The Latest Donald Trump Odds and Prop Bets

Industry’s Best

Handicapping Membership

Get Free Trial

Donald Trump is one of the most polarizing figures in American politics, and his influence is only set to grow as he prepares to take office as President for the second time. As we approach his 2024 inauguration in late-January 2025, Trump’s return to the White House has reignited debates about his impact on the political landscape and captured the attention of betting markets worldwide.

From his upcoming policies to the 2028 Presidential Election odds and even more unconventional prop bets, Trump-related wagers are dominating political betting discussions. His unique position as a twice-elected president has added another layer of intrigue to an already unpredictable political era.

For a deeper dive into the 2028 election, check out our 2028 Presidential Election Odds and Predictions blog.

Donald Trump Odds

Below is a breakdown of notable prop bets for Donald Trump, listing the favorite outcomes and predictions based on betting trends and expert insights.

Donald Trump Prop Bets

The following Donald Trump prop bets are courtesy of the top political betting sites:

Who Will Trump Pardon in His First 100 Days?

• January 6th Protestors (-1000)
• Ross Ulbricht (-500)
• Julian Assange (+250)
• Hunter Biden (+250)
• Steve Bannon (+300)
• Edward Snowden (+300)
• Eric Adams (+500)
• Sam Bankman-Fried (+1000)
• Young Thug (+1200)
• P. Diddy (+1600)

The odds heavily favor Trump pardoning the January 6th Protestors (-1000), a logical choice given his consistent support for their cause and his rhetoric about their actions being politically motivated. Trump has often referred to these individuals “patriots” and might prioritize this as a symbolic gesture to reinforce his loyalty to his base. After all, he’s the one that got them into this mess in the first place.

Other names in the mix are intriguing. Ross Ulbricht (-500), the founder of the Silk Road marketplace, has become a libertarian cause célèbre, with supporters advocating for his release. Pardoning Ulbricht could bolster Trump’s image among anti-establishment voters. Edward Snowden (+300) and Julian Assange (+250) are wildcards; both represent cases of whistleblowers who exposed classified information, and their pardons would appeal to populists but might alienate intelligence and defense communities.

Hunter Biden (+250) is another provocative inclusion, given the ongoing investigations into Biden’s business dealings. While it seems unlikely Trump would pardon his former political rival’s son, doing so could be a strategic PR move to demonstrate magnanimity. Finally, names like Eric Adams (+500), Sam Bankman-Fried (+900), and even Young Thug (+1000) reflect sportsbooks throwing in long-shot options for entertainment value more than realistic outcomes. SBF is the most intriguing name here considering Trump’s allegiance with many in the world of cryptocurrency, but it’s still a long shot.

January 6th protestors are a huge favorite at -1000, and with good reason. He’s expected to consider pardons on a case-by-case basis, so it’s fair to assume at least some of them will get a pardon. I think Snowden and Bannon are solid value wagers at +300, respectively.

Bet: January 6th Protestors (-1000)

Will Trump Remove FBI Director Christopher A. Wray in His First 100 Days?

• Yes (-240)
• No (+160)

At -240, “Yes” is the clear favorite here, reflecting a strong expectation that Trump will overhaul federal leadership early in his term. Trump has a long history of criticizing the FBI and its handling of investigations into his campaign and presidency, and removing Wray would symbolize a fresh start for Trump’s administration. It would also serve as a warning to other agencies to align more closely with his agenda.

Funnily enough, Wray has become a hated figure in Trumpworld despite the fact that Trump was the one who appointed Wray back in his first term in office. However, this time around Trump is expected to appoint loyalists to key positions within the government. We’ve already seen that with some of the characters he’s nominated to cabinet posts, and it’s fair to assume we’ll see a similar story with the FBI Director spot.

However, such a decision might not come without pushback. Removing Wray could reignite concerns about Trump’s approach to law enforcement and his willingness to politicize traditionally neutral agencies. The move could also have legal and reputational implications depending on how the removal is executed. Still, bettors are leaning toward this being a priority item for Trump, given his history with the bureau. Now that he’s been elected again, Trump also doesn’t have to worry about political repercussions.

The odds on “No” (+160) suggest there’s still some room for speculation. Trump might decide to avoid unnecessary controversy early in his term and instead wait to see how Wray handles his role under the new administration.

Bet: Yes (-240)

Donald Trump To Complete a Full Term as President

• Yes (-240)
• No (+160)

The odds strongly favor Trump completing his term (-240), which suggests sportsbooks and bettors expect stability despite the controversies surrounding his presidency. Trump’s health and political resilience are significant factors in these predictions. While he has faced numerous legal battles and significant political opposition, his core support base remains unwavering.

