2024 College Football Week 11 Odds and Predictions

We’re hitting the home stretch of the 2024 college football season with just five weeks remaining before the conference championship games. Week 10 was certainly one of the more exciting college football weekends of the season. Three ranked teams fell from the list of unbeatens over the weekend. Penn State lost yet again – 7 straight and 10 of the last 11 – to Ohio State. Iowa State was upset by unranked Texas Tech and No. 18 Pitt lost on the road at No. 20 SMU, 48-25.

In addition, No. 10 Texas A&M is no longer unbeaten in SEC play and No. 17 Kansas State fell victim to a Houston team that was 3-5 before last Saturday. Minnesota, now 6-3, upset No. 24 Illinois on the road. Kentucky led No. 7 Tennessee at the half, but the Vols managed a 28-18 victory.

There was something for everyone. Many thought Arkansas would pull the upset over No. 19 Ole Miss. The Rebels responded by jumping to a 35-10 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-31 win. QB Jaxson Dart threw for 515 yards and six touchdowns as the two teams combined for over 1,000 yards of offense and nearly 100 points. At the other end of the spectrum, Diego Pavia and Tim Beck once again beat Auburn, 17-7. The quarterback Pavia and offensive coordinator Beck of Vanderbilt were previously at New Mexico State, which beat Auburn not once, but two years in a row with Pavia and Beck.

This week, it’s another wild week with two matchups between ranked opponents. Both of them just happen to be in the SEC. No. 2 Georgia will take on No. 16 Ole Miss in Oxford. No. 11 Alabama visits Death Valley to face No. 14 LSU. Both games will clear up the picture in the SEC, which now has five teams with one conference loss.

We’ve got all the latest on all the conference races as well as previews, picks, predictions, and more for all your Week 9 games. Keep it tuned here to Scores & Stats for the remainder of the season as we break down each week of the regular season all the way through to the 2024-25 College Football Playoff national championship.

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College Football Week 11 Odds

Keep an eye on the latest College Football Odds and monitor how the lines change throughout the week.

The big news in Week 11 is how these conference races are beginning to take shape. As mentioned, there are five one-loss SEC teams. Ole Miss already has two losses and will play one-loss Georgia at home on Saturday. A loss by the Bulldogs would put a serious damper on their chances at an SEC title and a CFP berth. The Rebels are likely out of both discussions already, but never say never.

Like Ole Miss, Alabama also has two SEC losses and doesn’t have a real clear path to an SEC championship or a CFP berth. However, if the Tide continue to win, they may get some help down the road. After LSU, the Tide has games against Oklahoma and Auburn to close the regular season.

LSU is 3-1 in conference play and must play Florida, No. 24 Vanderbilt, and Oklahoma. The Tigers also lost to USC in their season opener. A third loss in any of the next four games will put a huge damper on the Tigers goals of reaching the SEC title game and the CFP.

Keep in mind that Week 11 of the 2024 college football season is the beginning of MAC-tion. That would be the annual Tuesday and Wednesday night clashes between the likes of schools like Bowling Green, Miami (OH), and Central Michigan. Eight teams, including the three just mentioned, will play on Tuesday and Wednesday nights.

Ten games this weekend could close with a game total of 60 or higher. This season, there have been more than 150 games with a total of 60 or higher. The Under has cashed in slightly more than 62 percent of those games.

College Football Week 11 Schedule

College Football Week 11 Predictions

Let’s take a look at the featured College Football Week 11 games and make our spread, total, and moneyline NCAAF picks for each game.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels Odds

The Georgia Bulldogs are 7-1, 5-1 in the SEC. They are ranked No. 2 in the nation and still have a pretty clear path to an SEC title and a spot in the new 12-team playoff. Remarkably, the Bulldogs have covered the spread in exactly two games this season. They covered as 10.5-point favorites in their season opening win over Clemson. They covered again in their 30-15 win over Texas as a four-point underdogs.

Ole Miss is 7-2, 3-2 in SEC play. The Rebels put a world of hurt onto Arkansas last week in a 63-32 victory. Lane Kiffin’s offense rolled up nearly 700 yards of offense and now, they somehow need to do it again. What’s interesting is that the Rebels offense ranks ninth in the country in scoring, averaging 37.9 points per game. Despite that scoring, Ole Miss has gone Under the total in every game against an FBS opponent but one – last week against Arkansas.

