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Week 14 is in the books and we’re marching through the final month of the 2024-25 NFL regular season with the hopes of nailing each of our weekly NFL parlay picks.
Last week, we went 3-1 for like the 10th time this season. The Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings, and Pittsburgh Steelers all tallied a check in the win column. Unfortunately, it was our Buffalo Bills that came up short in Los Angeles despite a historic game from the NFL MVP Josh Allen.
This week should be dubbed “Bird Week” as three of our four picks are all birds. We start with the largest favorite in Week 15 – the Baltimore Ravens as they play against the New York Giants. In fact, all of our picks are taking on hapless teams looking to just finish the season.
Our next highest pick is the surging Minnesota Vikings who battle NFC North rival Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. It should be noted that there will be two MNF games in Week 15 and we’re picking both of the favorites for our parlay card this week.
In addition to the Vikings, we also like the Atlanta Falcons to stop their losing skid by taking out the Las Vegas Raiders. Lastly, we also like the Arizona Cardinals to claw their way back into the race for the NFC West division title by defeating the New England Patriots.
Let’s dive deeper into our NFL parlay picks for Week 15 and see what our free NFL parlay card is paying out this week.
NFL Picks and Parlays
Monitor the NFL odds throughout the week. As the odds change, the parlay payouts will change as well.
Team | Odds | Payout Per Leg | Confidence Level |
---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Ravens | -1300 | NA | 5/5 |
Minnesota Vikings | -310 | $42.43 | 4.5/5 |
Arizona Cardinals | -225 | $105.73 | 4/5 |
Atlanta Falcons | -220 | $199.24 | 4/5 |
As mentioned, the Baltimore Ravens are a massive favorite this week and rightfully so. There would be no reason to bet this team unless using in a parlay. Their -1300 odds, as of this writing, are one of the biggest lines of the season to date.
The other three picks are all reasonable favorites with odds from -220 to -310, which helps us to receive a decent payout if we nail all four NFL parlay picks.
NFL Parlay Picks
Our weekly NFL parlay picks are based on order of confidence. Additionally, you can choose any combination of these NFL football picks for your own parlay card or use them all for the total payout listed above.
NFL Parlay Pick 1: Ravens (-1300) vs. Giants (+800)
The New York Giants (2-11) have pretty much packed in the season and are scurrying to the finish line. They’ve dropped eight straight games and will more than likely lose this week as well.
The Baltimore Ravens (8-5) are in desperate need of a win after dropping two of their last three games and coming out of a Bye Week. Prior to the Bye, they lost by five points to the Eagles. Three weeks ago, they dropped a two-point game to the Steelers who they play in Week 16.
So, it’s important for Baltimore to win these easy games, especially with a few tough games left on the docket. Additionally, the Ravens are fighting the Chargers and Broncos for Wild Card Playoff positioning. All three teams have an 8-5 record and are just two games ahead of the Dolphins and Colts.
So, there’s no room for mistakes or bad play when it comes to the final four weeks of the season.
Thes two teams have played against each other eight times and the Ravens hold the advantage with a 5-3 record. However, it’s the Giants who have won three of the last five meetings including their last matchup in 2022.
With that said, you can throw out the history of these two franchises playing against each other because these teams are far different from where they were in their 2022 matchup.
Why We Like The Baltimore Ravens?
Baltimore might have five losses on the season but they still have one of the top offenses in the league. The Ravens are third in scoring (29.5 ppg), first in total yards (422.5 ypg), first in red zone TD conversions (75%), second in rushing yards (179.1 ypg), and fifth in passing yards (243.4 ypg).
Basically, the Ravens can throw or run the ball with a great deal of success. This week, they will run all over the Giants who give up the third most rushing yards per game at 141.7 ypg. That’s music to the ears of both Jackson and Henry as the duo should propel the Ravens to close to 175 rushing yards this Sunday.
On the flip side, the Giants don’t have a capable passer, capable offensive line or consistent running game. Even if they could run the ball better than in previous games, they won’t have success this weekend as the Ravens are the best run stopping defense allowing just 82.7 ypg.
However, Baltimore does give up a ton of passing yards. Too bad the Giants have the 5th worst passing attack at 185.5 ypg.
Baltimore is going to pound this Giants defense. On the other side of the ball, they will make New York one dimensional and force whichever Giants’ QB into turnovers and sacks. This should be the easiest pick of the week.
NFL Parlay Pick 2: Bears (+250) vs. Vikings (-310)
It’s a good thing that Monday Night Football has two games to switch back and forth between because neither game is going to be that compelling. The first matchup is an NFC North clash between the Chicago Bears (4-9) and the Minnesota Vikings (11-2).
