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Week 11 of the 2025-26 NFL season is loaded with some big-time matchups that will certainly shape Conferences and Divisions throughout the last third of the year.
However, those battles are difficult to assess which teams are worthy of a spot on our parlays like the Chiefs vs. Broncos, Buccaneers vs. Bills, Lions vs. Eagles, Seahawks vs. Rams, and Chargers vs. Jaguars. Fortunately, we’ve found a handful of other matchups where the lines and the parlay picks make sense.
Of our Week 11 parlays picks, the Baltimore Ravens and Green Bay Packers are the only Super Bowl hopefuls on our list. Additionally, we’ll be shying away from the Underdogs in this week’s parlay card as we’re looking for a high-percentage ticket.
With that said, parity has made NFL betting tricky at times. Fortunately, NFL parlays are one way to maximize betting value when the boards seem difficult to decipher. After looking at the Week 11 slate of games, we have a handful of NFL picks to add to our parlay card. Let’s take a closer look at the best NFL parlays for Week 11.
NFL Picks and Parlays
| Team | Odds | Payout Per Leg |
|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | -450 | $22.22 |
| Houston Texans | -380 | $54.38 |
| Green Bay Packers | -400 | $92.98 |
| Dallas Cowboys | -185 | $197.29 |
Yes, we are going with four NFL teams that are favored this week. Heading into Week 11, Favorites are 104-44-1 which is a 70.3% winning percentage. In Week 10, the Favorites went 10-4 SU.
Furthermore, all four of these teams are favored as road teams. Away Favorites are 43-20-1, which breaks down to a 67.2% winning percentage. Road Favorites went 4-2 in Week 10.
Last week, our parlay ticket fell short due to the poor play by the Buffalo Bills and the ugly collapse of the Jacksonville Jaguars late in the game. The Jags allowed Houston to score 26 points in the 4th to win the game.
With that said, make sure you continue to monitor the NFL odds throughout the week as they could shift as we get closer to kickoff, which will impact your total payout for this parlay card. For more NFL advice and picks, check out the best handicapping membership in the industry.
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NFL Parlay Picks
The following is our best parlay NFL picks for Week 11:
NFL Parlay Pick 1: Baltimore Ravens (-450) vs. Cleveland Browns
The Baltimore Ravens (4-5) are one game below .500 after a miserable stretch where they lost most of their games due to the absence of Lamar Jackson. However, they have put together a three-game winning streak where Jackson has led the Ravens to two wins in a row.
The Browns (2-7) have dropped their last two games including a 27-20 loss to the Jets in Week 10. Yet, both of Cleveland’s wins on the season have come in home games.
Last weekend, the Ravens defense harassed Minnesota’s J.J. McCarthy all game long. This week, I expect them to do the same against Cleveland’s Dillon Gabriel.
In 53 all-time meetings between the old vs. new Browns, Baltimore has dominated this rivalry with a 38-15 all-time record. The Ravens are 8-4 SU in the last 12 head-to-head meetings including sweeping both games last year. Baltimore is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games versus Cleveland.
The Ravens defense has been prone to giving up big plays and points. They allow 26.1 ppg (25th) and 372.7 ypg (26th). Furthermore, they’re 27th against the pass as they give up 249.4 ypg. And, to make matters worse, the Ravens have the third lowest sack rate in the NFL at 3.45%.
Fortunately for Baltimore, they’re going up against a terrible offense. So, it should even out some. The key for this game will be the Ravens’ offense trying to run the ball. Baltimore is 5th in the NFL with 137.3 ypg and the Browns are 10th against the run as they only give up 97.9 ypg. I think Jackson uses his legs in this matchup to win the game.
NFL Parlay Pick 2: Houston Texans (-380) vs. Tennessee Titans
After 47 head-to-head meetings, the Tennessee Titans hold a slight advantage with a 24-23 record. However, it’s been the Houston Texans that have been dominant in recent years having won five of the last six meetings including two in a row.
Additionally, the Texans are 5-1 ATS versus the Titans over that span. And, if those two trends weren’t enough to convince you, Houston is also 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Tennessee.
The biggest factor in this game, and why I love Houston in this spot, is the Texans defense going up against an awful Tennessee offense. Let’s look at some of these numbers so that you can see the disparity.
Houston’s defense is no.1 in the NFL for fewest points (16.7 ppg) and fewest total yards (261.3 ypg). They’re also no.3 in fewest 3rd down conversions at 33.64%. Looking at other stats, we see that the Texans are no.3 in fewest TDs (2.0), no.2 against the run (90.3 ypg), no.4 against the pass (171.0 ypg), and no.4 in takeaways (1.7).
The Titans give up the ball 1.4 times per game and have the worst offense in the NFL behind rookie QB Cam Ward. Tennessee is last in scoring (14.4 ppg), total yards (244.0 ypg), 3rd down conversion (28.45%), and TDs per game (1.2). But that’s not all!
The Titans rank no.31 in red zone TDs (43.75%), rushing the ball (81.2 ypg), throwing the ball (162.8 ypg), and sack rate allowed (11.41%).
Lastly, the Titans turn the ball over 1.4 times per game compared to the above stat of the Texans averaging 1.7 takeaways per game. Even if Stroud misses another game, which he shouldn’t, this team is superior to their counterpart.
