 ATS in their last six games against the AFC North.
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Cleveland Browns at New York Jets Picks
Best Bet: UNDER 46½
The total has stayed UNDER in five of Cleveland’s last six conference games. It has also stayed UNDER in seven of the Jets’ last 10 games overall. Weather in New Jersey begins to be a factor this time of the year help produce lower scoring games.
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers Picks
Best Bet: Indianapolis +2½
The Colts remain in a heated battle with Tennessee for first place in the AFC South. They have won six of their last seven games SU including three victories on the road. The Steelers are suddenly in a free fall after winning their first 11 games.
New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens Picks
Best Bet: New York +12½
The Giants are still in contention for the NFC East title at 5-9. They are also a very profitable 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Ravens should win SU but covering that many points could be a challenge.
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Denver Broncos at Las Angeles Chargers Picks
Best Bet: Denver +3
Both of these teams are 5-9 SU and eliminated from playoff contention. The Broncos get the slight edge with the three points at 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Denver is also 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games.
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks Picks
Best Bet: Seattle -1½
The Rams’ loss to the Jets last week at home raises some serious questions about this team. Seattle can clinch the NFC West with a win holding a slim one-game lead over its bitter rivals. The Seahawks have now won four out of their last five games SU.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys Picks
Best Bet: Philadelphia -1½
These two NFC East rivals have a combined nine SU wins this season. Yet, they are both in the division title race. The Eagles going with Jalen Hurts at quarterback get the slight edge. He has provided a scoring spark since replacing Carson Wentz.