2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds & Predictions

By:

Kody Miller

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The Olympics are officially in the rearview mirror, and the 2024 PGA Tour regular season has come to an end. Now, it’s playoff time. The 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship kicks off on Thursday, August 15th, at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee.

The top 70 in the Tour standings will converge upon Memphis this weekend. The top 50 finishers at the FedEx St. Jude will then advance to the second leg of the playoffs. That’ll be the BMW Championship in Castle Pines, Colorado, next weekend. The top 30 will then move on to the final at East Lake Golf Club near Atlanta to cap off the campaign.

As you would expect, Scottie Scheffler is the early favorite to come out on top at the St. Jude. Scheffler has won just about every event under the sun this season, though he’s far from the only contender worth considering from a betting standpoint. How should we bet on the 2024 St. Jude Championship? Let’s take a gander at the updated golf odds and break it all down.

2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds

FedEx St. Jude Championship OddsFedEx St. Jude Championship Odds
Scottie Scheffler (+330)Xander Schauffele (+700)
Rory McIlroy (+900)Collin Morikawa (+1200)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)Ludvig Åberg (+2000)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)
Viktor Hovland (+3000)Tom Kim (+3000)
Russell Henley (+3000)Corey Conners (+3000)
Tony Finau (+3500)Sungjae Im (+3500)
Justin Thomas (+3500)Sahith Theegala (+4000)
Billy Horschel (+4000)Aaron Rai (+4000)
Sam Burns (+4500)Cameron Young (+4500)
Adam Scott (+5000)Shane Lowry (+5000)
Davis Thompson (+6000)Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+6000)
Brian Harman (+6000)Wyndham Clark (+6000)

Top Contenders

Scottie Scheffler (+330)

Scottie Scheffler continues to dominate the PGA Tour, entering the St. Jude Championship as the clear favorite. With multiple wins this season and a consistently high level of play, it’s no surprise to see Scheffler at the top of the odds list.

It’s been a while since we’ve seen one golfer dominate the way Scheffler has all season. He’s won 6 events on the PGA Tour, including the Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the PLAYERS Championship, and the RBC Heritage. Earlier this month, he represented the United States at the Paris Summer Olympics and brought home the gold medal in the men’s competition.

Scheffler has 5,993 FedEx Cup points so far this season, which puts him well ahead of the field. Xander Schauffele is a very distant second with 4,057 points. With 2,000 points up for grabs over the next 2 tournaments, however, Scheffler’s large lead still isn’t necessarily safe.

The native Texan hasn’t fared all that well over the course of his career at TPC Southwind, either. Scheffler has never finished better than 14th, which he did back in 2021. He’s also finished 15th, 31st, and missed the cut at his other 3 outings here.

While Scheffler’s odds to win the tournament are short, he’s a safe bet for a top-5 finish, if not an outright win. Consider backing him in prop bets for a strong finish.

Xander Schauffele (+700)

Xander Schauffele has been on the cusp of victory several times this season. His ability to perform under pressure and his all-around solid game make him a strong contender. However, he’s struggled slightly in closing out tournaments, which might be a concern for some bettors.

Schauffele was my favorite bet to win gold at the Olympics, yet he finished a very disappointing 9th at Le Golf National. It’s been a stellar season overall for the American, however, as he’s picked up his first 2 career major titles. Schauffele won the PGA Championship back in May before an impressive showing at The Open Championship just last month.

Schauffele has a pair of sixth-place finishes in his career at TPC Southwind. Those came in back-to-back years in 2020 and 2021. He then slumped to 14th place last year before finishing tied for 31st here last season.

Schauffele offers decent value at +700. He’s a solid choice for an each-way bet, giving you some return even if he finishes in the top three.

Rory McIlroy (+900)

Rory McIlroy is always a threat in any tournament, and the St. Jude Championship is no different. His recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, but when McIlroy is on his game, he’s nearly unbeatable. His length off the tee and ability to go low on scoring holes keep him relevant.

McIlroy seems to be one of the favorites every week based more on his long-term history than his recent performance. Rory hasn’t tasted victory at a major championship in a decade. He finished a respectable 5th in Paris, and he’s currently 3rd in the FedEx Cup standings with 2,545 points. It will take quite the effort over the last 3 events of the year to catch Scheffler, however.

