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On Wednesday, April 23, 2025, cycling’s biggest stars return to the roads of Belgium as they battle for victory in the 89th edition of La Fleche Wallone. French for “The Walloon Arrow,” this mid-week event is the second of three Ardennes Classics.
The first of three Ardennes Classics was the Amstel Gold Race on April 20. If you missed it, I highly recommend watching highlights on YouTube as it ended in a thrilling fashion. Mattias Skjelmose outsprinted Remco Evenepoel and Tadej Pogacar for the win.
Pogacar was the big favorite for the Amstel Gold, just like he is for La Fleche Wallone. Evenepoel returned to action last week after a lengthy hiatus from the sport to recover from injuries.
The third Ardennes Classic race will be on Sunday, April 27, the Liege-Bastogne-Liege. Pogacar is expected to compete in that event as well.
With that said, let’s take a look at the latest cycling odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our La Fleche Wallone predictions. As of this writing, the odds have yet to be released.
How To Watch La Fleche Wallone?
The usual international outlets are expected to cover La Fleche Wallone including Eurorsport, TNT Sports, and FloBikes. In the United States, Peacock is set to stream the race.
La Fleche Wallone Route
The 2025 edition of La Fleche Wallone has a new start to the race as the peloton departs from Ciney. The riders will traverse 205.2km across Wallonia, Belgium, before finishing on the Mur de Huy. This famous climb is often the deciding factor in who wins the race.
Along the route, there are 11 climbs that the riders will have to race over. And, they will face the Mur three times in a circuit over the last 37.2km. The Cote d’Ereffe, Cote de Cherave (which was absent in the 2024 race), and the Mur de Huy comprise the grueling final circuit.
La Fleche Wallone 2024
The 2024 La Fleche Wallone came in at 199.1km, roughly six km shorter than this year’s edition. It also went from Charleroi to Huy instead of Ciney.
The race was won by Stephen Williams of Israel-Premier Tech. The British cyclists outdueld Kevin Vauquelin, Maxim Van Gils, Benoit Cosnefroy and Santiago Buitrago on the Mur to win the race.
La Fleche Wallone Odds
As soon as the La Fleche Wallone odds have been released, we’ll update this section:
Cycling Odds | Cycling Odds |
---|---|
Tadej Pogacar | Remco Evenepoel |
Mattias Skjelmose | Tom Pidcock |
Marc Hirschi | Michael Matthews |
Neilson Powless | Enric Mas |
Once the cycling odds are live, we’ll examine the favorites, identify any betting value, and take a peek at who the top handicappers are picking.
La Fleche Wallone Contenders
Let’s take a look at the top contenders for the 59th edition of Amstel Gold Race:
Tadej Pogacar
Although Tadej Pogacar was pipped at the line by Skjelmose in the Amstel Gold Race, he continued a torrid streak of finishing on the podium in every race he’s competed in for the 2025 season.
It was his second consecutive finish as runner-up. Pogacar was also the runner up at Paris-Roubaix the week prior. In that race, he was second to Mathiue van der Poel who also beat him at Milan-San Remo a few weeks prior.
In-between those results, the Slovenian dominated Tour of Flanders. It was his third race win of the season as he also won the UAE Tour in February, which included two stage wins as well.
Pogacar had an impressive victory at Strade-Bianche this year where he crashed late in the race, got back up, and rode away from the field to win the event.
For Pogacar, this will be his 6th appearance in the La Fleche Wallone. He won the race in 2023, and failed to crack the Top 8 in the rest of his appearances.
I fully expect a tactically smarter Pogacar on Wednesday, after he blew the win in the Amstel Gold Race following a long solo breakaway.
Remco Evenepoel
The Olympic Champion has been nothing short of amazing in his 2025 season so far. He debuted last week at the Brabantse Pijl and outsprinted Wout van Aert for the victory. It was an incredible start to his season after a lengthy hiatus due to a training injury last December.
Then, at the Amstel Gold Race, Evenepoel overcame an early crash within the field, to chase down Pogacar in the final 40km of the race. Although he finished 3rd, it was an impressive performance from the Belgian who was clearly the strongest rider on the day.
Now, he turns his attention towards La Fleche Wallone, which Evenepoel commented on following the Amstel Gold Race:
“The approach to the Mur de Huy has become more difficult than in previous editions, with the Cote d’Ereffe. And that’s not an easy one. So we can take a different approach and hopefully get something done there. We won’t take Thibau Nys to Huy on a free ride, we will race. If my punch is on point, we’ll give it a try. I’m already happy that we’re in good shape with the team. But I’m taking it day by day: now I’m going to recover for two days.”
As long as he isn’t suffering too much from his Amstel Gold crash, Evenepoel should be a factor in the La Fleche Wallone on Wednesday. It will be his second appearance in this Ardennes Classic after a 43rd in 2022.
Mattias Skjelmose
What an incredible performance by Mattias Skjelmose in the Amstel Gold Race. The Danish rider thought he was just racing for a podium spot, but was able to pull off one the biggest upsets in recent memory:
“I was riding for the podium. Already the podium would be a really good result for me. I tried to keep the group going so they didn’t come back from behind. Of course, you sprint for the best result, but I thought I was going to cramp, or see them go into the horizon.”
I was shocked when Skjelmose won the Amstel Gold. However, I wasn’t surprised with a podium finish. I had the Danish rider as my pick to win the Tour of Basque Country due to his value compared to the safe bet in Joa Almeida. Unfortunately, he wasn’t on great form and finished 5th overall.