Georgia is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite this year. The Bulldogs have won nine of the last ten games against Ole Miss. Georgia is 7-3 ATS in those 10 games. The Bulldogs have a scoring margin of +13.3 in those 10 games. Eight of the last ten meetings have gone Under the total. Last year’s game went Over as Georgia scored 52 points at home in a 52-17 win. In seven of the last nine meetings, at least one team has scored 31 or more points.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels Predictions

Under Kirby Smart, Georgia is a different team late in the season. The Bulldogs have won 26 of their last 27 games played in November. The Rebels, on the other hand, have struggled, especially at home in November against quality teams. Ole Miss has lost 11 games in a row against AP Top 5 ranked teams and they have failed to cover in four of their last five November home games.

Ole Miss is in a must-win situation here. Kiffin’s offense will face a huge test in the Georgia defnese. The Rebels struggled to score against Georgia last year in a 52-17 loss on the road. Ole Miss has struggled against good defenses. The Rebels only loss at home came against Kentucky, 20-17. Ole Miss was held to 27 points by South Carolina and 26 by Oklahoma. That’s below their 37.9 points-per-game average.

Don’t forget, both of these teams are very good defensively. While Kiffin’s offense gets all the attention, Ole Miss’s defense ranks in the top 10 in points allowed per game. That should help keep this game pretty tight. The Rebels may feed off the home crowd early, but Georgia has won four straight, holding three of the four opponents to 20 points or less. Both teams trend Under as well. It’ll be tight, but the Bulldogs pull out a late win.

Bet: Georgia ML, Georgia -2.5 (-110), Under 55

Michigan Wolverines vs. Indiana Hoosiers Odds

If you look at the Michigan-Indiana rivalry from just a historical perspective, you’ll find that the annual clash was almost a given Wolverines victory. Michigan has beaten Indiana in every game but one since 1988. Since 1925, the Wolverines hold a 58-10 lead in the series. That includes wins in each of the last three seasons.

Then, along came Curt Cignetti. Google him; he wins and win he has done. The Hoosiers are 9-0 and surpassed their season win total weeks ago. Indiana is a top 10 team in both scoring offense (42.8 ppg, 3rd) and scoring defense (15.0 ppg, 7th). The Hoosiers do not have many flaws. In addition to winning all nine of their games, Indiana is 8-1 ATS. They have covered eight in a row, which includes three ATS wins as a double-digit favorite.

After a 38-17 loss to Oregon last week, defending national champion Michigan is now 5-4. The Wolverines have lost three of their last four games and they failed to cover in all three losses. Michigan is now 1-4 ATS in its last five games.

Part of the problem is a Michigan defense that ranks 44th in the nation in scoring, allowing 23.3 points per game. The Wolverines have been among the top 10 to 20 teams in scoring defense over the past few seasons. Michigan has only held three of its nine opponents to fewer than 20 points this season.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Indiana Hoosiers Predictions

Michigan’s biggest issue is on offense where they lack a quarterback that can provide consistency in the passing game. The most passing yards the Wolverines have had in a game this year came against Illinois. Jack Tuttle threw for 208 yards in a 21-7 loss to the Illini. Not long after that game, Tuttle announced he was quitting football due to concussions.

That leaves Michigan with Davis Warren and Alex Orji. Warren is the better passer and Orji is a 245-pound beast of a runner. Either way, the Wolverines will struggle against an Indiana defense that allows 278.5 yards per game. That’s the sixth-best number in the FBS.

On offense, Nathan Rourke is back at quarterback leading a highly efficient machine of a Hoosiers offense. They rank 16th in total offense, fourth in red zone scoring percentage, and ninth in third down conversion percentage. Indiana has scored 40 more points in all but two of its games this year and, at home, they should be too much for a mediocre Michigan to handle.

Bet: ML pass, Indiana -14.5 (-110), Over 49.5

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Odds

Don’t look now, but Colorado is No. 20 in the nation and still has a shot at the Big 12 conference title. The Buffaloes were kind of an afterthought after they lost to Kansas State on Oct. 12. Coach Prime and company have won two straight and, more importantly, they have covered in six games in a row. Very quietly, Colorado has snuck back into not only the Big 12 race, but also the CFP discussion.

Texas Tech pulled off one of Week 10’s biggest upsets. The Red Raiders took the ball with two minutes remaining against No. 11 Iowa State last week. The Cyclones, who were 7-0, had gone ahead 22-17 on a 44-yard touchdown pass from QB Rocco Becht to WR Carson Brown. Texas Tech marched down the field and scored on a Tahj Brooks five-yard run.

Now, the Red Raiders (6-3) face a 6-2 Colorado team that they don’t have a lot of history with. Remember, Colorado left the Big 12 for the Pac-12 only to return to the Big 12 this season. The last time these two teams played each other was 2010. Texas Tech won 27-24.

