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With just two regular season games left for each NFL team, Week 17 is do-or-die for a handful of franchises trying to make the Playoffs. Another batch of squads are jockeying for postseason positions. In fact, the number one spot is up for grabs in each conference heading into the penultimate week.
While it’s crunch time for the teams on the field, and for fantasy football managers playing in their league championships, Week 17 is ripe for NFL bettors looking to put together a winning parlay card.
Week 16 did not go the way we had hoped. Some could say that our parlay picks ended up flopping like the Buccaneers and Lions did. In fact, it was Detroit’s home loss to Pittsburgh last Sunday that dropped us to 3-1 with our parlay picks.
We combined the Lions with the Buffalo Bills, Philadelphia Eagles and Minnesota Vikings for a Week 16 parlay card that we thought was as close to a sure thing as possible. Well, Detroit decided to nix that idea and play Grinch to our bankroll.
Speaking of nixed, we’re rolling with Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos as our top Week 17 parlay pick. Denver served us well in Week 15, when we picked them for the upset win over Green Bay. Now, they will be the center of our parlay card.
Joining the Broncos this week are the New England Patriots, Jacksonville Jaguars, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Rams. All of these NFL picks are fighting for the Playoffs. In fact, the Broncos, Patriots and Rams are legitimate Super Bowl contenders with easy games this weekend.
There are no Underdogs this week as we are looking for a guaranteed win and not risky wagers at the top sports betting sites.
With that said, NFL betting can be tricky at times. Fortunately, NFL parlays are one way to maximize betting value when the boards seem difficult to decipher. Let’s take a closer look at the best NFL parlays for Week 17.
NFL Picks and Parlays
| Team | Odds | Payout Per Leg |
|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | -1000 | $10.00 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | -290 | $47.93 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -240 | $109.57 |
| Los Angeles Rams | -450 | $156.14 |
| New England Patriots | -950 | $183.10 |
This week, we’re taking five NFL teams that are favored. Heading into Week 17, Favorites are 162-77-1, which is a 67.8% winning percentage. Favorites went 10-6 SU in Week 16.
All five of our parlay picks are Road Favorites this weekend. On the season, Away Favorites are 67-33-1 which is a 66.3% winning rate. Away Favorites went 6-2 SU last week.
Of our Week 17 NFL parlay picks, only the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favored by less than a touchdown at the sportsbooks. The Rams, Patriots, Broncos and Jaguars are all favored by seven points or more. In fact, New England and Denver are double-digit favorites this week.
Over the last seven weeks, we’ve gone 23-9 in our NFL parlay picks, which led to a winning ticket (4-0) in Week 11 and five 3-1 records for Weeks 9, 10, 12, 15, and 16. Weeks 13 and 14 were a 2-2 split. We’ve not had a losing record for parlay picks all season long.
With that said, make sure you continue to monitor the NFL odds throughout the week as they could shift as we get closer to kickoff on Christmas Day, which will impact your total payout for this parlay card. For more NFL betting advice and expert picks, check out the best handicapping membership in the industry.
NFL Parlay Picks
The following is our best parlay NFL picks for Week 17:
NFL Parlay Pick 1: Denver Broncos (-1000) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs were eliminated from the postseason two weeks ago when they also lost Patrick Mahomes to a torn ACL. Last week, they were crushed by the Tennessee Titans 26-9 when they also lost backup QB Gardner Minshew to a knee injury. KC will roll out a third-string QB Chris Oladokun to play against one of the league’s best defenses in the Denver Broncos.
This game is going to be an ugly one on Christmas night. There’s no scenario where the Chiefs can play spoiler considering that they are going with an inexperienced QB behind an inconsistent offensive line and a subpar running game.
Denver not only has one of the best defenses in the NFL, they also feature a pass rush that has the second-best sack rate in the league.
Furthermore, the Broncos already defeated KC this year when the Chiefs were in desperation mode and at full health. Denver is 11-1 SU in their last 13 overall games and 5-0 SU in their last five road games. Additionally, the Broncos are 8-2 SU as the favorite and 3-1 SU in divisional matchups.
