The Best NFL Player Props for Conference Championships

The NFL conference championship round is here, and with just two games separating us from the Super Bowl, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

While most expected the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, and Philadelphia Eagles to get to this point, few can say the same of the upstart Washington Commanders, who have won back-to-back road games to kick off their postseason run. This will be Washington’s first NFC Championship Game appearance since 1991. That year, they upended the Detroit Lions en route to knocking off the Bills in Super Bowl XXVI. Could the Commanders take a similar path to glory 34 years later?

We’re here to talk player props, though. We have just 3 games left in the 2024-25 NFL season, so you’d better get your bets placed while you still can.

From star quarterbacks trying to outduel each other to under-the-radar contributors looking to make an impact, conference championship weekend has it all. Here are the best player props to consider for the conference title round using odds from renowned NFL betting sites.

NFL Player Prop Odds

NFL Player Props Today

Here’s a breakdown of each prop, analyzing matchups, trends, and key factors to help you make informed bets. We’re using odds from the top online sportsbooks.

Josh Allen – Over 227.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Allen has been the engine of the Bills’ offense throughout the playoffs, and this game against the Chiefs sets up perfectly for another big performance. We already saw Allen and the Bills enjoy success at the expense of Kansas City’s vaunted defense earlier in the year, though a trip to Arrowhead for the rematch will be no easy task.

Allen has a good chance to edge Lamar Jackson out for NFL MVP, though his passing numbers on the season weren’t all that hefty. Allen finished the season with about 3,700 passing yards as the Bills employed a more run-heavy style. When you have Allen and James Cook, why wouldn’t you run it as often as possible? After racking up 272 passing yards in the 31-7 drubbing of the Denver Broncos to open the playoffs, Allen was limited to just 127 yards through the air last week against the Baltimore Ravens.

He took to the air 40 times in the last meeting with the Chiefs, however, and finished with a solid 262 yards and a touchdown in a 30-21 triumph. Buffalo will try to run the ball, but they can’t afford to get too one-dimensional in this matchup. While it isn’t historically a recipe for success for the Bills, I do think Allen will have to put his cannon of a right arm on display if Buffalo is going to dethrone the champs in this one.

Bet the over on Allen’s modest 227.5-yard passing prop at -115.

Jayden Daniels – Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Jayden Daniels has had an impressive rookie season, but this matchup against the Eagles’ formidable defense is a tough one. Philadelphia excels at limiting opposing quarterbacks and forcing turnovers, and Washington may opt to lean on its rushing attack to avoid unnecessary risks.

Daniels and the Eagles are no strangers to one another. This will be the third and final meeting of the season between the NFC East rivals. Philadelphia held Daniels to 191 yards in a 26-18 loss back in November, though Daniels bounced back with a 258-yard, 5-touchdown performance in Washington’s thrilling win over Philly in Week 16. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions have had no answers for Washington’s offense so far in these playoffs, though the Eagles’ defense will be Daniels’ toughest challenge to date.

When the Commanders are humming, they’re gashing teams on the ground. You can be sure Daniels, Brian Robinson, and Austin Ekeler will be heavily involved. While I’m bullish on Washington’s chances of winning on Sunday, I’m not convinced they’ll need a big passing game from Daniels in order to do it.

Given the Eagles’ ability to disrupt passing games, taking the under on Daniels’ 223.5 passing yards feels like the right call.

James Cook – Under 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

James Cook has been a steady presence in Buffalo’s backfield, but this isn’t the ideal matchup for him to shine. The Chiefs’ defense has been stout against the run, and with Buffalo expected to rely on Josh Allen’s arm, Cook may struggle to see enough volume to clear 57.5 rushing yards.

While Cook has racked up 18 rushing touchdowns (including playoffs) this season, he isn’t exactly a bell-cow back. Allen is more than happy to tuck and run it himself, while the Bills have been mixing Ty Johnson and Ray Davis into their plans. Cook still led the team with 17 carries, but that was less than half of Buffalo’s total rushing attempts. Allen, Johnson, and Davis combined for 19 rushes.

Cook was held to just 9 rushes for 20 yards in the season’s previous meeting against Kansas City. While I do think he’s a good bet to have a heavier workload in this one, it’s still no guarantee that the Bills will be in position to pound the run. The under on 57.5 rushing yards looks like the better option here.

Austin Ekeler – Over 18.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Austin Ekeler has primarily made his mark in Washington’s passing game, but this low rushing line is hard to ignore. Washington will primarily run the ball with Robinson and Daniels, though there’s a reason they signed Ekeler in free agency. He’s been a useful veteran presence all season long, and he’s still effective with the ball in space.

Ekeler hasn’t topped 10 carries in a game since November 10, but he’s still tangentially involved. He’s also efficient. Ekeler racked up 47 rushing yards on just 6 attempts last week against Detroit, and he averaged a healthy 4.8 yards per carry during the regular season. Even at this more advanced stage of his career, Ekeler is fully capable of topping 18.5 rushing yards on just one big play.

Even with a limited workload, Ekeler’s explosive running style and ability to find gaps make him a good bet to surpass 18.5 rushing yards. A few well-designed run plays could easily push him over this total.

Josh Allen – First TD Scorer (+600)

Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Allen’s dual-threat ability makes him an intriguing candidate to score the first touchdown in Sunday’s must-see matchup with the Chiefs.

The Bills often design red-zone plays to take advantage of Allen’s size and mobility, and his willingness to tuck the ball and run gives him a great chance to find the end zone early.

Allen finished the season with 12 rushing touchdowns after plunging into the end zone 15 times a season ago. While he failed to find paydirt in the Super Wild Card Round vs. Denver, he did score twice with his legs in last week’s win over the Ravens.

Allen’s mobility also gave the Chiefs trouble in the last matchup, as he carried the ball 12 times for 55 yard and a score in that one. Kansas City will try and account for that aspect of his game, but nobody has been able to slow him down all year long.

At +600 odds, this prop offers excellent value for bettors looking for a high-reward play.

The Best Conference Championship NFL Player Prop Parlay

For a high-payout parlay, consider combining:

• James Cook Under 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
• Austin Ekeler Over 18.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
• Josh Allen First TD Scorer (+600)

This NFL parlay isn’t all that safe considering we’re including a prop with +600 odds, but the payout is massive if you’re lucky enough to hit it. A $100 risk on this would pay out $2,346.69 in profit if it wins.