Colorado is 6-2 ATS this season, 3-1 ATS in road games. Texas Tech has actually won 10 of its last 14 games. They are 6-1 SU in their last seven games at home and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Red Raiders have struggled at times this season on defense. Texas Tech gave up 35 and 59 prior to the win over Iowa State. Two of the last three Red Raiders games have gone Over the total.

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Predictions

The problem the Red Raiders will have on Saturday is related to their health. LB Bryce Ramirez and DB Javeon Wilcox have both been ruled out already. Then, there are six other starters, many of them on the offensive and defensive lines, that are questionable for Saturday. If Texas Tech is missing starters, it will be even harder to win a second straight game over a ranked opponent.

Speaking of ranked opponents, Texas Tech has lost 14 of 17 games against a ranked opponent at Jones AT&T Stadium, the Red Raiders home field. They have failed to cover the spread in four of the last five against AP ranked opponents at home. Minus starters up front, the offense could have a tough time against Colorado. The Buffaloes are a surprising 30th in scoring defense. They give up 21.4 points per game.

The Texas Tech defense ranks 129th in the FBS in total yards allowed per game (462.1). Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders is eighth in the nation in passing yards (2,591). He leads an offense that scores 31.4 points per game. That ranks 32nd in the nation. WR Travis Hunter is healthy and is Sander’s chief weapon. Hunter can change a game with one touch of the football.

Keep in mind that Colorado has struggled recently in the month of November. Over their last 13 road games in November, Colorado has lost 12 of them. If Sanders and Hunter can connect and the Colorado defense plays well, Texas Tech is in for a long day. This is a great spot to catch the Red Raiders after a big win.

Bet: Colorado -164, Colorado -3.5 (-110), Under 63 (-110)

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Odds

These are two of the nicest surprises in the SEC this season. Vanderbilt is 6-3 with a huge upset win over Alabama (40-35) and a near upset of Texas (27-24 loss). The Commodores under alum Clark Lea are a sound defensive team, but the Gamecocks are even better.

South Carolina (5-3) pulled off an upset of its own last week. With the scored tied at 20-20 last week at home against No. 10 Texas A&M, the Gamecocks proceeded to dominate the second half, scoring 24 unanswered points for a 44-20 victory. It was the Aggies first loss in the SEC and leaves the race to the conference title game wide open.

Vandy has also been good against the number this season. The Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The South Carolina defense has kept the Gamecocks in games and has allowed them to cover the spread in six of their last seven games. South Carolina has covered four of the last five on the road and the Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against Vanderbilt.

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Predictions

Defense is the difference in this one and the better defense is the Gamecocks. South Carolina ranks 15th nationally in scoring defense, allowing opponents 18.9 points per game. They have held their last two opponents to a total of 29 points and held Alabama and Ole Miss to 27 points each in a pair of losses.

Vanderbilt’s offense is led by QB Diego Pavia who is a dual-threat quarterback who simply wins. Last week, Pavia essentially willed the Commodores to victory despite just 227 yards of total offense. The South Carolina offense depends highly on its quarterback too. LaNorris Sellers returned to the Gamecocks lineup last week and he accounted for 244 passing yards, 106 rushing yards, and three total touchdowns.

With Sellers at the controls, South Carolina will be difficult to stop. The Gamecocks average 30.5 points per game and rely heavily on a running game that ranks 42nd in the nation. If Vanderbilt’s defense has a chink in its armor, it’s against the pass. They rank 98th in opponent passing yards per game, but in the top 30 against the run. Sellers makes a difference, but even he isn’t the best passer the Commodores have faced.

Vanderbilt is at home where they are 4-1 SU and ATS this season. South Carolina seems to be peaking at the right time. The Gamecocks play fast and Vanderbilt will have a tough time keeping up if South Carolina gets a substantial lead. The Gamecocks win last week was an emotional one, but it helps carry them to another big win.

Bet: South Carolina -160, South Carolina -3.5 (-110), Over 45.5 (-110)

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers Odds

The road to the old SEC West seemingly depended upon the outcome of this game year-in and year-out. Once again, the Alabama-LSU rivalry will play a role in which team, if any, plays in this year’s SEC championship game. Alabama already has two conference losses and a third would most certainly remove them from SEC and playoff consideration.

LSU has one conference loss and could survive another, but a win would put them on a clearer path to an SEC title. Wins against Alabama have been hard to come by. The Tigers have won just twice against the Crimson Tide in the last 13 meetings. The most recent LSU victory came in 2022 on the first Saturday in November. The Tigers won 32-31 in Baton Rouge.

