2024 NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Odds and Predictions

On Sunday, October 13, NASCAR’s Cup Series returns to Charlotte Motor Speedway for the Bank of America ROVAL 400. However, this isn’t the typical Charlotte track racing that most fans are accustomed to. Instead, Cup Series drivers will take to the Charlotte Motor Road Course for the seventh time since it joined the NASCAR Cup Series calendar in 2018.

This weekend’s event marks the 32^nd race of the season, sixth of the Playoffs, and the final race in the Round of 12. Following the Bank of America ROVAL 400, four drivers will be eliminated from the Playoffs. That means only eight drivers will remain in contention for the 2024 NASCAR Championship. 

Last weekend, the field went into overtime for the YellaWood 500 at Talladega, and we saw a non-Playoff driver win the race for the second week in a row. This time, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. held off Brad Keselowski and William Byron to take the checkered flag in a three-wide finish. It was a thrilling conclusion to a crazy race.

As usual, Talladega didn’t let us down. The superspeedway gave us the “big one” at the end of the race like I said it would. 23 cars were caught up in the big wreck with five laps remaining. Eight of the 12 Playoff drivers were impacted by this wreck to varying degrees.

The three Playoff drivers to get the worst of this incident were Chase Briscoe, Austin Cindric and Joey Logano, who all finished 30^th or worse. It comes as no surprise that following Talladega, this trio of drivers, along with Daniel Suarez, sit below the cutoff line to advance to the next round.

The Playoff drivers, along with the rest of the Cup Series field, will now turn their attention towards road racing as they head to the Charlotte Road Course with eliminations on the line.

Currently, road course ringers Shane Van Gisbergen and A.J. Allmendinger sit at the top of the odds boards along with Kyle Larson, Tyler Reddick and Chase Elliott. They’re also among the favorites with the top handicappers.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest Bank of America ROVAL odds and make our NASCAR Cup Series predictions for this weekend’s race at the Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course.

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Bank of America ROVAL 400 Race Profile

The Charlotte Motor Speedway is home to one of the most popular races each year – the Coca Cola 600 on Memorial Day weekend. However, in 2018, NASCAR decided to add Charlotte’s ROVAL to the calendar and it’s been a hit ever since.

This race is a unique one due to the hybrid combination of Charlotte’s Road Course and Oval (ROVAL). That means the field will race on both aspects of this venue. The asphalt track has a lap distance of 2.28 miles (3.67 km) and the race itself will run 250 miles or 400 km.  

Sunday’s Bank of America ROVAL 400 race breaks down as follows:

• Total Miles: 400 km
• Total Laps: 109 laps
• Stage 1: 25 laps
• Stage 2: 25 laps
• Final Stage: 59 laps

The Bank of America ROVAL 400 is set to begin at 2 pm ET and will air live on NBC.

Previous Bank of America ROVAL 400 Winners

The following is a list of the most recent winners:

• 2023: A.J. Allmendinger
• 2022: Christopher Bell
• 2021: Kyle Larson
• 2020: Chase Elliott
• 2019: Chase Elliott
• 2018: Ryan Blaney

NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Odds

The following NASCAR Cup Series Bank of America ROVAL 400 odds are courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Playoff Drivers

The following drivers are in the 12-car Playoff field. Let’s take a look at how these drivers have fared in the postseason so far, and how they might do at the Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course this weekend:

William Byron (+1200)

• Playoff Standings: 1
• Playoff Points: 3122
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 10
• Top 10: 16

We nailed our prediction for William Byron last weekend. Check it out:

“For as hard as it is to predict Talladega and Daytona races, Byron should be a Top 10 driver with a Top 3 ceiling this Sunday.”

Guess who finished 3^rd at Talladega last Sunday? Yep, it was the #24 car. That’s two straight Top 3 finishes for Byron as he looks primed for a spot in the Round of 8.

We’re going to go back to the well once again, by picking Byron to be a Top 10 driver with a Top 3 ceiling at the ROVAL.

In six races at ROVAL, Byron has one Top 5 and three Top 10s. Over the last five races at this track, Byron has an 8.2 average finish. He was 2^nd in this race last year.

Christopher Bell (+1400)

• Playoff Standings: 2
• Playoff Points: 3105
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 11
• Top 10: 19

Christopher Bell had a solid run at Talladega last weekend as he finished 6^th. That’s exactly where I pegged the #20 car at: “Bell should be a Top 15 driver this weekend with a Top 10 ceiling.”

The Top 10 finish put bell squarely in the second spot of the Playoff Standings. He has a great chance at advancing to the next round, especially considering that Bell has done well at ROVAL in the past.

In four races at the ROVAL, Bell has one win, one Top 5, two Top 10s, and a 12.0 average finish which is 7^th best among the field.