I can’t envision a scenario where Tennessee wins this game. It’s the worst offense versus the best defense and that’s a recipe for disaster in regards to the Titans.
NFL Parlay Pick 3: Green Bay Packers (-400) vs. New York Giants
After 64 head-to-head meetings, the Green Bay Packers hold a slight edge in this series with a 34-28-2 record. However, the New York Giants have won two games in a row over the Packers and five of the last eight matchups.
Even if the Giants have a healthy Jaxon Dart at QB, which is a big “if” due to his Week 10 concussion, they don’t have enough talent to beat Green Bay. Sure, the Packers have lost two ugly games in a row but it was due to their poor offense.
The Green Bay defense has showed up over those two losses as they allowed only 13 ppg. Unfortunately, the Packers offense only scored 10 ppg.
The difference between those two losses and this week, the Giants have a bad defense. Whereas, the Panthers and Eagles have solid defenses.
Green Bay should be able to find success on the ground this weekend as the Giants have the second worst run defense in the NFL as they give up 152.1 ypg. Additionaly, they allow 230.9 passing yards per game and don’t get after the QB as much as they should. NY has the seventh lowest sack rate at 5.59% and the Pack give up the 7th lowest sack rate at 4.67%.
The Giants allow 27.3 ppg and 383.0 total yards per game, which are both higher than what the Packers average. So, there’s plenty of room for success with Green Bay’s offense in Week 11. Look for Josh Jacobs to lead the way in this one.
Defensively, the Packers will shut down New Yorks rushing attack as Green Bay is 6th against the run at 91.8 ypg. They’re also 11th against the pass at 195.5 ypg. I expect this Packers defensive pass rush to swarm Dart or whomever is at QB. And, if Wilson starts, then you can expect a blowout win for Green Bay.
Lastly, the Giants fired their head coach Brian Daboll after losing to Chicago on Sunday. This franchise is in disarray due to injuries and a lack of leadership. Take the Pack to win by at least a touchdown.
NFL Parlay Pick 4: Dallas Cowboys (-185) vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) come into this game having lost three of their last four contests including two in a row. When we last saw them, they dropped a MNF matchup against the Cardinals in an ugly 27-17 loss. This prompted Jerry Jones to make a few defensive moves at the trade deadline.
Fortunately for Dallas, they were on Bye in Week 10. This gave them time to acclimate their new players, rest up key starters, and refocus for the final half of the season.
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) also made a key trade at the deadline last week as they got rid of their no.1 WR Jakoby Meyers. LV has lost three games in a row but the last two defeats were by a combined four points.
In Week 9, the Raiders had a two-point conversion knocked down in OT which cost them the win. Then in Week 10, they fell short by a field goal in Denver. While this team has played well over the last two weeks, they’re going up against a rested and desperate Dallas team.
The Raiders hold a slight edge in this series with a 7-6 record. Additionally, they won the last meeting which came in 2021. Yet, Dallas is 4-2 SU in their last six games against the Raiders.
Dallas has one of the worst defenses, if not the worst, in the NFL. However, I do think their trade moves will help tremendously. The Raiders have one of the worst offenses in the NFL, so Dallas has some hope for defensive success.
What I like the most for Dallas is their no.3 passing game (257.8 ypg) versus LV’s no. 16 pass defense that gives up 214.2 ypg. Additionally, Dallas allows the third lowest sack rate (4.25%) and the Raiders have the 8th lowest sack rate at 5.70%.
Ultimately, I see this Dallas offensive line being the biggest difference maker as they establish the run and protect Dak Prescott who should pick apart this Raiders secondary.
Both teams are penalized a lot and turn the ball over at the same frequency. So, whichever team secures the ball and makes the least mistakes will win this game. Plus, you have to like Prescott over Geno Smith in this matchup.
And, if it comes down to a FG battle, Dallas has one of the best kickers in the league with Aubrey. I see the Cowboys winning by at least one or two field goals in this matchup.
NFL Parlay Total Payout
- Baltimore Ravens (-450)
- Houston Texans (-380)
- Green Bay Packers (-400)
- Dallas Cowboys (-185)
Although all four of these Week 11 parlay picks are road teams, the matchups are favorable to those teams based on talent, playmakers and injuries.
The Ravens are on a roll now that Lamar Jackson is back. And, while the Browns will play tough, Baltimore will pull away to win. Same for the Houston Texans at divisional rival the Titans. C.J. Stroud will return to lead this team to victory.
The Packers head to the Giants where they just fired their head coach and start QB Jaxon Dart suffered a concussion in Week 10. Lastly, the Cowboys give us some concern but after coming off a Bye Week, they should be firing on all cylinders in Vegas.
If you take all four legs of this NFL parlay card, then you would score a $197 payout. That’s nearly a 2x your initial investment. Our favorite pick of the weekend is the Houston Texans. They have the best defense and are playing the NFL’s worst offense.
Remember, to wager on this parlay card, you will need to check out the best sports betting sites and take advantage of any optimal lines, which means some line shopping could be greatly beneficial.
If you are loving these NFL parlay picks, then check out our College Football parlays of the week and double down on this weekend’s gridiron action.