The Chiefs are 1-6 SU in their last seven games, 3-7 SU in their last 10 AFC games, 1-3 SU in divisional matchups, and 5-8 SU as the favorite this season. Also, KC is just 5-9-1 ATS this season along with going 1-8 ATS in their last nine AFC West contests.
I see the Broncos dominating the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, while getting after Oladokun with pressure that will create sacks, turnovers and punts.
Denver’s offense will break the Chiefs’ defense by the second half and end up blowing out their bitter rival by at least two touchdowns.
NFL Parlay Pick 2: Jacksonville Jaguars (-290) vs. Indianapolis Colts
These two teams just played in Week 14 and the Jacksonville Jaguars smashed the Indianapolis Colts by the score of 36-19. In fact, the Jags are 4-1 SU in the last five head-to-head meetings between these AFC South rivals. Jacksonville has also won six in a row on the season and currently sit at the top of their division.
Even more impressive is the fact that Jacksonville went into Denver last weekend and beat the Broncos by two touchdowns (34-20). The win proved that Jacksonville is for real and should not be overlooked this postseason.
The Colts were officially eliminated from the postseason with their blowout loss to the 49ers on MNF in Week 16. I give Indy credit for playing well with Philip Rivers as QB but their defense gave up 40 points and never allowed the offense to have a shot at competing for the victory.
This week, I see a hapless Indy team fold against the hungry Jags who are looking to lock up the division, get a home game in the first round of the Playoffs, and stay within one game of landing the top spot in the AFC.
The Colts were gashed by the 49ers on the ground in Week 16 and I can see Jacksonville continuing that trend with Etienne and company. However, the biggest success will come from Trevor Lawrence and the passing attack that faces the second worse pass defense. Indy allows 250.7 passing ypg and gave up 5 TDs to Brock Purdy last week.
On the flip side, the Jaguars boast of the no.1 rush defense that will stuff Indy’s Jonathan Taylor just like the 49ers and Seahawks have done the last two weeks as they force Rivers to throw the ball.
The Jaguars are 6-0 SU as the Favorite, 3-1 SU in division games, and 3-0 SU as the Away Favorite. The Colts are 2-4 SU after a loss, 2-7 ATS in their last nine December games and 0-6 ATS in their last six Week 17 matchups.
Jacksonville will win this game by double digits.
NFL Parlay Pick 3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-240) vs. Miami Dolphins
Will the real Tampa Bay Buccaneers please stand up? The Bucs have gone 1-6 SU in their last seven games and now sit at 7-8 on the season along with falling a game behind Carolina for the NFC South title.
Fortunately for the Bucs, if they win out, and Carolina loses both games, then Tampa can claim the division crown. Week 18 will feature the Bucs vs. Panthers. And, Carolina plays Seattle this week.
With that in mind, I like the Buccaneers this week over the Dolphins who have benched Tua and are trotting out Ewers or Wilson as their QB. We all saw how that worked last week when Miami lost 45-21 at Cincy.
Tampa Bay has one strength on defense that will help them in this matchup – they’re ranked 7th against the run at 101.3 ypg. Miami’s ground game with Achane is their biggest weapon on offense, but it will be challenged by Tampa Bay.
Ewers threw for 260 yards last week, but did toss two INTs, as well. Achane finished with 81 rushing yards. He will be lucky to hit that total this week but I still see the talented RB going over 100 all-purpose yards.
As for Tampa Bay, it’s all about putting points on the board since their defense is struggling to slow down the opposition. The Bucs allow 25.1 ppg. Fortunately, the Dolphins allow 24.6 ppg, so this Tampa offense should have some success.
Look for Bucky Irving and his backfield cohorts to be the difference makers in this matchup. Miami allows 130.3 rushing yards per game which is the 7th most in the league. I expect Irving to have a strong outing and pace this offense to first downs, points and dominating the time of possession.
Tampa will win this game. They’re 6-1 SU in their last seven head-to-head meetings against the Dolphins. Despite going 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against Miami, I would skip the spread in this matchup as the Bucs are 5-10 ATS this season.
