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With Week 6 of the NFL regular season in the books, we can turn our attention towards Week 7 and some solid matchups for our NFL Parlay of the Week card.
However, before we do, let’s celebrate our four-team Parlay victory from last week. We picked the Philadelphia Eagles, Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears and Houston Texans to win their games. If you followed our four-leg card, the Week 6 NFL parlay would’ve paid you $323.08 in winnings.
This week’s parlay pays out almost as much as Week 6; if you choose to go with all four legs of our Week 7 NFL parlay card.
The Buffalo Bills and Washington Commanders have our highest confidence in their Week 7 games. The Bills will host the Tennessee Titans and the Commanders will host the Carolina Panthers.
However, we also like two road teams this week as well. We’re going back to the Eagles as we see this team gaining momentum and taking out their divisional rival the New York Giants.
Additionally, we’re going with the surging Los Angeles Chargers over the banged up Arizona Cardinals on Monday Night Football to close out the week.
Let’s dive deeper into our NFL parlay picks for Week 7 and see what our free NFL parlay card is paying out this week.
NFL Picks and Parlays
Monitor the NFL odds throughout the week. As the odds change, the parlay payouts will change as well.
| Team | Odds | Payout Per Leg | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | -450 | NA | 5/5 |
| Washington Commanders | -400 | $52.77 | 5/5 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -210 | $125.53 | 4.5/5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | -135 | $292.57 | 4/5 |
NFL Parlay Picks
Our weekly NFL parlay picks are based on order of confidence. Additionally, you can choose any combination of these NFL parlay picks for your own parlay card or use them all for the total payout listed above.
NFL Parlay Pick 1: Titans (+350) vs. Bills (-450)
The Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans have played against each other 50 times. The Titans hold a sizable lead in this rivalry with a 30-20 series record. Tennessee is 7-4 in the last 11 meetings, but it was Buffalo that won their last matchup in 2022, by the score of 41 to 7. The Bills have also won the last two meetings at home versus the Titans.
With that said, the Titans are a bad football team. Most notably, they’re bad on offense. We’ll dig deeper into this down below. Tennessee is 1-4 on the season and 1-1 on the road. They started off the year going 0-3 before beating the Miami Dolphins in Week 4. The Dolphins had a waterboy starting at quarterback.
Coming out of the Bye Week, it was more of the same dysfunction on offense for Tennessee as they lost to the Indianapolis Colts last weekend.
The Buffalo Bills started off hot, going 3-0 and looking like one of the best teams in the AFC. They were smashed by the Ravens in Week 4, then failed to win in Houston in Week 5. Fortunately for the Bills, they did hold on to beat the New York Jets on MNF in Week 6.
It was an ugly, hard-fought game between the two divisional rivals, where the Jets were very desperate to win after firing their head coach last week. The teams combined for 100 penalties and 1,000 penalty yards. Although those numbers are an exaggeration, it sure felt like that when watching the game.
Now, the Bills return home after three consecutive road games and arguably the toughest stretch of their schedule. They get a plus-matchup at home and a great chance to really build some momentum as we close out the month of October.
Why We Like The Buffalo Bills
As mentioned above, the Titans have a terrible offense. And, the biggest reason is due to the inconsistent and subpar play of quarterback Will Levis. The second-year quarterback has seven interceptions on the year compared to just five touchdown passes.
The offense as a whole, ranks 31st in total yards at 253.2 ypg and is 31st in passing yards at 135 ypg. They also give up sacks at a 10.13% rate, which is the 3rd highest in the league.
They will now head to Buffalo, where the Bills have an aggressive defense that will stack the box, take away the run, and force Levis to beat them. That’s a recipe for the Titans to get blown out.
The Tennessee defense is good. In fact, they could be elite if it weren’t for the offense putting them on the field for most of the game and putting them in disadvantageous situations.
Unfortunately for this Tennessee defense, they face an explosive Buffalo offense who just put up 359 yards and 23 points against a top-notch Jets defense.
The Titans pass defense is ranked first in the league as they allow just 137 yards per game. So, they will give Buffalo QB Josh Allen some tough looks and challenges throughout the game.
With that said, Buffalo has been leaning on the run a lot more this season. And they enter this matchup with a Top 10 rushing attack. The Titans allow 111.8 rushing yards per game.
One more thing to point out, the Titans have played against some struggling offenses in Miami, the Jets, the Bears and the Colts. So, they do have inflated numbers. But they still have plenty of talent.
Buffalo is a dominant team at home. The crowd and environment will be too much for Tennessee to handle. Look for Allen and Cook to lead this ground attack on the offensive side of the ball. Defensively, I see the Bills blitzing and pressuring Will Levis into a few turnovers, while making sure that Tennessee doesn’t get its ground game going.
