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Looking for some good NFL betting picks for week 11? I’ve got a nice batch of NFL player props that should help you out. Seeing as I was red hot (4-1) with my five NFL prop bets I dished out last week, you may want to hop on them.
The road to the 2026 Super Bowl continues this week, and there are several marquee matchups that yield pretty interesting spots. We can exploit that, while there are also some oddly priced NFL player prop bets in general.
Stop by our Week 11 NFL predictions for even more insight into this week’s betting slate, or read on for my favorite NFL picks to target in the player prop market.
NFL Player Prop Odds
| Player | Prop bet | Game |
|---|---|---|
| De’Von Achane | Anytime TD (-180) | Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins |
| Rico Dowdle | Over 80+ Rush Yards (-178) | Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons |
| DK Metcalf | Over 50+ Receiving Yards (-146) | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers |
| Justin Herbert | Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-158) | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars |
| A.J. Brown | Over 5+ Catches (+110) | Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles |
RJ Harvey wasn’t as involved as I’d have liked to see on Thursday Night Football last week, and of course he was my lone NFL prop pick that whiffed. The other four all hit, so if you followed along, you were in great shape.
Another Scores & Stats writer nailed a four-leg NFL underdog parlay, proving that SAS is the place to stop by and check out before placing your NFL bets.
NFL player prop betting is fun because it is not necessarily contingent on what happens in a given game, while you have so many options in front of you. I’ve gathered up another five-pack of my favorite NFL player prop bets, so you can roll with the list above by reading on for a little more insight into each pick. Or, check out the industry’s top handicapping membership for more great NFL picks each week.
NFL Player Props Today
Here’s a breakdown of each prop, analyzing matchups, trends, and key factors to help you make informed NFL bets:
De’Von Achane – Anytime TD Scorer (-180)
Matchup: Washington Commanders @ Miami Dolphins
One of the best week 11 NFL player props has to be De’Von Achane to score a touchdown. He is pretty appealing across the board, of course, as he is heavily involved (20+ total touches in each of his last three games).
I’d feel good betting on a bunch of Achane’s props, but you just need one touchdown for him to deliver. He scored twice last week and has hit paydirt in seven different games so far in 2025. I find it hard to believe he’ll fail in week 11, when he has a super soft matchup against the Washington Commanders.
Washington was decent against the run earlier in the year, but they have regressed mightily. Over the last four weeks they have allowed the fourth most rushing yards in the league, while they’ve given up 10 total scores to running backs in 2025.
Rico Dowdle – Over 80+ Rush Yards (-178)
Matchup: Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
Another running back I feel can deliver this week is Rico Dowdle. He and his Carolina Panthers disappointed a lot of bettors last week, but if this team is going to have success, they need to establish the run early.
The nice thing here is you don’t need a touchdown or an egregious yardage mark for Dowdle to hand you a winning prop bet. Dowdle has eclipsed this rushing yardage mark three times this season, and he hadn’t even been a regular starter until week five.
There is mild concern about a lingering quad injury for Dowdle, but the guy has a monster role (17+ carries in five of his last six games, and he has a clear path to the Over. The matchup is sublime this week, as he faces a struggling Atlanta Falcons run defense that has gotten gashed for more rushing yards (642) than anyone over the past four weeks.
DK Metcalf – Over 50+ Receiving Yards (-146)
Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
The writing on the wall suggests the Pittsburgh Steelers need a big win at home against an AFC North foe this week, and the best way to ensure that happens is for Aaron Rodgers to feed his top wide receiver.
DK Metcalf remains as explosive as ever, but for whatever reason, Rodgers has not consistently gotten him the ball. That could change in a plus matchup versus the Cincinnati Bengals, who have been awful on defense all year.
Metcalf was fairly quiet the last time he went up against Cincy and still hit 50 receiving yards, so it isn’t asking a lot for him to do slightly better in the second go around. He’s only topped this mark four times in 2025, but the Steelers need to make a concerted effort to rectify that this week and going forward.
Justin Herbert – Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-158)
Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Justin Herbert looks to be in a smash spot in week 11, when he and his Los Angeles Chargers hit the road to battle the Jaguars in Jacksonville. Herbert comes in red hot, throwing at least one touchdown in every 2025 start and putting up 2+ passing scores in four of his last five contests.
Herbert had a much tougher matchup against an improved Steelers defense last week, but it gets softer against Jacksonville, who have allowed 22 touchdowns (3rd most) through the air this season.
There’s nothing bad to say about the matchup, Herbert’s form, or the weapons he gets to go to work with. He looks like a fantastic bet to toss at least two scores, and this could be a spot where pushing the envelope for three or even four is in play.
A.J. Brown – Over 5+ Catches (+110)
Matchup: Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles
The squeaky wheel figures to be A.J. Brown yet again going into week 11. He continues to let everyone know exactly how much he hates his role with the Philadelphia Eagles, which probably means one of two things; Philly will go out of their way to appease him, or they’ll move on from him.
I don’t buy that the Eagles would seriously consider doing the latter anytime soon, though. Not only are they trying to defend a Super Bowl title at the moment, but they are also doing well at 7-2. On top of that, they can’t trade Brown with the deadline passed.
That leaves appeasing him, so after seeing just three balls come his way on Monday Night Football, I anticipate him being much more involved against the Detroit Lions.
Brown could shine under the bright lights of Sunday Night Football, whether it’s forced, matchup-based, or simply out of necessity. After all, it certainly is an advantageous spot, seeing as the Lions have not exactly been elite against the pass this season.
The Best Week 11 NFL Player Props Parlay
- De’Von Achane Anytime TD (-180)
- Rico Dowdle Over 80+ Rush Yards (-178)
- DK Metcalf Over 50+ Rushing Yards (-146)
- Justin Herbert Over 1.5 Pass TDs (-158)
- A.J. Brown Over 5+ Catches (+110)
As always, make sure you shop around for the best possible NFL odds for all of these NFL player props. The only thing worse than whiffing on a bet is hitting it for less money than you could have had. All of these prop bets are coming in under -200, though, so you’re getting good value.
I love all of these bets enough to consider mixing them together on smaller NFL parlays. However, I prefer straight bets. For instance, last week my top NFL player prop bets went 4-1. That’s easy profit if you target those five bets individually, but a big fat zero if you only did a parlay with them.
You have my favorite NFL player props and my reasoning for each pick. If you choose to add these five player props to an NFL parlay card, then you would win $1,303 for every $100 wagered.
For the NCAAF fans out there, you can also roll with our best College Football parlays of the week for more exciting football betting action.