NFL Parlay Pick 4: Los Angeles Rams (-450) vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Los Angeles Rams suffered a controversial defeat at Seattle last week on Thursday Night Football. There was a questionable call that gave the Seahawks points on the board.
The silver lining to LA’s loss is that they have 11 days off between games, which will help their injured players rest and recover. However, they might still be without Davante Adams who is out with a hamstring injury.
Yet, they don’t really need Adams on MNF in Week 17, because they’re facing a 6-9 Atlanta Falcons team that have long been eliminated from the Playoffs. While they’ve won two games in a row with Kirk Cousins as the starting QB, Atlanta is a step below the Rams in regards to roster talent.
The Rams are 3-0 SU following a loss, 11-2 SU as the Favorite, 4-1 SU as the Away Favorite and 8-2 SU in their last 10 games. Atlanta is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games. 1-4 SU in their last five Week 17 games, and 2-4 SU at home this season.
Atlanta has the no.8 pass defense (195.1 ypg) which should provide a challenge to LA’s no.2 pass offense (270.5 ypg). However, the Rams have a clear advantage in running the ball as they’re ranked 5th in the NFL at 126.3 ypg. The Falcons allow 128.2 ypg on the ground.
I expect LA to get on the scoreboards quickly and keep their foot on the gas pedal all game long. Matthew Stafford will keep his NFL MVP season humming along, while the duo of Williams and Corum will chew up Atlanta’s run defense. Look for the Rams to win by double digits.
NFL Parlay Pick 5: New England Patriots (-950) vs. New York Jets
With the no.1 seed in the AFC still up for grabs, and a shot at clinching the AFC East division, I fully expect New England to crush the New York Jets and win by 20 points or more.
I don’t see how this game is going to be close at all, especially with Cook at QB and a Jets defense that is simply atrocious. New York allows 28.4 ppg, which is the 3rd most points allowed per game in the NFL. New England scores 27.3 ppg, which ranks them 7th in the league.
The Patriots’ ground game should have success this weekend as the Jets allow the 5th most rushing yards at 133.7 ypg. While New York ranks 13th against the pass, New England puts up 250.6 ypg with their no.4 passing attack and MVP candidate Drake Maye.
On the flip side, New England allows only 100.1 rushing yards per game, which means that they will stuff New York’s ground game. Additionally, the Jets rank dead last in the NFL for passing with a laughable 145.9 ypg.
The Patriots are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games against the Jets, 11-1 SU in their last 12 overall games, 6-1 SU in their last seven AFC games, and 7-0 SU in their last seven road contests. New York is 1-5 SU in their last six games, 3-9 SU in their last 12 home games, and 2-8 SU in their last 10 AFC games.
The Jets have had one foot in the offseason since Halloween, while New England has been dancing on the AFC all season long. Take the Patriots to win and cover the double-digit spread as they’re 6-1 ATS in seven road games this season.
NFL Parlay Total Payout
- Denver Broncos (-1000)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (-290)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-240)
- Los Angeles Rams (-450)
- New England Patriots (-950)
The Broncos, Rams and Patriots are playing teams with backup QBs and rosters filled with players looking forward to offseason vacations. They should all win their matchups by double digits. Furthermore, all three teams are fighting for the top spot in their respective conferences.
The Jaguars are battling a physically and emotionally beaten Indianapolis team. Jacksonville is one game back of Denver and New England for the AFC top spot and one win closer to clinching the AFC South division.
Lastly, the Buccaneers still have a shot at the Playoffs if they can win out and Carolina loses out. That starts with a Tampa win in Miami against a backup QB and a team that’s heading into an offseason where they might burn the whole thing down for a full rebuild.
If you take all five legs of this NFL parlay card, then you would score a $183.10payout.n your initial investment.
Remember, to wager on this parlay card, you will need to check out the best sports betting sites and take advantage of any optimal lines, which means some line shopping could be greatly beneficial.
If you are loving these NFL parlay picks, then check out our College Football parlays of the week and double down on this weekend’s gridiron action.