The Bills will win this game by double digits.
NFL Parlay Pick 2: Panthers (+320) vs. Commanders (-400)
The Carolina Panthers come into this contest having lost three games in a row. Unfortunately for Carolina fans, those games weren’t even close as each loss was by double digits.
In fact, the Panthers were outscored 108 to 54. That scoring discrepancy should continue this weekend as the Washington Commanders are one of the hottest teams in the NFC.
The Commanders just had a four-game winning streak snapped by the Baltimore Ravens in a hard-fought battle. Washington fell by seven points in Baltimore. Yet, they showed most critics and pundits that this team is for real and could be a contender for one of the NFC’s Wild Card spots, if not the NFC East division.
The Panthers and the Commanders have played against each other 17 times. Washington holds the advantage with a 10-7 series record. They also won the last time these two teams met in 2021. The Commanders have taken three of the last four meetings.
With that said, these are two different teams from the last time they played. In fact, these are two different teams from the opening weekend of the 2024-25 NFL regular season. And, we really like Washington this weekend. There are numerous reasons why.
Why We Like The Washington Commanders
The first reason why we like Washington this weekend, is due to their defense being better than Carolina’s offense. The Panthers average only 17.2 ppg on the season and Washington allows 24.2 ppg.
However, in their wins over lowly teams like the Cleveland Browns and Arizona Cardinals, the Commanders held each team to 14 points or less. The Browns and Cardinals are comparable to the Panthers. In fact, I would say that they’re slightly better than Carolina. So, I expect Washington to keep the Panthers to their season average or lower.
With that in mind, the biggest reason why I think Washington wins this game is the massive advantage they have in the matchup between their offense versus the Panthers defense. In short, Carolina has one of the worst defenses in the league. And, Washington has an explosive offense that will take advantage of many of Carolina’s weaknesses.
For starters, Carolina gives up 33.8 ppg which is the worst in the league. Washington has the second highest scoring offense in the NFL at 29.7 ppg. But that’s not all.
Carolina’s rush defense is 30th in the league as they allow 153.5 yards per game. Washington has the 5th best rushing offense at 157.3 yards per game.
The Panthers’ pass defense gives up 226.3 yards per game and Washington’s pass offense averages 220.7 yards per game.
Bottom line, any way you slice this pie (game), Washington has the advantage. I fully expect the Commanders to lean on their powerful running game versus the Panthers, which should have great success on the ground with or without Brian Robinson Jr. who missed the Week 6 game against the Ravens.
Robinson is averaging 65 rushing yards per game. Quarterback Jayden Daniels is averaging 53.7 yards per game. Both backup running backs Austin Ekeler and Jeremy McNichols chip in when on the field as they have combined for 54.5 rushing yards per game.
Washington should win by double digits, which also makes their -8.5 point spread a potential wager as well.
NFL Parlay Pick 3: Eagles (-210) vs. Giants (+175)
The New York Giants have been alternating between wins and losses since Week 2. Over the last four weeks, they picked up wins against the Browns and Seattle Seahawks, but dropped games to the Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals.
However, they have played the last two games without star receiver Malik Nabers who is out with an injury. Running back Devin Singletary has also missed the last two weeks with an injury as well. Yet, they were in a ideal position to beat the struggling Bengals at home. Unfortunately, they couldn’t muster up much of an offense and ended up losing 17 to 7.
The Philadelphia Eagles had to sweat it out late in the game against the Browns. They also saw starting tight end Dallas Goedert go down with a hamstring injury. Yet, the return of wide receivers DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown showed everyone just how dangerous this offense can be when near full health.
Like the Giants, Philly has alternated between wins and losses as well. They picked up wins over the Green Bay Packers, New Orleans Saints, and Browns over their first five games of the year. Yet, they lost to the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
A healthy Eagles’ offense, even without Goedert, is a dangerous one. And, it’s a big reason why we like the Eagles this weekend. Philly has won five of the last six head-to-head meetings between these two rivals. Additionally, they hold the series advantage with 93-88-2 all-time record.
Why We Like The Philadelphia Eagles
The Giants have one of the worst scoring offenses in the league as they rank 29th with 16.0 points per game. The Eagles allow 22.4 ppg. New York can accumulate yards, but they have a hard time converting those to points.
Further examining their offensive woes, the Giants only average 1.7 TDs per game which is 28th in the league. And, they are 25th in red zone TDs at a 44.44% conversion rate.
I expect the Giants to find some success in picking up yards, but this should be more of a bend-don’t-break performance by the Eagles defense, which means that they will allow the yards and field goals but not touchdowns.