I would also expect Trump to face less opposition from his fellow politicians this time. His first term was marred by a pair of impeachments, though neither resulted in a conviction in the Senate. Democrats routinely tried to thwart Trump at every turn between 2016 and 2020. With Republicans controlling both the Senate and House of Representatives, it’s safe to say we won’t see another impeachment effort until after the 2026 midterms, at the very earliest.

However, there are scenarios where this prediction could be challenged. Trump’s legal troubles, including ongoing investigations and lawsuits, could pose risks. Additionally, political infighting within the Republican Party or external pressures from Congress could create obstacles to his full term. Still, his survival through past crises suggests that he is adept at navigating political turmoil.

The odds on “No” (+160) are worth considering for bettors who believe the legal or political landscape could change dramatically during Trump’s presidency. Any health concerns or unforeseen events could also play a role, though these seem unlikely given his apparent stamina on the campaign trail. This is a 78-year-old man, so anything can happen, but I expect him to complete his term.

Bet: Yes (-240)

Will Trump Be Impeached Before 2028 Election?

• Yes (+250)
• No (N/A)

Trump’s history as the only U.S. president to be impeached twice during a single term makes the prospect of another impeachment an intriguing wager. With odds at +250, bookmakers consider it unlikely, though not out of the realm of possibility. Trump’s polarizing leadership style and ongoing legal challenges could create the conditions for impeachment proceedings, especially if Democrats eventually regain control of the House of Representatives.

That said, pursuing a third impeachment would demand both strong political motivation and clear legal justification. After years of intense political divisions, the public may be weary of impeachment as a tool for addressing political grievances. Additionally, Trump’s ability to energize his base and frame such actions as partisan attacks could make lawmakers hesitant to move forward, fearing political backlash.

Democrats will also remember that impeaching Trump twice during his first term had absolutely no consequences. Not only did he win re-election in 2024, but he became the first Republican since George W. Bush in 2004 to win the American popular vote. Voters soundly rejected the notion that Trump is unfit for office despite the Democrats’ efforts to smear his first term with impeachment proceedings.

Trump is returning to the White House, with Republicans holding the majority in the Senate and House of Representatives. The vast majority of Republicans in Congress are avid Trump supporters, so it would take quite a dastardly deed for Trump to get impeached during the first 2 years of his upcoming 4-year term.

Bet: No Bet

When Will Trump Leave Office?

The timing of Donald Trump leaving office hinges largely on the results of the 2028 election. If Trump secures a second consecutive term, the odds overwhelmingly favor “2029 or Later” (-500), reflecting the expectation that he would serve a full four years. However, factors like his age (78) and the unpredictability of political life make this prop bet more intriguing than it might first appear.

For bettors eyeing earlier years—2025 through 2028—there are significant potential payouts, but these scenarios would require Trump to step down before the end of his term. While unlikely, unexpected events such as health challenges or major political developments could create this possibility. However, history suggests that Trump is not one to voluntarily step away from power.

Throughout his political career, Trump has demonstrated a relentless determination to maintain his influence, even in the face of legal troubles and intense scrutiny. His personality and track record make an early exit improbable, but as with any bet, the unexpected is always in play.

Bet: 2029 or Later (-500)

Will Trump Create a National Bitcoin Reserve by 2025?

• Yes (+225)
• No (-350)

At -350, “No” is the clear favorite, reflecting skepticism about Trump’s alignment with cryptocurrency policy. While Bitcoin enthusiasts might hope for this outcome, Trump has previously expressed skepticism about digital currencies, referring to them as a threat to the U.S. dollar.

On the other hand, a case could be made for “Yes” (+225). As the global economy evolves and countries like El Salvador embrace Bitcoin reserves, Trump could view a national reserve as a way to modernize the U.S. financial system or gain support from younger voters and tech-savvy conservatives. Let’s also not forget that Elon Musk – a staunch crypto advocate – appears set to play a major role in the 2nd Trump Administration.

Whether Trump has his own actual opinions about crypto is worth debating. If he does ultimately create a National Bitcoin Reserve, it’ll be because one of the crypto bros in his ear told him it would be a good idea. Trump always listens to the last person he’s spoken to, so it’s possible.

The 2nd Trump term looks like it’ll be pretty wheels-off, so the value here is on “Yes” at +225.

Bet: Yes (+225)

Will the Two-Term Presidential Time Limit Be Repealed Before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

• Yes (+700)
• No (N/A)

The odds here stand at +700, making this an extremely unlikely outcome. Repealing the 22nd Amendment would require a constitutional amendment, which demands two-thirds approval from both the House and Senate, as well as ratification by three-fourths of the states. In the current political climate, achieving that level of bipartisan consensus is nearly impossible.

While Trump would try anything and everything to stay in power – as we’ve already seen him do once – getting this to pass will be a monumental challenge.

Trump’s influence within the Republican Party could help push this idea rhetorically, but the practicality of achieving such a monster change in a divided Congress makes this little more than a thought experiment. For bettors, this is more of a “fun” prop with little chance of fruition. There’s no “no” side to this bet, so it’s one to avoid.

