Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk 2 Odds and Predictions

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On Saturday, December 21, the highly anticipated rematch between Tyson Fury (34-1-1, 24 KOs) and Oleksandr Usyk (22-0, 14 KOs) will take place live from Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. These generational talents will fight for the second time in 2024, with the WBA, WBC, and WBO heavyweight titles on the line.

In May, boxing’s top heavyweights fought for the undisputed crown and Usyk won via split decision. Unfortunately, since then, Usyk had to relinquish the IBF title to Daniel Dubois. The latter ended up knocking out Anthony Joshua in his September title defense.

Currently, Usyk remains undefeated and the top heavyweight in most reputable rankings. Additionally, he’s also widely considered as one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world.

Fury is coming off the first loss of his professional career and aiming to reclaim his belts along with the top spot in the sport. Will Fury remain perfect in rematches or will Usyk remain undefeated for his career?

This major boxing event will take place on DAZN PPV beginning at 2pm ET. The main event is expected to begin around 6pm ET.

Let’s take a look at the latest Fury vs. Usyk boxing odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Fury vs. Usyk predictions.

Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk Preview

Check out the tale of the tape for Fury vs. Usyk 2:

Tyson FuryOleksandr Usyk
Age3637
Height6’9”6’3”
Reach85”78”
Total Fights3622
Record34-1-122-0-0
Knockouts2414
Odds+120-150

Fury vs. Usyk 2 Fight Week Schedule

  • Grand Arrivals: Tuesday, December 17, at 12 p.m. ET
  • Media Workouts: Wednesday, December 18, at 11 a.m. ET
  • Press Conferences: Thursday, December 19, at 10 a.m. ET
  • Weigh-Ins: Friday, December 20, 12 p.m. ET

Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk First Fight

The first fight took place on May 18. 2024, live from the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. It was one of the most exciting heavyweight fights in a long time. In fact, it was one of the most exciting matchups for the entire sport of boxing this century.

Usyk started off the fight taking early rounds as he moved forward and landed the cleaner punches. Fury was able to regain some momentum and take control in the middle rounds. However, The Gypsy King faced some troubles in the eighth and ninth rounds.

Usyk had bloodied Fury’s face and it impacted him in the ninth round. In fact, there were a few tense moments where the 6’9” champ looked like he could be finished. Fury was knocked down in this round and he was given a standing eight count.

In the 10th, Fury recovered from the previous round and eventually reclaimed momentum in the 11th and 12th rounds. Unfortunately, he came up short as the judges gave Usyk the split decision victory with the scores 115-112 and 114-113 for Usyk, 114-113 for Fury.

Both men threw a similar volume of punches. However, Usyk was more efficient. According to CompuBox, Usyk landed 42% of his punches compared to Fury’s 32% landed.

Fury threw a total of 496 punches and landed 157, while Usyk threw 407 punches and landed 170. Surprisingly, Fury’s jab efficiency was highly inefficient at 22%. He only landed 62 of 286 jabs thrown. Both men were almost even on power punches as Fury connected for 45% with Usyk connecting on 47%.

Tyson Fury Recent Fights

Prior to his big clash against Usyk in May, Fury had been steamrolling his competition including pretty much ending Deontay Wilder’s run as a heavyweight contender in their trilogy bout in October 2021. Fury KO’d Wilder in the 11th round and the latter has not been the same since then.

Prior to that trilogy bout, the two men fought in February 2020, where Fury won via 7th round TKO. He stopped Wilder twice in their three fights. The first encounter, in December 2018, saw a split decision draw. Yet, many believe that Wilder should’ve won that fight considering he knocked down Fury twice.

Following the third encounter with Wilder, Fury crushed Derek Chisora with a 10th round TKO in a lackluster matchup. He then took a different route and decided to battle Francis Ngannou in his boxing debut. This match had all the makings of a scripted encounter. Fury won via split decision.

As for the upcoming rematch with Usyk, Fury believes that he made a big mistake in the first bout but will correct it this time around:

“It wasn’t so much what he did right. It was me more fatigued than anything else, getting lackadaisical, you know what I mean? Throwing punches while I wasn’t thinking about what I was doing. It wasn’t for what he did was so great, it’s what I did that was a mistake really. And that’s it.”

Fury would go on to say that he plans on throwing more punches. Additionally, he’s not going to clown as much as he did in the first bout. Fury plans on focusing more and stop messing around:

“I did more clowning than anybody in any high-level fight’s ever done. It’s taken my focus away as well, so maybe a little less clowning and more focus on the actual victory. I was messing around too much in there.”

Tyson Fury Odds

In 2023, sports betting sites were listing odds for a fight between Fury and Usyk. In both of these occurrences, Fury was the sizable favorite ate -250 to -280 odds.

When their first bout came around, Fury was a +148 to -155 favorite. He then opened as a +145 underdog in the rematch currently sits at a range of +120 to +150.

Fury hasn’t opened and closed as the underdog since his first fight against Wilder in 2018.

Oleksandr Usyk Recent Fights

While Fury was in and out of boxing, as he jumped into the world of entertainment as well, Usyk was a buzzsaw chewing up the heavyweight division. Like Fury, Usyk beat Chisora as well. However, he went the distance instead.

Following the Chisora fight, Usyk competed against Anthony Joshua twice. He won their first bout in September 2021, via unanimous decision but did sustain a cut. He followed that up with a split decision win in their rematch which took place in August 2022.

Just prior to the first fight with Fury, Usyk defended his IBF, IBO and WBO titles against Daniel Dubois. He knocked out the current IBF champ in the 9th round. As mentioned, Usyk relinquished the IBF title to Dubois a few months after defeating Fury.