Four of the last five games between these two teams have featured at least one team scoring more than 30 points. Four of the last five have also gone Over the total. The Over has cashed in 11 of Alabama’s last 15 games and in 6 of the Tide’s last 7 on the road. LSU has been trending Under, but 12 of the Tigers last 14 conference games have gone Over.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers Predictions

Despite losing two games apiece, No. 11 Alabama and No. 15 LSU are still in the running for a College Football Playoff spot. The resume of either team will be greatly enhanced by the outcome of Saturday night’s game between the Tigers and the Crimson Tide. The team that loses is probably out of the CFP picture.

Five teams now have just one SEC loss. Two weeks ago, in a matchup between the final two teams that were unbeaten in conference play, the Tigers suffered a 38-23 loss at Texas A&M. The Aggies were losers to South Carolina last week and are another of the one-loss teams in SEC play.

Head coach Kalen DeBoer has seen Alabama (6-2, 3-2) lose its last two road games. On October 5, the Tide lost 40–35 to Vanderbilt, and on October 19, they lost 24–17 at Tennessee. They are coming off an open date, just like the Tigers.

Even though there are now 12 teams in the CFP field this season, both Alabama and LSU have practically exhausted their margin for error. LSU has allowed the fewest sacks in the country because they have one of the best offensive lines. However, they will be without starting guard Garrett Dellinger for a few weeks after ankle surgery. That could affect LSU up front.

Alabama is still a Top 15 defense. The Tide ranks 13th in scoring defense allowing 18.6 points per game. LSU is one of the top offenses, not just in the SEC, but also in the nation. The Tigers have also had great success at home. LSU has won 14 straight at Death Valley.

Bet: Alabama -136, Alabama -2.5 (-120), Over 58.5 (-110)

Washington Huskies vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Odds

It could be a defensive battle in this matchup. Washington is a Top 30 scoring defense and Penn State ranks in the Top 10 (8th). The Huskies problem is on offense. Washington ranks 100th in scoring. The Huskies haven’t scored more than 27 points since Week 2. Head coach Jedd Fisch’s team averages just 23.3 points per game

This will be the first meeting between these two schools as members of the Big Ten. The last time the two teams played was in the 2017 Fiesta Bowl. It was Trace McSorley and Saquon Barkley who led Penn State to a 35-28 win over the Huskies. The Nittany Lions covered as 3-point favorites. The total easily cleared the set game total of 54.5. Could it play out that way again?

Washington is not as talented offensively and the Penn State defense has given up 20 points or less in five of its last six games. Those five games all went Under the total. That’s why this game total is currently listed as 46.5 at most sportsbooks.

Penn State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games, but they have won seven of their last eight SU. Beaver Stadium is one of the toughest places to pay in America. Despite the loss to Ohio State, the Nittany Lions have won 12 of their last 14 games in Happy Valley. What’s interesting is that Washingfon isn’t having an outstanding year – like in 2023 when the Huskies went 14-1 – but they have still won 15 of their last 20 games overall. They are 8-3 SU in their last 11 road games.

Washington Huskies vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Predictions

White-out conditions are usually a term used to describe driving difficulties in the snow around the University of Washington campus in Seattle. When the Huskies play No. 6 Penn State on Saturday in State College, Pennsylvania, they will encounter another kind of white-out.

Fans have been urged to wear white to one Nittany Lions home game each season for more than 20 years. Given that Penn State (7-1, 4-1 Big Ten) has won seven of the last eight games and five of its last five white-out games, it appears to be working. PSU head coach James Franklin has spoken of “white-out energy,” and his team could use it after losing to visiting Ohio State 20–13 last week, their first loss of the season.

QB Drew Allar misfired on fourth-and-goal from the Ohio State 1-yard line in the fourth quarter and threw an interception into the end zone that led to an eighth straight loss to the Buckeyes. Allar has completed 1,786 yards, 12 touchdowns, and has five interceptions. He has completed 70.1% of his passes. Tyler Warren, his favorite target, was announced as a semifinalist on Tuesday for the John Mackey Award, which is given to the best tight end in the country. Nicholas Singleton had 498 rushing yards this season, while Kaytron Allen had 536.

Jonah Coleman ran for 104 yards and two touchdowns in Washington’s 26-21 victory over visiting USC (5-4, 3-3) last week. After recording 12 tackles and two interceptions, linebacker Carson Bruener was named the Big Ten defensive player of the week.

After transferring from Mississippi State, Washington quarterback Will Rogers has completed 71.1 percent of his passes for 2,284 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions. Wide receiver Denzel Boston leads the conference with nine touchdown receptions, and Coleman has rushed for 889 yards and seven touchdowns.