On the flip side, Philly’s offense has the potential to put up points on every drive as long as their offensive line blocks. The Eagles are 10th in total yardage at 366.8 ypg. They also average 2.4 TDs per game. Yet, most of those numbers were done with A.J. Brown out. I expect this offense to really pick up the momentum.
But the biggest reason why I like the Eagles this weekend, is due to Saquon Barkley coming back to face the team that didn’t think he was worth a respectable contract.
Barkley left the Giants for the Eagles, and is statistically one of the top backs in the league. Talent wise, he was already one of the best. But Barkley now has the stats to back it up due to playing for a better team.
The Eagles average 146.2 rushing yards per game, which is 6th best in the league. The Giants give up 116.3 yards per game. But these numbers are a bit misleading.
The Giants have played the last four weeks against the worst rushing offenses in the league: Bengals, Seahawks, Cowboys and Browns. The last time they played a solid rushing attack, was in Week 2 against the Commanders. Washington put up 215 rushing yards that weekend.
I expect the Eagles to flirt with 200 yards on the ground between Barkley and QB Jalen Hurts. I also expect Barkley to score at least once and show everyone in New York why they were wrong for letting him go.
NFL Parlay Pick 4: Chargers (-135) vs. Cardinals (+115)
These two teams will meet on Monday Night Football in another double header. They have played against each other 15 times and the Los Angeles Chargers hold a commanding lead with a 11-4 series record.
The Chargers have won five of the last six matchups. Los Angeles also has the advantage when it comes to playing in Arizona as they’re 4-3 all-time. Additionally, these two teams last played in 2022, and the Chargers went into Arizona and snuck away with a 25 to 24 win.
This year, Los Angeles is the better team with a 3-2 record and 2-1 on the road. The Arizona Cardinals are 2-4 on the season and just 1-2 at home.
Since their impressive 41-10 win over the Rams in Week 2, the Cardinals have gone 1-3 over the last four games. Yet, they did score a surprise win over the San Francisco 49ers in Week 5. However, during those three losses, they were outscored 96-40.
The Chargers Started off 2-0 before dropping two in a row at Pittsburgh and versus the Kansas City Chiefs. They were on Bye in Week 5 before coming back in Week 6 to beat the Broncos in Denver.
With that said, the Chargers appear to be the better team on paper and on the field. There are a few key reasons why we think Los Angeles can pull off the road victory on MNF in Arizona.
Why We Like The Los Angeles Chargers
The primary reason why we think the Chargers will win is that they have a highly underrated defense that’s ranking in the Top 10 for many key categories.
The Chargers have the #1 scoring defense as they allow just 13.2 ppg. The Cardinals average 22.2 ppg, but have scored 14 or less in three of the last four games. In fact, they’re averaging just 16 ppg over their last four games.
The Cardinals have the 7th best run offense at 145.2 rushing yards per game. However, the Chargers rank 6th against the run as they allow just 97.2 yards per game.
Additionally, the Chargers have the 8th best pass defense that allows only 192 yards per game and the Cardinals tally just 187 passing yards per game. The Chargers are 11th in sack and 7th in interception percentages per game.
But, that’s not the only reason why we like the Chargers.
Arizona’s run defense allows 153 rushing yards per game, which is the 4th worst in the league. The Chargers rank 10th in running the ball at 127.8 yards per game. I expect the Chargers to find plenty of success on the ground, which will open up the play action pass just like we saw in Denver last weekend.
Arizona gives up 27.2 points per game, which is the 6th most points allowed in the league. Look for the Chargers to flirt with this total as they just put up 23 points against Denver, which is one of the best defenses in the league.
NFL Parlay Total Payout
If you decide to take all four legs of our parlay, a $100 wager will net you $292.57 in winnings and a total payout of $392.57.
The Buffalo Bills are a far superior team to the Tennessee Titans. They win just about every matchup on the field and in the stats. Look for the Bills to steamroll the Titans at home in what should be a fun game for the Bills Mafia. Let’s not forget that the Titans have beaten the Bills in dramatic fashion in the past. The Bills Mafia don’t forget these things.
The Washington Commanders have proven that they struck gold with Jayden Daniels. He has made this offense fun to watch and very explosive. Daniels and company will now face arguably the worst defense in the league with the Carolina Panthers coming to town. Can you say blowout?
The Philadelphia Eagles are back on track. The returns of Brown and Smith make this Philly offense tough to handle for opposing defenses. However, the Barkley revenge factor should propel the Eagles to a comfortable win over their divisional rival, and Saquon’s former team, the New York Giants.
The Los Angeles Chargers have a great defense that can stop the run, which is the bread and butter for Arizona’s offense. On the flip side, the Cardinals have a putrid run defense and the Chargers have a Top 10 rushing attack. Los Angeles will win the battle of the trenches, which will lead to a nice MNF victory to close out Week 7 and our parlay card.