When the schedule makers first placed this game on MNF in Week 15, they probably thought it would be a good one between two teams fighting for a Wild Card spot. That’s not what happened though.
Since mid-October, the Bears have been dive bombing into a dumpster fire. They’ve already fired their Offensive Coordinator and a few weeks later they canned their head coach. Yet, Chicago keeps losing.
Last week against the 49ers was their lowest point of the season so far. The Bears lost 38 to 13 and extended their losing streak to seven games in a row.
On the other hand, the Minnesota Vikings are keeping pace with the Detroit Lions as they’ve won six games in a row since their two-game skid in October. Minnesota sits one game back in the NFC North and tied with Philly for the second-best record in the NFL.
These divisional rivals have played against each other 127 times and it’s the Vikings who hold the advantage with a 67-58-2 record. The Vikings have also won six of the last seven head-to-head meetings including their Week 12 matchup.
Minnesota needed to go to Overtime to beat Chicago that week. Keep in mind, that game was when the Bears were still trying. After that game, Chicago had their disastrous finish versus the Lions on Thanksgiving which lead to the firing of Matt Eberflus.
Why We Like The Minnesota Vikings?
If the Bears were still trying, this game could be a competitive matchup. However, after their performance last week at San Francisco, this team has clearly packed it in for the winter. Don’t believe me?
The Bears managed to tally just 162 total yards last week and 13 points, which mostly came in the 4th quarter when the 49ers were already up 31 to 6. San Francisco finished the game with 38 points, 452 total yards and 22 1st downs. It was a complete demolishing of the Bears.
Do you think Chicago will play with some pride this week and try to win on MNF?
I don’t think that will happen. In fact, as soon as the Bears get punched in the mouth by the Vikings, they’re going to fold and Minnesota will end up winning by at least a touchdown. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Vikings win by double digits.
Look for Minnesota to establish the run against this Bears defense that allows 134.8 yards per game on the ground. If Chicago had any passing attack, they could find success versus the Minnesota secondary. Unfortunately for the Bears, their rookie QB Caleb Williams is leading the third worst passing offense in the league as they put up 182.7 ypg.
This game should be over by the end of the third quarter as Minnesota has everything still to play for: the NFC North title, the best record in the NFC, and Playoff seeding. The Bears have nothing left to play for and they’re showing it.
NFL Parlay Pick 3: Patriots (+185) vs. Cardinals (-225)
This is the first time we’ve picked the Arizona Cardinals (6-7) in one of our weekly NFL parlay cards. That’s because they’re finally in a spot where we feel good about their chances of winning due to their motivation and opponent.
The New England Patriots (3-10) come to town and this team has been long eliminated from any postseason contention. In fact, they only thing they’re contending for is holiday plans.
New England has dropped four of their last five including three in a row. Guess who that one win was against. It was at Chicago. Another reason why you can stick a fork in the Bears for the rest of the season. They cooked like a Christmas ham.
The Patriots might have nothing to play for, but they still compete hard on the field. That was evident last week when they almost beat the Colts who are still fighting for a Wild Card spot. In fact, the Patriots have lost three of their last four games by one score or less.
Arizona isn’t going to have a cakewalk this weekend, but the Cardinals are just two games back in the NFC West race and they’re playing at home versus a team with nothing to play for other than pride. And, that is often not enough when playing a road game in mid-December with your season already over with.
These two teams have played against each other 16 times and the Patriots hold the advantage with a 9-7 record. Additionally, the Patriots have won eight of the last nine matchups including three in a row.
However, the last meeting came in 2022, when it was Mac Jones battling Colt McCoy. This year, it will be Drake Maye battling Kyler Murray and the latter is far better than the rookie.
Why We Like The Arizona Cardinals?
First, the Cardinals are 4-3 at home and the Patriots are just 2-5 on the road with those victories coming against the Bears four weeks ago and the Bengals in Week 1. Neither of those teams have been real contenders this season.
New England will now head west to take on an Arizona squad that’s desperately fighting for their Playoff lives. Furthemmore, the Cardinals have won three of their last four home games but fell asleep at the wheel last weekend versus the NFC West leading Seahawks.
The Patriots are a one-dimensional offense as they’re dead last in passing at 171.5 yards per game. However, Maye has given them a boost at times in the passing attack.
On the other side, the Cardinals actually have the 6th best rushing attack at 139.8 yards per game and the Patriots give up nearly 125 rushing yards per game.
