Saturday’s NFL Player Props Predictions for Week 16

Christmas Eve brings us a special Saturday of NFL match-ups in week 16. The early afternoon games highlight the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Seattle Seahawks as 10-point favorites. The Buffalo Bills are eight-point favorites on the road against the Chicago Bears and the Minnesota Vikings are 4.5-point home favorites against the New York Giants.

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The late games this Saturday afternoon are dominated by the NFC with the Washington Commanders visiting the San Francisco 49ers and the Dallas Cowboys hosting the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are seven-point home favorites and the Cowboys are five-point favorites at home.

Here are the best NFL player props picks for week 16 games being played on Saturday.

Travis Kelce Over 75.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Picks

Kansas City tight end Travis Kelce is a big part of the red zone offense because of his 16 touchdown receptions this year. Kelce leads the team in yards gained (1144) and he has a sizeable lead in touchdown scores.

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has had nine TD passes in his previous five games with the Chiefs and Kelce has four of those grabs. Seattle’s defense is 17th in passing yards (217.7) and 29th in points allowed (25.4).

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Stefon Diggs Anytime TD Scorer (+100)

Bills vs. Bears Picks

Wide receiver Stefon Diggs has 99 receptions for 1299 yards in 14 games this season. He also has 10 catches for touchdowns in all those games. Diggs is rated first in anytime touchdowns (+100) in the match-up between the Bills and the Bears.

Given that quarterback Josh Allen is No. 5 in passing yards and No. 3 in touchdown throws, Diggs is definitely one of the prime targets whenever Buffalo gets into the red zone. The Chicago Bears are ranked 30th in points allowed with 25.6.

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Justin Jefferson Over 91.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Giants vs. Vikings Picks

Minnesota quarterback Kirk Cousins is sixth in passing with 3818 yards in 14 games this season. Wide receiver Justin Jefferson has caught 111 passes for 1623 yards in those 14 games and he is averaging 115.9 yards per game this year.

Jefferson is coming off two banner outings where he caught 11 passes for 223 yards against Detroit on the road and 12 catches for 123 yards at home against Indianapolis. He might make it three in a row against the New York Giants with over 91.5 receiving yards.

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Taylor Heinicke Over 200.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Commanders vs. 49ers Picks

Washington quarterback Taylor Heinicke has a winning record (5-2-1) as a starter this season.

The 49ers defense is ranked first in total yards per game, but the team is ranked 13th in passing yards allowed. Heinicke is averaging 211.6 passing yards per game in his eight starts, including the home-and-home series with the Giants. Over the past two games, he completed 27 passes for 275 yards at New York and he passed for 249 yards at home.

Dallas Goedert Anytime TD Scorer (+250)

Eagles vs. Cowboys Picks

Gardner Minshew is penciled-in to replace Jalen Hurts at quarterback for Philadelphia in Saturday’s game against the Cowboys and tight end Dallas Goedert is returning from IR with a bad shoulder.

However, Minshew passing to Goedert has some precedent for the Eagles. The last time they hooked-up, Goedert reeled-in 105 passing yards and two touchdowns in the game against the New York Jets on Dec. 5th 2021.

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Dave Schwab
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