Huskies coach Jedd Fisch has seen his fair share of white-outs. He was an assistant at Michigan in the past. Washington is just one win away from bowl eligibility.  They play Oregon and have a home game against UCLA. The Huskies offense only scores a little over 23.2 points per game. Penn State’s defense ranks in the top 10 (7th, 15.0 ppg) in scoring.

Bet: ML pass, Penn State -13.5 (-110), Over 46.5 (-110)

BYU Cougars vs. Utah Utes Odds

It’s the annual Holy War. BYU and Utah will play for the 95th time or the 101st time, depending upon which school you believe. Regardless, Utah won nine straight until last season when BYU defeated the Utes 26-17. Since 2002, BYU has just four wins over Utah. It’s worth noting that prior to last season’s win, each of the Cougars prior three, they were ranked in the AP Top 25.

Head coach Kilani Sitake has turned the Cougars train around. BYU is 8-0 SU so far this season and is in the driver’s seat in the race for a Big 12 title. Along with that will come a coveted CFP berth. Standing in the way is Utah which is not having the type of season the Utes envisioned. Quarterback issues, which we’ll discuss in the next section have really derailed Utah’s success this season.

Utah is 1-4 SU in its last five games. The Utes have struggled against the number, going 1-6 ATS in the last six games. The Utes have had past success against the Cougars. In the last five head-to-head meetings at Rice-Eccles Stadium, Utah has been victorious.

Both teams play outstanding defense. With their struggles on offense, defense has kept the Utes in games this season. Utah is actually 12th nationally in scoring defense (16.4 ppg), a couple spots higher than BYU. The Cougars allow 19 points per game (26th). Each of the last four BYU games has gone Over the total. The Cougars allowed 24 or more points in three of those four games.

BYU Cougars vs. Utah Utes Predictions

For the first time since 2010, BYU and Utah are conference rivals once more, and both teams have a lot riding on the outcome of the most recent Holy War in Salt Lake City. The final Big 12 team without a loss is No. 9 BYU (8-0, 5-0 Big 12). With a victory over the Utes (4-4, 1-4), the Cougars would move one game closer to guaranteeing a berth in the conference championship game.

Utah is in dire need of a win to keep from losing five in a row. In a series in which they have won nine of the last ten games since 2010, the Utes are relishing their unique position as the underdog. The only Utes loss occurred during the most recent meeting, when BYU won 26–17 at home in 2021.

It will not be easy to upset BYU. The Cougars are playing well on both sides of the ball. BYU averages 410.0 yards per game and scores 35.1 points per game. On the defensive side, the Cougars are tied for the league lead in interceptions (14), and they lead the league in takeaways (18). This season, 11 different BYU players have made at least one interception.

The issue for Utah is the quarterback. Veteran Cam Rising is done for the season. Freshman Isaac Wilson has had his share of difficulties. He was benched early in the second half of Utah’s 17-14 loss to Houston last week and that reopened competition for the starting quarterback position. Brandon Rose played the remainder of the game against Houston. Neither has been named the starter for this Saturday night.

Bet: ML pass, BYU -3.5 (-118), Over 40.5 (-110)

Best Bets for College Football Week 11

Each and every week, our college football experts survey the betting board looking for value. This week, there were several considerations, but after looking at all of the options, the Scores & Stats team has come up with the following best bets.

Remember, we’ll look at both best bets as individual bets and also take a look at pairing the two together as a parlay. Here are Scores & Stats Week 11 college football best bets.

• Duke +3.5 @ NC State
• Marshall -13.5 @ Southern Miss

Don’t let Duke’s consecutive losses fool you. Yes, the Blue Devils lost 53-31 to No. 4 Miami last week, but Duke led until late in the third quarter. The Blue Devils limited Miami in the run game, picked off ‘Canes QB Cam Ward, and had six tackles for loss. Duke has the third-best Defensive Havoc ranking in the FBS.

On the other side, NC State ranks 130th in Havoc Allowed. They give up a ton tackles for loss and allow a lot of pressure on the quarterback. This line opened at NC State -5.5 and early steam has moved the number in favor of the Blue Devils.

Our second best bet pits Marshall (5-3) against Southern Miss (1-7). The Thundering Herd failed to cover for the first time last week in a 28-23 win over UL-Monroe. The Golden Eagles are one of the worst teams in the FBS. Southern Miss averages just 17.9 points per game. Don’t expect much from them against Marshall, which has allowed 23, 20, and 24 points in its last three games.

Once again, our individual best bets can be turned into a parlay bet. Instead of putting out two $110 bets to win $100 each, you can create a two-team parlay and get odds of +250. A single $100 wager will pay $250 for a win.