We’re going to analyze NFL week 16 opening lines and compare them to the current betting odds.
The NFL schedule is going to be a bit different this week due to Christmas. There will still be one game on Thursday night and Monday night. Most teams will play Saturday with three games on Sunday.
NFL Week 15 Betting Recap
Underdogs dominated in week 15. Favorites only went 6-9-1 ATS (Season Record: 97-118-7 ATS). There were four underdogs that won straight-up (Jaguars, Lions, Steelers and Giants).
The over/under record was 8-8 in week 15 (Season O/U Record: 98-121-4).
Analyzing NFL Week 16 Line Movement
Every team is in action again this week. Let’s jump into the NFL week 16 betting lines.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets
Opening Spread: Jets -1.5 / Current Spread: Jets -1
Opening Total: 43 Points / Current Total: 39.5 Points
The Jaguars are just 2-5 ATS on the road this season, but they’re on a 2-0 (2-0 ATS) run.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Baltimore Ravens
Opening Spread: Ravens -6.5 / Current Spread: Ravens -7
Opening Total: 40.5 Points / Current Total: 39.5 Points
Lamar Jackson is questionable to play and the Ravens are 0-5-1 ATS at home this season.
New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings
Opening Spread: Vikings -4 / Current Spread: Vikings -3.5
Opening Total: 47.5 Points / Current Total: 47.5 Points
The Vikings are 7-1 at home, but only 4-4 ATS. The Giants are 5-1 ATS on the road this season.
New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns
Opening Spread: Browns -3 / Current Spread: Browns -3
Opening Total: 36.5 Points / Current Total: 33.5 Points
The Saints are 1-5 (1-5 ATS) on the road this season, but the Browns are tough to trust.
Buffalo Bills vs. Chicago Bears
Opening Spread: Bills -10 / Current Spread: Bills -9
Opening Total: 41 Points / Current Total: 41.5 Points
Buffalo have won five in a row, but they’re 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Opening Spread: Chiefs -9.5 / Current Spread: Chiefs -9.5
Opening Total: 48.5 Points / Current Total: 49 Points
The Chiefs are on a 0-3 ATS run and the Seahawks are on an even worse run (0-5 ATS).
Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots
Opening Spread: Bengals -3.5 / Current Spread: Bengals -3.5
Opening Total: 41 Points / Current Total: 40 Points
The Bengals are 6-2 ATS on the road this season. The Patriots are 2-5 ATS as an underdog.
Detroit Lions vs. Carolina Panthers
Opening Spread: Lions -2.5 / Current Spread: Lions -3
Opening Total: 44.5 Points / Current Total: 44.5 Points
The Lions are on a 6-1 (7-0 ATS) run and in the middle of the NFC wild card race.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
Opening Spread: Titans -8.5 / Current Spread: Titans -7
Opening Total: 41 Points / Current Total: 38.5 Points
The Titans are 0-4 in their last four games. The Texans are on a 2-0 ATS run.
Washington Commanders vs. San Francisco 49ers
Opening Spread: 49ers -6.5 / Current Spread: 49ers -7
Opening Total: 40.5 Points / Current Total: 39.5 Points
The 49ers have won seven games in a row and are on a 5-0 ATS run.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys
Opening Spread: Cowboys -1 / Current Spread: Cowboys -1.5
Opening Total: 51 Points / Current Total: 51 Points
The Eagles are 2-5 ATS on the road. This NFC East battle is a must-watch game this weekend.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Opening Spread: Steelers -1 / Current Spread: Steelers -2.5
Opening Total: 40.5 Points / Current Total: 40.5 Points
The Raiders are 3-1 as an underdog this season. Pittsburgh are just 2-3-1 ATS at home.
Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins
Opening Spread: Dolphins -4.5 / Current Spread: Dolphins -4.5
Opening Total: 46.5 Points / Current Total: 46.5 Points
Miami have lost three in a row, but are 5-1 (4-2 ATS) at home this season.
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Rams
Opening Spread: Broncos -1 / Current Spread: Broncos -1
Opening Total: 35.5 Points / Current Total: 35.5 Points
Denver are 1-6 (3-4 ATS) on the road this season. The Rams are on a 2-0 ATS run.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Arizona Cardinals
Opening Spread: Buccaneers -3 / Current Spread: Buccaneers -4.5
Opening Total: 41 Points / Current Total: 41.5 Points
Tampa have lost two in a row and are on a 0-4 ATS run. Arizona have lost four games in a row.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts
Opening Spread: Chargers -3.5 / Current Spread: Chargers -3.5
Opening Total: 46.5 Points / Current Total: 47 Points
The Chargers are 5-2 ATS on the road. The Colts are on a 0-4 (2-2 ATS) run.