We’re heading into the second last week of the NFL regular season. We’re going to analyze the opening lines for NFL week 17 and compare them to the current betting odds available.
This will be an interesting week with lots of playoff races going on still.
NFL Week 16 Betting Recap
In week 16, favorites went 7-8 ATS (Season Record: 104-126-7 ATS). Favorites performed well on Saturday (7-4 ATS), but underdogs went 2-1 (3-0 ATS) on Christmas Day.
Six underdogs (Jaguars, Saints, Panthers, Texans, Packers and Rams) all won straight-up.
The over/under went 6-9 in week 16 (Season O/U Record: 104-130-4).
Analyzing NFL Week 17 Line Movement
Let’s jump into the betting lines for NFL week 17.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Tennessee Titans
Opening Spread: Cowboys -3 / Current Spread: Cowboys -9.5
Opening Total: 44.5 Points / Current Total: 42.5 Points
The Titans are falling apart and have now lost five consecutive games, but this is a big spread.
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Opening Spread: Buccaneers -7.5 / Current Spread: Buccaneers -3
Opening Total: 41.5 Points / Current Total: 39 Points
Tampa Bay are 1-6-1 ATS at home and the Panthers are 8-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants
Opening Spread: Giants -3 / Current Spread: Giants -3
Opening Total: 40.5 Points / Current Total: 40.5 Points
There hasn’t been any line movement yet. The Giants need to win to keep pace in the wild card race.
Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions
Opening Spread: Lions -6.5 / Current Spread: Lions -5.5
Opening Total: 51.5 Points / Current Total: 52 Points
The Bears are 2-5 ATS on the road this season. The Lions are on a 6-2 run and in the wild card race still.
Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
Opening Spread: Dolphins -2.5 / Current Spread: Dolphins -1.5
Opening Total: 43.5 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
Miami have lost four in a row and the Patriots have lost two in a row. Both teams need a win badly.
Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders
Opening Spread: Commanders -1.5 / Current Spread: Commanders -2.5
Opening Total: 40.5 Points / Current Total: 40.5 Points
Washington are 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season, but they’re on a 0-3 ATS run.
New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Opening Spread: Eagles -5.5 / Current Spread: Eagles -7
Opening Total: 43.5 Points / Current Total: 44 Points
The Eagles are 6-1 ATS at home, but on a 0-2 ATS run. The Saints are 2-5 ATS on the road.
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Opening Spread: Chiefs -10 / Current Spread: Chiefs -13.5
Opening Total: 44.5 Points / Current Total: 45 Points
The Chiefs and Broncos are only 6-9 ATS this season. This is a big spread between division rivals.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Atlanta Falcons
Opening Spread: Falcons -3 / Current Spread: Falcons -3.5
Opening Total: 39.5 Points / Current Total: 41 Points
The Falcons are 1-2 ATS as a favorite this season. Arizona have lost five consecutive games.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
Opening Spread: Jaguars -5.5 / Current Spread: Jaguars -4
Opening Total: 46.5 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
The Texans and Jaguars have both covered against the spread three games in a row.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Opening Spread: 49ers -5.5 / Current Spread: 49ers -5.5
Opening Total: 43.5 Points / Current Total: 44.5 Points
The 49ers are 9-4 ATS as a favorite. The Raiders are 4-2 ATS at home this season.
New York Jets vs. Seattle Seahawks
Opening Spread: Seahawks -1.5 / Current Spread: Jets -2.5
Opening Total: 43 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
The Jets have lost four games in a row, while the Seahawks are on a three-game losing streak.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
Opening Spread: Packers -2.5 / Current Spread: Packers -3
Opening Total: 46.5 Points / Current Total: 47 Points
The Packers are on a 3-0 (3-0 ATS run) and can still make the NFL playoffs this season.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Opening Spread: Chargers -8 / Current Spread: Chargers -7
Opening Total: 40.5 Points / Current Total: 40.5 Points
The Rams are 1-4-1 ATS on the road and the Chargers have won two in a row.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
Opening Spread: Ravens -6.5 / Current Spread: Ravens -3.5
Opening Total: 36 Points / Current Total: 36 Points
Baltimore are 1-5-1 ATS at home, while the Steelers are on a 2-0 (2-0 ATS) run.
Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Opening Spread: Bills -2.5 / Current Spread: Bills -1
Opening Total: 49.5 Points / Current Total: 49.5 Points
The Bengals are 2-0 ATS as an underdog and 5-1 ATS at home this season.