Bell is on a strong run over the last few months of the season, especially in the Playoffs. Since the postseason started, Bell has finished in the Top 15 for all five Playoff races so far. Additionally, he’s scored three Top 5s over that stretch and has finished in the Top 7 for the last three races.

I like for Bell to be a Top 10 driver this weekend with a Top 5 ceiling.

Kyle Larson (+800)

• Playoff Standings: 3
• Playoff Points: 3058
• Wins: 5
• Top 5: 12
• Top 10: 15

Of all the Playoff drivers last weekend, Kyle Larson was the most fortunate after finishing 4^th at Talladega. Larson had a 22.8 average finish at that track with six DNFs. I thought he would be incredibly lucky to crack the Top 15 and he did with a Top 5.

That result puts Larson in a great position to advance to the Round of 8. All he needs to do is pick up a Top 15 result this weekend and the #5 car is moving on.

In five starts at ROVAL, Larson has one win, one Top 5, and one Top 10. His 17.4 average finish is one of the worst among the betting favorites for this race.

I would avoid Larson winning this race. Instead, take him to finish in the Top 15 with a Top 5 ceiling.

Denny Hamlin (+2500)          

• Playoff Standings: 4
• Playoff Points: 3078
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 10
• Top 10: 15

Like Larson, Hamlin needed a Top 15 result to position himself for advancement after ROVAL. He didn’t let his team or me down as I pegged Hamlin to be a Top 10 driver with a Top 5 ceiling. He finished 10^th, which is right on cue for the #11 car who has three consecutive Top 10 results in the Playoffs.

Now, he heads to ROVAL where Hamlin has one Top 5 and one Top 10 result. He also has a 16.8 average finish, which isn’t anything to brag about. Hamlin had car issues last year in this race and didn’t finish. He definitely can’t afford another result like that or the #11 car could be eliminated.

With that in mind, I like for Hamlin to be a Top 15 driver with a Top 10 ceiling. That will be good enough to advance to the Round of 8.

Alex Bowman (+2000)

• Playoff Standings: 5
• Playoff Points: 3074
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 7
• Top 10: 15

Last weekend, I stated that Alex Bowman would be lucky to finish in the Top 15 at Talladega. He ended up 16^th. This weekend, I really like Bowman to have a strong result. In fact, the #48 car is my top driver that’s flying under the radar this weekend.

I believe that Bowman will advance to the next round due to his strong career at ROVAL. In five starts at this hybrid-track, Bowman has two Top 5s, five Top 10s and a 6.4 average finish which is the best among the field.

I like for Bowman to be a Top 10 driver with a Top 3 ceiling as he keeps his streak alive at ROVAL with another Top 10 result.

Ryan Blaney (+5000)

• Playoff Standings: 6
• Playoff Points: 3073
• Wins: 2
• Top 5: 9
• Top 10: 14

You might be as surprised as I am to see that Ryan Blaney has the largest odds to win this race out of all the Playoff drivers. That’s surprising because he’s one of only five drivers to have ever won a Cup Series race at the ROVAL. As mentioned above, Blaney won the inaugural Bank of America ROVAL 400 race.

Unfortunately, Blaney was caught up in a crash at Talladega last weekend and finished 39^th. The result dropped him from 2^nd to 6^th in the standings. It was disappointing considering that I picked the #12 car to contend for the race win. Yet, that’s Talladega for you.

This weekend, Blaney offers the best race-winning value considering that he has one win, two Top 5s, four Top 10s and a 10.2 average finish in six starts at ROVAL. That’s the 5^th best average finish among the field.

I like for Blaney to be a Top 15 driver with a Top 5 ceiling this weekend. I wouldn’t be surprised if he was in contention for the checkered flag late in the race.

Tyler Reddick (+900)

• Playoff Standings: 7
• Playoff Points: 3062
• Wins: 2
• Top 5: 11
• Top 10: 19

Tyler Reddick was a driver I shouted to avoid betting on last weekend at Talladega. Hopefully, you listened as he finished 20^th. That’s the four the consecutive Playoff race of finishing 20^th or worse.

With this recent stretch of subpar finishes, Reddick is now 7^th in the standings and only 14 points above the cutoff line and Joey Logano who’s in 9^th. Chase Elliott is in 8^th, just one point behind Reddick.

Fortunately for the #45 car this weekend, he’s been solid at the ROVAL. In four starts, he has one Top 5 and three Top 10 finishes. Reddick’s 7.0 average finish is the second best among the field.

I like for Reddick to be a Top 10 driver with a Top 5 ceiling this weekend. If it weren’t for his recent stretch of poor results, I would have him contending for the checkered flag.

