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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6) host the New Orleans Saints (4-8) on Monday Night Football.
The NFC South is one of the closest divisions in the NFL this season. The Bucs are in first place and the Saints are in last place, but there isn’t much separating these two teams.
Read our Saints vs. Buccaneers preview to find out who we’re picking to win.
Here are the top five player props picks for the Saints vs. Buccaneers MNF match-up:
Tom Brady Under 272.5 Passing Yards (+100)
Brady’s passing yards total is way too high for this match-up. In the first H2H meeting this season in week 2, Brady threw for 190 yards. The Saints are only allowing 197.3 PYPG (7th).
Brady has thrown for 273+ passing yards in only five games this season. He hasn’t hit this amount in his last two games either. Bet on the under 272.5 passing yards at plus money.
Mike Evans Under 60.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Look for Evans to struggle in this match-up as well. He has been receiving a lot of targets (9+ targets in four of his last five games), but it hasn’t been leading to much production.
Evans hauled in only two of nine targets last week for 31 yards. He has finished with 54 or fewer receiving yards in his last three games. The Saints’ secondary will be able to smother him up on Monday night.
Jarvis Landry Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-165)
Landry is the Saints’ #2 WR for this game, but he hasn’t been producing this season. Landry has also had to deal with injuries this season. He has only exceeded 42+ receiving yards once this season (week 1).
In his last six games, his highest receiving total in a game is just 37 yards. He isn’t a big play threat and he isn’t getting a lot of volume. The Bucs are also only allowing 192 PYPG (6th).
Ryan Succop Under 2.5 PAT Made (-175)
The Buccaneers offense has struggled all season long. In 11 games this season, Succop has only had three or more PATs made in two games. He has had three games with zero PAT attempts.
We’re paying up for this prop bet, but it’s worth it. The Saints defense is strong. In the first H2H game, the Bucs only scored two touchdowns. There’s a good chance they score two or less on Monday night.
Chris Godwin to Score a Touchdown (+175)
Godwin has had a tough season in Tampa, but he has been playing better as of late. Godwin has only scored two TDs this season, but they’ve both come in the Bucs’ last two games.
We’re getting a good price on Godwin to continue his run of good play. He hauled in 12 of 13 targets last week. With that type of volume, look for Godwin to get some looks in the endzone on MNF.