That doesn’t mean he can’t pull off a victory this weekend, of course. McIlroy finished 4th in his first-ever outing at TPC Southwind back in 2020, but he’s fallen to 47th, 12th, and 13th in his 3 starts here since.

McIlroy at +900 to win outright is intriguing. He’s a bit riskier given his form, but the payout could be substantial if he brings his A-game. He’s worth a shot for those looking for value in a top-tier player.

Collin Morikawa (+1200)

Collin Morikawa’s iron play is among the best on Tour, and that gives him a significant edge at the St. Jude Championship. His ability to consistently hit greens in regulation could be the key to his success this week. Morikawa’s putting can be a bit of a wildcard, but when it’s on, he’s dangerous.

Morikawa is 4th in the FedEx Cup standings with 2,456 points, which puts him slightly behind McIlroy. He’s been slowly improving over the years at TPC Southwind, as well. After finishing 20th and 26th in his first 2 starts here, he finished tied for 5th place back in 2022. Last year, he slid back down to a tie for 13th.

Morikawa’s odds offer good value. At +1200, he’s worth considering for a win bet or top-5 finish (+225).

Ludvig Aberg (+2000)

Ludvig Åberg is one of the most exciting young players to emerge on the Tour in recent years. His impressive performance in recent tournaments has shown he can compete with the best.

Åberg’s odds to win the FedEx St. Jude Championship at +2000 reflect both his potential and the uncertainty that comes with his relative inexperience.

Åberg slumped to an 18th-place finish representing Sweden at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris. He also missed the cut entirely at The Open last month. He has yet to win an event on the PGA Tour this season, though he did claim 2nd-place finishes at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and, more notably, The Masters back in April.

Åberg is a high-risk, high-reward option. If you’re looking to take a chance on a rising star, he’s your guy. A small bet on a top-10 finish could pay off handsomely at +160 odds.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)

Tommy Fleetwood has the game to surprise at the St. Jude Championship.

Though he hasn’t been as consistent as some of the other top players, Fleetwood has shown flashes of brilliance. His ability to grind out tough rounds could serve him well on a challenging course.

The 33-year-old England native took home the silver at Le Golf National in Paris. His PGA Tour results haven’t been quite as impressive this season, however. Fleetwood hasn’t finished better than a tie for 3rd all year, and he has just 3 top-10 finishes to his credit.

Fleetwood at +2500 to win the FedEx St. Jude is a solid long-shot bet. Consider backing him for a top-10 finish instead at +180, however.

Tony Finau (+3500)

Tony Finau is always a popular pick among bettors due to his ability to contend in big events. His long-hitting style is well-suited for the course, and if his putter heats up, he could make a run at the title.

Finau didn’t play in the Olympics, and we last saw him finish tied for 12th at the 3M Open toward the end of July. Finau also missed the cut at The Open, though he was in excellent form prior to his trip to Royal Troon. Finau finished 8th, 3rd, and 5trh at the Memorial, the U.S. Open, and the Travelers Championship, respectively.

Finau has a sketchy track record at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, however. He’s never finished better than a tie for 15th, which he accomplished back in the 2020 campaign. Finau has also finished 18th, 27th, 28th, and 34th here over the years.

At +3500 to win outright, Finau represents good value for a player of his caliber. A top-10 finish bet could be a smarter bet at +260.

Who Will Win the FedEx St. Jude Championship?

The 2024 St. Jude Championship should to be a fun event with a mix of seasoned veterans and rising stars all in contention. While Scottie Scheffler remains the favorite, there are plenty of opportunities for bettors to find value elsewhere in the field.

For those looking to play it safe, a bet on Scheffler or Schauffele might be the way to go. However, if you’re feeling bold, consider taking a chance on players like Morikawa or Åberg who offer higher payouts if they find a way to come out on top.

I think there’s enough upside in Scheffler’s +330 odds to win that he’s still an appealing wager even as the favorite. Schauffele at +700 is also highly tempting considering you’ll bank more than twice the payout as you will with a winning bet on Scheffler.

Whatever your betting strategy, the 2024 St. Jude Championship is sure to deliver thrilling golf action from start to finish.

Best Bet: Xander Schauffele (+700)