Chase Elliott (+1000) 

• Playoff Standings: 8
• Playoff Points: 3061
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 8
• Top 10: 15

Speaking of contending for the checkered flag, you have to like Chase Elliott’s chances this weekend in Charlotte. In six starts at the ROVAL, Elliott has two wins, two Top 5s, four Top 10s and an 8.2 average finish which is third best among the field. Elliott has also led laps in the last five ROVAL races.

Unfortunately for Elliott, he was caught up in some carnage last weekend and finished 29^th. It was a disappointing result as I had him winning the race.

However, I’m not going to let that poor finish dissuade me from taking Elliott to be a Top 10 driver with a race-winning ceiling this weekend. Elliott needs a strong run to advance to the Round of 8, and I believe he will get it.

Joey Logano (+2800)

• Playoff Standings: 9
• Playoff Points: 3048
• Wins: 2
• Top 5: 5
• Top 10: 9

For Joey Logano to advance, he will need someone from the Top 8 spots in the Playoff Standings to have a poor run in addition to finishing strong himself.

I see Logano as a sleeper this weekend, in the same vein as Alex Bowman. In six ROVAL starts, Logano has two Top 5s, five Top 10s, and an 8.7 average finish which is 4^th best among the field.

His worst result was 18^th in 2022. He’s also led laps in half of the races at the ROVAL. I think the #22 car will be a Top 10 driver with a Top 5 ceiling this weekend. The only question is whether or not Logano can bump someone out of the Playoffs, that’s currently ahead of him in the standings.

Daniel Suarez (+2000)

• Playoff Standings: 10
• Playoff Points: 3041
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 7

Unfortunately for Daniel Suarez, his team and his fans, the Playoffs will come to an end for the #99 car. Suarez has a 27.0 average finish at the ROVAL and has never even cracked the Top 10. His best result was 13^th in 2021.

Making matters worse is that Suarez has finished 33^rd or worse the last two years and four of his six starts resulted in finishes of 25^th or worse.

Austin Cindric (+3500)

• Playoff Standings: 11
• Playoff Points: 3032
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 2
• Top 10: 5

Although Austin Cindric’s 23.0 average finish is better than Suarez’s, he’s never even cracked the Top 20 in his two starts at this track. Not to mention, he’s 16 points behind Logano in 9^th and 29 points behind Elliott in 8^th. Cindric’s Playoff run will come to an end this weekend.

Chase Briscoe (+4000)

• Playoff Standings: 12
• Playoff Points: 3029
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 9

If Suarez and Cindric have virtually no hope, then Chase Briscoe is in the same boat despite having at least one Top 10 finish unlike the other two.

The problem for Briscoe is that he’s just too far behind in points. Even if he can crack the Top 10, which he won’t, the Top 9 drivers in the standings will finish with similar or better results.

It was a nice run for the #14 car, but it comes to an end this weekend.

Bank of America ROVAL 400  Best of The Rest

The following drivers are not qualified for the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs, but they still offer value at Charlotte:

Shane Van Gisbergen (+500)

• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 5
• Top 10: 10

The road course ringers are back as Shane Van Gisbergen and A.J. Allmendinger look to take the checkered flag in Charlotte this weekend. Both men are at the top of the betting boards with Van Gisbergen the odds-on favorite to win the race.

These two drivers showed up at Watkins Glen a few races ago. And it was a tale of two finishes for them. Van Gisbergen finished 2^nd, while Allmendinger was 36^th due to a blown transmission.

Van Gisbergen has a handful of wins in the Xfinity series with all of those victories coming on road courses. With that said, he has yet to race at the ROVAL before.

And, like his odds for Watkins Glen, there’s no value. Sure, he’s a highly talented road course driver but his odds are overvalued. There are better options out there. I don’t see Van Gisbergen winning the race. He will be lucky to crack the Top 5.

A.J. Allmendinger (+800)

• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 5
• Top 10: 10

I actually like Allmendinger more than Van Gisbergen in this race. And, that’s because he’s had four starts at this track already.

If it weren’t for a blown engine in 2021, Allmendinger might be the betting favorite for this weekend’s race. In four ROVAL starts, he has one win, two Top 5s, three Top 10s and a 12.5 average finish. If you take out the blown engine, then Allmendinger has a 4.0 average finish.

Take Allmendinger to be a Top 10 and Top 5 driver with a race winning ceiling.

Chris Buescher (+1400)

• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 5
• Top 10: 10

It would be silly to overlook Chris Beuscher this weekend. He won the Watkins Glen race last month and has three straight Top 7 finishes at the ROVAL. Additionally, even with his three early appearances at this track, Buescher still has an 11.8 average finish, which is 6^th best among the field.

I believe Buescher can be a Top 10 driver this weekend with a Top 5 ceiling. There’s plenty of value on his Top 5 odds at +250. If you are feeling frisky this weekend, place a flier on Buescher to finish in the Top 5.