Speaking about the first bout, Usyk proclaims the heavens decided that he would win via decision. However, the undefeated champ also stated that if he had the opportunity to knock out Fury in their rematch, then he would take it.

Oleksandr Usyk Odds

As mentioned above, Usyk was the underdog in 2023, when sportsbooks started releasing futures odds. He could be found at a range of +100 to +220. By time their first fight took place, Usyk had odds spanning from +115 to -185. So, he was the favorite or the underdog depending on which site you looked at.

According to ProBoxingOdds, in his documented history of betting odds, Usyk’s first and only time of being an underdog came against Fury. He’s now the clear-cut favorite for the rematch with odds ranging from -140 to -185.

Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk Predictions

In that first fight, as a Fury fan, I was furious with his showboating and “messing around.” It opened the door for Usyk to capitalize on the lack of focus and to pile up the points. It also led to Usyk hurting Fury in the 9th round, which was a tense few minutes of action.

This time around, Fury seems more focused and is saying all of the right things. With a better mindset, I do expect Fury to perform better. Although he lost, it was only by a few points. In fact, one judge still thought that The Gypsy King had won.

Usyk is the best heavyweight right now, even if Fury contributed to the defeat. The unbeaten champ is methodical, smart, moves a lot and seems to always be throwing punches. Honestly, it’s a thrill watching this master tactician fight.

After beating Fury in May, Usyk became the first undisputed heavyweight champion since Lennox Lewis in 1999. In fact, Lewis believes that Usyk will win the rematch as well:

“Well, I cannot go against Usyk. Oleksandr Usyk has proven himself time and time again, and he’s still undefeated. It really comes down to who boxes the best. Who’s smart in the ring. I didn’t think Tyson Fury was smart in the first fight. I think he played around a little bit too much and allowed Oleksandr Usyk to really pile up the points.”

With that said, I disagree with Mr. Lewis. In fact, I’m siding with people like Amir Khan who talk about how Fury is a better fighter in rematches:

“He knows that he can’t stand in front of a strong Usyk, Usyk still has a lot of power, and he’s felt Usyk’s power this time, knowing that Usyk has come up a weight and still holds that power. So, I think Fury is going to be one step ahead. Whenever Fury comes back in a rematch, he is always much better so he could probably stop Usyk toward the later rounds.”

Fury is 5-0 in rematches and should improve to 6-0 this weekend. I believe Fury will throw more jabs, move more, and reduce all showboating during the live action.

Usyk fought a great fight and I don’t see how he could improve much more. However, for Fury, I feel like he didn’t come close to fighting to his full potential. I believe we see that this weekend as Fury picks up the big victory in their rematch. Who’s ready for the trilogy?

Bet: Tyson Fury (+120)

The Best Fury vs. Usyk Prop Bets

The following Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk prop bets are courtesy of BetUS:

Over/Under 10.5 rounds

  • Over 10.5 (-200)
  • Under 10.5 (+165)


For Usyk, four of his last five fights have gone over 10.5 rounds. Fury has gone over that mark in just one of his last five fights. With that said, these two men went the distance in their previous encounter. I expect the rematch to go beyond the 10.5 round mark.

Bet: Over 10.5 rounds (-200)

Will Fight go the distance?

  • Yes (-150)
  • No (+110)

As mentioned, their first fight went the full 12 rounds. For Fury, it was the second consecutive fight to go the distance. Although, I don’t really believe in the integrity of Fury’s fight versus Ngannou. Usyk has gone the distance in four of his last five bouts.

I don’t see either man stopping the other. This rematch will go the full 12 rounds. At -150 odds, there’s still some value on the boards.

Bet: Yes (-150)

Method of Victory

  • Fury via TKO/KO/DQ (+330)
  • Fury via decision (+375)
  • Usyk via TKO/KO/DQ (+275)
  • Usyk via decision (+175)
  • Draw (+1400)

As laid out above, I believe this bout is going the distance. So, it comes down to which fighter you think will pick up the decision victory.

For me, I like Fury in the rematch. I believe these two men are going the route of a trilogy and I see Fury taking a split decision win. I also feel that the odds for a Draw are too low. If they were +2000 or higher, I would consider a small flier.

Bet: Fury via decision (+375)

Betting on Rounds

  • Either Fighter wins in rounds 1-4 (+1000)
  • Either Fighter wins in rounds 5-8 (+375)
  • Either Fighter wins in rounds 9-12 (+450)
  • Fight To Go The Distance (-150)

As I have stated multiple times now, I believe this fight is going the distance. But I know some of you like to take risks. So, if you insist on betting on this fight to end inside the distance then go with the option for either fighting winning in rounds 9-12.

Neither man will make a big enough mistake to lose in rounds 1 through 8. However, fatigue could come into play in the final rounds like it did in their first bout. Fury was hurt and technically knocked down in their first bout during the 9th round.

Like Fury, I’m not going to mess around for this fight. Instead, I’m playing it smart and going the distance with this prop bet.

Bet: Fight To Go The Distance (-150)

Fury vs. Usky II Fight Card

  • Serhii Bohachuk (24-2, 23 KOs) vs. Ishmael Davis (13-1, 6 KOs) in a light middleweight clash
  • Moses Itauma (10-0, 8 KOs) vs. Demsey McKean (22-1, 14 KOs) in a heavyweight contest
  • Johnny Fisher (12-0, 11 KOs) vs. David Allen (23-6-2, 18 KOs) in a heavyweight bout
  • Dennis McCann (16-0-1, 8 KOs) vs. Peter McGrail (10-1-0, 6 KOs) for McCann’s European super bantamweight title
  • Isaac Lowe (25-2-3, 8 KOs) vs. Lee McGregor (14-1-1, 11 KOs) in a featherweight fight