The NFL season has been flying and we’re already heading into week 10. Today, we’re going to analyze the opening lines for NFL week 10 and compare them to the current betting odds available.
NFL Week 9 Betting Recap
We’re going to take a look at the latest betting results and update our season-long data.
It was another week where underdogs dominated. Favorites went 4-7-2 ATS this week. Four underdogs won straight-up, those include the Jets, Jaguars, Lions and Seahawks.
Favorites are now 56-74-5 ATS this season.
The over/under record for week 9 was 4-9. The over/under record this season is 54-79-2. Underdogs are cashing against the spread at just below 57% and unders are hitting at a nearly 60% clip.
Analyzing NFL Week 10 Line Movement
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
Opening Spread: Falcons -1.5 / Current Spread: Falcons -3
Opening Total: 41.5 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
With the Panthers sitting at 2-7, the spread is likely going to jump above a FG in this divisional match-up.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Opening Spread: Buccaneers -2.5 / Current Spread: Buccaneers -2.5
Opening Total: 44.5 Points / Current Total: 44.5 Points
The bookies don’t want to bump this to Seahawks +3 early in the week. Seattle have won four in a row.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears
Opening Spread: Bears -2.5 / Current Spread: Bears -3
Opening Total: 47.5 Points / Current Total: 48.5 Points
The Lions are 0-3 on the road this season and 1-4-1 ATS in the last six H2H games in Chicago.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills
Opening Spread: Bills -8.5 / Current Spread: Bills -7.5
Opening Total: 48.5 Points / Current Total: 48 Points
The Vikings have won six in a row and the Bills just lost to the Jets. Grab the points before it drops more.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Opening Spread: Chiefs -9.5 / Current Spread: Chiefs -9.5
Opening Total: 49.5 Points / Current Total: 49.5 Points
The Jags are only 3-6 this season, but they haven’t lost a single game by double digits yet.
New Orleans Saints vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Opening Spread: Saints -3 / Current Spread: Saints -2.5
Opening Total: 41.5 Points / Current Total: 41.5 Points
Both teams have been inconsistent this season and this is a game that’s likely best to ignore.
Houston Texans vs. New York Giants
Opening Spread: Giants -6.5 / Current Spread: Giants -6.5
Opening Total: 38.5 Points / Current Total: 38.5 Points
The Texans have lost their last three games by 7+ points and the Giants are coming off a bye at home.
Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins
Opening Spread: Dolphins -4.5 / Current Spread: Dolphins -4
Opening Total: 48 Points / Current Total: 48.5 Points
Tua Tagovailoa has gone 3-0 since his injury, but they’re only 1-2 ATS in those wins.
Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans
Opening Spread: Titans -1.5 / Current Spread: Titans -3
Opening Total: 39.5 Points / Current Total: 39 Points
Denver rank 21st against the run and will have to deal with Derrick Henry. The Titans are 6-2 ATS.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Opening Spread: Raiders -3.5 / Current Spread: Raiders -6
Opening Total: 42 Points / Current Total: 42.5 Points
The Raiders are only 2-6, so it’s tough to count on them to cover a big spread against anyone.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers
Opening Spread: Cowboys -2.5 / Current Spread: Cowboys -4.5
Opening Total: 43.5 Points / Current Total: 42.5 Points
The Packers have lost five in a row and the offense is a mess. This spread will likely keep increasing.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams
Opening Spread: Rams -3 / Current Spread: Rams -3
Opening Total: 43.5 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
The Rams beat the Cardinals (20-12) in week 3 on the road, but the Rams offense is struggling.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. San Francisco 49ers
Opening Spread: 49ers -3.5 / Current Spread: 49ers -7
Opening Total: 47.5 Points / Current Total: 46.5 Points
The Chargers are banged up, but I’m surprised this spread has jumped to a touchdown already.
Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Opening Spread: Eagles -10.5 / Current Spread: Eagles -10.5
Opening Total: 44.5 Points / Current Total: 45 Points
The Eagles remain undefeated. They’re also 3-1-1 ATS in the last five H2H games played in Philly.