Look for Arizona to ride their rushing attack and use Murray’s legs at times. I expect AZ to jump out to an early lead and then grind out the clock to a much-needed victory over a Patriots team that will most likely pack it in by the 4th quarter.
NFL Parlay Pick 4: Falcons (-220) vs. Raiders (+180)
Our final pick of the week is the second MNF game for Week 15 and it features the Las Vegas Raiders (2-11) hosting the struggling Atlanta Falcons (6-7).
The Raiders have dropped nine games in a row and are the epitome of needing a franchise quarterback. The team has played hard for Antonio Peirce, but they lack talent on both sides of the ball. Additionally, with an inconsistent offensive line, trading their top playmaker in Adams, and QB injuries all season long, this team seemed doomed from the beginning.
The Falcons need to turn things around this week or their hopes of making the Playoffs are over with. They’ve dropped four games in a row and have looked horrible over the last month. In particular, Kirk Cousins has been a shell of himself and one of the biggest reasons why the team is sitting where they are.
The Falcons and Raiders have played against each other 15 times with Atlanta leading the series 8 to 7. The Falcons have won the last five meetings and there’s no reason to think that they can’t extend that winning streak to six games in a row.
Why We Like The Atlanta Falcons?
The Raiders are wounded, inferior, and nothing left to play for. In fact, they might even be more motivated to tank in order to get a higher draft pick and one of the top QBs in the 2025 NFL Draft.
The Raiders have the worst rushing attack in the NFL. IN fact, it’s just downright embarrassing as they only put up 79 yards per game. This leaves the offense constantly in obvious passing downs. With subpar QB play added to the mix, the Raiders have been atrocious offensively.
Las Vegas is 27th in scoring at 18.3 ppg, 25th in total yards at 303 ypg, 29th in third down conversion at 34.32%, and 29th in TDs per game at 1.8 touchdowns. This is easily one of the worst offenses in the entire league and will need to undergo a dramatic overhaul in the offseason.
Despite their struggles over the last month, the Falcons still have the #2 passing offense at 250.2 ypg. Even their rushing attack is 12th in the league. Both aspects should have success this weekend if they don’t shoot themselves in the collective foot like the last month.
It’s do or die time for Kirk Cousins. Another struggle could get him benched and off the team after the season. Cousins needs to step up and lead this Falcons team to victory so that they can remain in the hunt for the NFC South division.
Currently, Atlanta is one game back of Tampa Bay in the division. Yet, they have defeated the Buccaneers both times this season. So, with the tie breaker in hand, if they can win this week while Tampa loses at the Chargers, then Atlanta is back in the driver’s seat.
Take the Falcons to win an ugly game even though it shouldn’t be. However, that’s just how inconsistent the offense has been.
NFL Parlay Total Payout
If you decide to take all four legs of our parlay, a $100 wager will net you $199.24 in winnings and a total payout of $299.24.
It’s David vs. Goliath this week as the Baltimore Ravens take on the New York Giants. The Ravens are a two-touchdown favorite and coming off a Bye Week. The Giants are in utter disarray, competing for the first overall draft pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and most likely overhauling the entire franchise this offseason.
The Ravens are still battling for the AFC North division and to lock in an AFC Wild Card spot. They’re far better on paper and the field than the Giants are. This should be a blowout of epic proportions.
The Minnesota Vikings are in a similar boat as the Ravens. Although they’re not as big of favorites as Baltimore is, the Vikings are still chasing after the Detroit Lions for the NFC North division and the best record in the NFC.
Currently, Minnesota is just one game behind Detroit for both counts. They will host the Chicago Bears on MNF. The Bears have clearly packed it in for the season. Minnesota should put this game away by the end of the third quarter. I would be surprised if the starters are playing in the fourth quarter of this game.
The Arizona Cardinals are also in the same boat as the two teams above. They’re trying to remain in the hunt for the NFC West division, but sit two games back and have been swept by Seattle who leads the West. Yet, if Seattle slips up then the Cardinals can get right back to first place.
They host the New England Patriots who have struggled on the road, especially against good teams. They’ve gone 1-5 in their last six road games and don’t have much to offer in the way of beating Arizona this weekend.
Lastly, we have the Falcons who follow the three teams above. However, they’re in a better position to win their division than Baltimore, Minnesota and Arizona are.
The Falcons are one game back of the Buccaneers but have already swept Tampa Bay this season. So, they hold the tie breaker and would win the NFC South if both teams finish in a tie.
Atlanta plays the lowly Las Vegas Raiders on MNF this week, while the Bucs face the tough Chargers team in Los Angeles. This is the perfect opportunity for Atlanta to reclaim the division lead and control their own destiny.