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We’re going to take a look at the top five over/under picks for NFL week 2 betting action.
Handicappers backing overs last week were likely disappointed. Only five games went over the total in week 1 and eleven games stayed under the total. Will that trend change this week?
So far it hasn’t, as the Chargers vs. Chiefs TNF game stayed under the total last night.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
Best Bet: Over 44 Points
The Buccaneers (1-0) defeated the Cowboys (19-3) in week 1 and stayed well under the total. They take on NFC South rivals the Saints (1-0) in week 2. The Saints defeated ATL (27-26) in week 1.
Jameis Winston is banged up, but likely good to go. He threw two TD passes to Michael Thomas and had no turnovers last week. The Saints also rushed for 151 yards and 1 TD despite Alvin Kamara struggling.
Tom Brady has tons of weapons although Chris Godwin might miss this week’s game. Mike Evans, Julio Jones and Leonard Fournette are banged up, but are all practicing today, so they should play.
The over is 4-1 in the last five H2H games played in New Orleans. Both teams should be able to exceed 20+ points and this game total seems a bit low considering the level of offensive talent on both ends.
New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Best Bet: Under 40.5 Points
This total opened up at 43.5 points and that would have been great to grab, but I still like the under at 40.5 points. The Steelers (1-0) host the Patriots (0-1) and neither team will likely exceed 20 points.
Pittsburgh forced five turnovers against the Bengals, but that translated into just 23 points. They’re not going to force that many turnovers against NE and they’re going to struggle to move the football.
The Patriots scored 7 points against the Dolphins. Mac Jones doesn’t have a lot of weapons and he’s not a great QB either. The Pats also have a weak run game and will struggle to score points all season.
The under is 4-0 in the Steelers last four home games. These two teams don’t play too often, but the under is 5-1 in the last six H2H meetings and 4-0 in the last four H2H games played in Pittsburgh.
Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions
Best Bet: Under 48.5 Points
The Commanders (1-0) defeated the Jags (28-22) in week 1 off of a strong performance from Carson Wentz. He threw for 4 TDs, but the rushing attack was weak and that’s where Detroit struggles most.
The Lions (0-1) lost to the Eagles (38-35) in a shootout. Washington have a much better defense than the Eagles, so they’ll be able to limit the Lions a lot better and this game total is a bit too high.
The Commanders also aren’t a team that’ll run up the score very often. The under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 H2H meetings. The under is also 5-1 in the Commanders last six games as a road favorite.
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
Best Bet: Over 40 Points
The 49ers (0-1) lost to the Bears (19-10) and Trey Lance struggled mightily. He needs to have a much stronger performance against the Seahawks (1-0) or he’ll be riding the bench again soon.
Seattle defeated the Broncos (17-16) on MNF in week 1. These two teams are division rivals and very familiar with each other. The last nine H2H games have all had well over 40 points scored.
The bookies have adjusted this total too much. It opened at 44.5 points, but we’re now getting the line at 40 points. I predict a bit of a shootout with both teams scoring 3+ TDs on Sunday.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys
Best Bet: Under 42 Points
This total opened up at 52 points, but with Dak Prescott out, the total has dropped 10 points. It’s going to be difficult for these two teams to put points on the scoreboard on Sunday afternoon.
Cooper Rush will start for Dallas and they’ll likely lean on the run game. The offense only put up 3 points against TB, but the defense played well and limited the Bucs offense to only 19 points.
Joe Burrow will look to bounce back after throwing 4 INTs in week 1. I expect him to play more cautiously and we’ll also likely see the run game being a priority. The clock will be running often in this game.
The under is 6-0 in the Bengals last six games. Cincy are slow starters as well and have gone under in their last four games played in September. The under is 5-1 in the last six H2H meetings as well.