Bet: No Bet

Will Trump and Melania Divorce Before the End of 2025?

• Yes (+900)
• No (N/A)

The Trump marriage has long been a subject of public speculation, driven by Melania Trump’s reserved demeanor and limited public engagement compared to Donald’s larger-than-life persona. Could they get divorced by the end of this year?

Clearly, oddsmakers view this as a long shot based on the +900 odds. The Trumps are about to move back into the White House, and the timing for a divorce would, obviously, be quite poor.

Over the years, the Trumps have faced and weathered substantial personal and political challenges, from media scrutiny during Trump’s presidency to legal battles in his post-office years. Despite persistent rumors of strain—particularly during Trump’s time in office, when Melania’s body language often sparked speculation—the couple has maintained their union.

A divorce would undoubtedly dominate headlines, but practicality seems to weigh heavily against it. At this stage, both may find it easier to maintain the status quo, especially with Trump’s ongoing political ambitions. A split could bring unnecessary personal and legal complications, which may not appeal to either party.

Melania doesn’t crave the spotlight as much as her infamous hubby. I can’t imagine she’d pull the trigger on filing for divorce while the guy is in office.

Bet: No Bet

Will Trump Declassify John F. Kennedy Files Before May 2025?

• Yes (+140)
• No (-190)

The odds for “Yes” stand at +140, reflecting a plausible scenario. Trump has previously expressed interest in releasing the remaining classified files related to JFK’s assassination, though he withheld some during his first term due to national security concerns. Releasing these documents could be a politically savvy move to appeal to transparency advocates and conspiracy theorists within his base.

Whether this happens depends largely on political priorities during his second term. While it’s possible, it’s by no means guaranteed, especially if his administration faces more pressing issues. Trump had the chance to declassify the files during his first term, but he ultimately decided against it. I’m not sure anything will change and get him to reverse that decision in the future.

Bet: No (-190)

Will Trump Declassify the Jeffrey Epstein List?

• Yes (+400)
• No (N/A)

This bet, with “Yes” at +400, is another provocative prop. Trump’s ties to Epstein have drawn media attention, but declassifying any related list would come with significant political risks, as it could implicate powerful individuals across various industries. Doing so might score Trump points with certain segments of his base but could also ignite a firestorm of controversy.

While Trump has shown a willingness to act on high-profile issues for the sake of headlines, this seems unlikely unless he perceives a significant political advantage. Let’s also not dismiss the possibility that Trump himself appears on the Epstein list, which is something he wouldn’t want getting out into the public, obviously.

Bet: No Bet

Will Trump Declassify Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs List?

• Yes (+600)
• No (N/A)

At +600, this is perhaps one of the more unusual props. Its origins seem speculative and designed to generate buzz, as there’s no widespread discussion about Trump having the ability—or reason—to declassify any list related to Sean “Diddy” Combs. This is likely a fun prop bet without much basis in reality.

Bet: No Bet

Will Trump Be Sentenced to Prison in the New York Case Before Presidential Inauguration?

• Yes (+1600)
• No (N/A)

This is one of the longest-shot bets at +1600. The likelihood of Trump being sentenced to prison before his inauguration is exceedingly slim, especially given the complexity and slow pace of the legal system. Trump was found guilty in his hush money trial in New York City earlier this year, but his sentencing has been postponed on several occasions because of the election.

Trump’s lawyers are reportedly working to try to get the conviction thrown out in light of his victory earlier this month. While that seems fairly unlikely considering this was a state instead of a federal case, it’s also rather unlikely that Judge Juan Merchan will decide to impose a sentence on the guy who’s about to return to the White House.

No bet here, folks.

Bet: No Bet

To Become Donald Trump Sr.’s 51st State During Presidency

The proposition of Trump adding a 51st state to the United States is as audacious as it is improbable. Puerto Rico, with its ongoing statehood debate, leads the odds at +150. Territories like Guam and the US Virgin Islands follow closely behind, while longer shots like Greenland (+800) and Canada (+1800) have been in the news of late.

Trump is putting on a full-court press with regard to his desire to purchase Greenland from Denmark, but the Danes have shown no desire to engage in any sort of negotiation. Trump even sent his son – Don Jr. – to the island earlier this month. Trump says he wants the island for “strategic purposes,”

Trump has also (jokingly?) needled Canada about becoming the 51st state. Obviously, not going to happen.

For this prop bet, Puerto Rico is the most viable candidate. The island has held several referendums on statehood and continues to debate its future relationship with the U.S. However, achieving statehood would require significant political consensus, something unlikely to materialize under Trump’s polarizing leadership.

Republicans have long argued that making Puerto Rico a state would all but guarantee m

Bet: Puerto Rico (+150)