Yet, it was a nice bounce back from his DNF at Paris-Nice where the 24-year-old had two top five stage results before a DNF on Stage 7. Skjelmose was also 2nd in the Faun Drome Classic and 6th in the Faun-Ardeche Classic.
This will be Skjelmose’s 4th appearance in La Fleche Wallone. He scored a DNF last year, was runner-up to Pogacar in 2023, and finished 18th in his 2022 debut.
With all the confidence in the world, Skjelmose could be a factor in this race as well.
Tom Pidcock
Although he’s had some “average” results over the last month, Tom Pidcock has had a successful season so far. The talented Brit is leading a small team (Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team) and doesn’t have the support that other leaders have. Yet, he’s still making the most of it.
Pidcock was 9th in the Amstel Gold, missed the breakaway at Brabantse Pijl where he finished 11th, and was 40th at Milano-San Remo. However, he was 6th at Tirreno-Adriatico after finishing second to Pogacar at Strade-Bianche.
Pidcock’s best results were three stage wins and a victory at the AlUla Tour in January. So, he has more wins on his resume this year than some of these other contenders.
The Brit has yet to crack the Top 5 in his four previous appearances at La Fleche Wallone. He was 6th in 2021, and 18th in 2023. But he also scored two DNFs in 2022 and 2024.
I doubt he stays with Pogacar and Evenepoel on the Mur, but Pidcock should be a Top 10 rider this week.
Marc Hirschi
I was high on Marc Hirschi heading into Amstel Gold as I thought he could put together a Top 10 performance. Unfortunately, that wasn’t the case ahs Hirschi finished 40th. It was another disappointment for the 26-year-old who has the potential to win these classics.
Outside of 4th in the Faun Drome Classic and 6th in the Miguel Indurain, Hirschi has et to finish in the Top 10 for a major race.
With that said, I am still waiting for Hirschi’s legs to improve so that we see the Swiss cyclist competing for the podium.
I think he has an outside shot at that this week, but it will take a number of things to break his way.
In five La Fleche Wallone appearances, Hirschi has two DNFs, an 80th, 32nd and a race win in 2020. So, he has the potential for winning, but the legs have yet to reach his level of talent we’re accustomed to seeing.
Neilson Powless
The American cyclist continues to impress in 2025. In addition to winning the Dwars door Vlaanderen in impressive fashion, beating out three Visma riders including van Aert, Neilson Powless was also 7th at Pijl and 13th in the Amstel Gold Race. Outside of the victory, his next best results were 4th at Trofeo Laigueglia and 6th at Algarve.
This marks Powless’ third appearance in the La Fleche Wallone. He was 19th in 2022, and scored a DNF in 2023. The American didn’t compete in last year’s race.
With the way that Powless has been riding this year, along with a number of upsets over the last few months, it’s not impossible for the 28-year-old to pull off another upset. More than likely, he will be a Top 10 rider with a Top 5 ceiling.
Stephen Williams
As mentioned above, Stephen Williams won the 2024 edition of La Fleche Wallone. Yet, that wasn’t the only win of his 2024 season. Williams also won the Tour Down Under and the Tour of Britain last year.
Unfortunately, Williams hasn’t carried over the success from 2024 into this season as of yet. He was 53rd in the Tour Down Under and 50th in the Il Giro d’Abruzzo. These are underwhelming results for a rider with Williams’ potential.
Prior to his win in this race last year, Williams was 98th in 2022, DNF in 2021, and 116th in 2020. So, you can clearly see his evolution as a cyclist.
Williams is definitely a longshot this week to win again. I don’t see him on the same level as the favorites or even the second-tier riders for this race. And, yet, stranger things have happened in cycling this year so far.
La Fleche Wallone Predictions
This race should come down to the same trio of riders as the Amstel Gold Race: Pogacar, Evenepoel and Skjelmose.
This time around, I don’t see Skjelmose sneaking up and winning the sprint. I believe Pogacar and Evenepoel will make it very difficult on the final circuit of the race.
From there, I expect Pogacar to win this race since he’s the better pure climber compared to Evenepoel. With that said, if Pogacar falters in any way, like he did at Amstel Gold, then Evenepoel could win this race.
In other words, don’t bet the house on Pogacar but you can bet with confidence that he bounces back from two runner ups to win this event.
Bet: Tadej Pogacar (NA)
La Fleche Wallone Results
Alejandro Valverde holds the record for the most La Fleche Wallone wins with five. In fact, he won four in a row from 2014-2017. Five riders are second with three wins including Julian Alaphilippe and The GOAT Eddy Merckx.
The following is a list of the recent La Fleche Wallone winners:
Year | Winner | Team |
---|---|---|
2024 | Stephen Williams | Israel-Premier Tech |
2023 | Tadej Pogacar | UAE Team Emirates |
2022 | Dylan Teuns | Team Bahrain Victorious |
2021 | Julian Alaphilippe | Deceuninck–Quick-Step |
2020 | Marc Hirschi | Team Sunweb |
2019 | Julian Alaphilippe | Deceuninck–Quick-Step |
2018 | Julian Alaphilippe | Quick-Step Floors |
2017 | Alejandro Valverde | Movistar Team |
2016 | Alejandro Valverde | Movistar Team |
2015 | Alejandro Valverde | Movistar Team |
2014 | Alejandro Valverde | Movistar Team |