MLB Parlay Best Bets for Saturday, July 17th

Baseball is going to be exciting as we move down the stretch. We’re not quite there yet, and a couple of teams that seem far out of contention right now could make a move or two before the trade deadline and greatly improve their chances.

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As for us, we plod ahead on a day-by-day basis. And we’ve got three plays you can put together on a parlay bet that can thrust you right into the winner’s circle.

Let’s get started:

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Report

Moneyline Odds: Phillies -130 / Marlins +100

Total: 9.5 Runs (Over -115 / Under -105)

We’re not sure you’re aware of this, but even though the Marlins are in last place in the NL East at 40-51, if you look at their run differential of +21, their expected (or Pythagorean) win-loss record is 48-45 , which is the best in the division. In other words, they are better than their record indicates. The problem is that they have lost some key people out of the rotation. Don’t forget, last year this was a playoff team that got past the first round.

Rookie righty Zach Thompson has been a nice surprise for Miami. Aside from a 2.25 ERA, he’s got a 4.4-to-1 ratio of K’s to walks, and has surrendered just one homer in 24 innings.

The Play: MIAMI +100

MLB Money Line Odds

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Brewers vs. Reds Betting Report

Moneyline Odds: Brewers -130 / Reds +110

Total: 8 Runs (Over -110 / Under -110)

It’s not difficult to figure out why the Brewers are in first place in the National League Central. They have a 1-2-3 punch in the rotation with Freddy Peralta, Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff, all with ERA’s under 2.40 and WHIP ratios below 1.000.

Woodruff in particular would be a legitimate Cy Young contender in any year other than one where Jacob deGrom was in the National League.The numbers are outstanding – an 0.821 WHIP, 2.06 ERA and 5.16-to-1 strikeout-walk ratio. He’s also held opponents to a .198 slugging percentage on the road. So we’re not all that shy about laying this small price against the Reds and Luis Castillo, who comes in with a 3-10 record and 4.65 ERA.

The Play: MILWAUKEE -130

MLB Money Line Picks

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies

Dodgers vs. Rockies Betting Report

Moneyline Odds: Dodgers -260 / Rockies +220

Total: 12 Runs (Under -120 / Over +100)

Walker Buehler has given up just 6.2 hits per nine innings, and even though he hasn’t necessarily been untouchable in eight career games at Coors Field (4.78 ERA), he isn’t a guy who’s been known to fold up on the road (0.857 WHIP, allowing .524 OPS). It should be noted that Buehler is 33-10 lifetime.

Kyle Freeland had 28 wins in his first 66 big league appearances, and was a top-five vote-getter for the Cy Young in just his second season. But he’s had only six wins in his last 44 games. And he’s pitched to a rather puffy .925 at home.

On top of this, Freeland is dealing with a blister on his throwing hand. But he’s had some time over the break to get over that. Rockies fans have been encouraged by what he’s doing lately; over his last 22 innings (four starts), he’s yielded just four runs on 17 hits. Let’s take advantage of a total that is often inflated in Denver.

The Play: UNDER 12 RUNS -120

So here’s the parlay:

MIAMI (+100)

MILWAUKEE (-130)

L.A. DODGERS-COLORADO UNDER 12 (-120)

For every $100, you can get back $548 on this parlay.

Let’s go win something.

Learn how to bet on MLB home run props and MLB strikeouts props.