The Best Top 5 Bet for the Bank of America ROVAL 400

Speaking of Top 5s, Chase Elliott (+180) is my pick as the best driver to finish in the Top 5. Elliott is tied for second with two Top 5s. However, he has won this race two times and he currently has the third best average finish at 8.2.

Plus, let’s not forget that Elliott is arguably the best road course driver among full time Cup Series cars. However, if you want a long shot to finish in the Top 5, take Kyle Busch at +300 odds.

He leads the Series with three Top 5s at the ROVAL, with all three coming since 2021, and has been a solid road course driver in his career.

The Best Top 10 Bet for the Bank of America ROVAL 400

As you can tell by now, I’m very high on Alex Bowman (+120) this weekend. And, I absolutely love his Top 10 odds. Bowman has the best ROVAL average finish among the Cup Series at 6.4. Additionally, all five of his starts have resulted in a Top 10 finish. This is probably my favorite wager of the weekend.

NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Predictions: Who Wins?

There’s a lot on the line for the Playoff drivers. Making matters more difficult for the final 12 is the fact that Van Gisbergen and Allmendinger are both racing on Sunday. That’s two strong road course drivers that could drop a Playoff car down further in the results, and potentially out of the Round of 8.

Let’s also not forget, that there have been some changes to the ROVAL track that will definitely impact this weekend’s race.

With that said, I like Elliott, Allmendinger, Logano, Bowman and Bell, Van Gisbergen or Blaney to finish in the Top 5. From there, it comes down to the drivers that have actually won or have a good amount of Top 5 finishes at the ROVAL. Those drivers are Elliott, Allmendinger, Bell and Blaney.

I really think people are sleeping on Blaney this weekend. However, for me, Allmendinger and Elliott are the two drivers that I think have the best shot at winning. Elliott has no room for error and Allmendinger has no pressure.

I took Elliott last weekend, and it bit me in the rear axle. So, I’m taking Allmendinger this weekend as he upsets the Playoff field with the win.

Bet: A.J. Allmendinger (+800)

NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Prop Bets

The following NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 prop bets are courtesy of Bet365:

Either To Finish Top 3: Elliott or Larson (+100)

Kyle Larson has an outside shot at finishing in the Top 3. He does have a win at this track and proved last weekend that he’s focused on winning a championship this year. Elliott is someone that I think can actually win the race. Getting one of them to finish in the Top 3 is a solid bet this weekend.

Bet: Elliott or Larson (+100)

Winning Manufacturer

• Chevrolet (-140)
• Toyota (+250)
• Ford (+350)

I don’t see how Chevy doesn’t win this race. Think about it, they have the two road course ringers in Van Gisbergen and Allmendinger. They also have strong ROVAL drivers in Elliott, Bowman, Byron, Larson and Busch. It’s almost a no-brainer to take Chevy, especially at these odds. With all of the road course talent driving this manufacturer’s car, Chevrolet should be listed at -200 or worse.

Bet: Chevrolet (-140)

Bank of America ROVAL 400 Race Group Winner

• Ross Chastain (+200)
• Alex Bowman (+200)
• Joey Logano (+300)
• Martin Truex Jr. (+400)

I think both Joey Logano and Alex Bowman are going to race well this weekend. Logano is more desperate than Bowman due to being below the cutoff line, but I think Bowman will finish ahead of him.

I don’t see Ross Chastain (23.2) or Martin Truex Jr. (15.7) finishing higher than either Logano or Bowman. I definitely don’t see those two being a factor in this race at all.

As for the winner of this group bet, take Bowman.

Bet: Alex Bowman (+200)

Team of Race Winner

• Hendrick Motorsports (+225)
• Kaulig Racing (+325)
• Joe Gibbs Racing (+450)
• 23XI Racing (+650)
• Trackhouse Racing (+1000)
• Team Penske (+1200)
• RFK Racing (+1400)
• Front Row Motorsports (+1500)
• Richard Childress Racing (+1800)
• Stewart-Haas Racing (+2200)

The two favorites for this NASCAR prop bet are Hendrick Motorsports and Kaulig Racing due to have the best road course drivers of the field. Kaulig features Van Gisbergen and Allmendinger. Hendrick Motorsports features Elliott, Larson, Bowman and Byron.

With that said, I’m hedging my bets from above and taking Team Penske at +1200 odds. I love the value for a hedge bet and feel that both Logano and Blaney are being overlooked this weekend.

In 12 combined ROVAL starts, these teammates have combined for one win, four Top 5s, nine Top 10s and are both in the Top 5 for average finishes. If you rather play it safe, then take Kaulig Racing with the two road course ringers.

Bet: Team Penske (+1200)

Winning Car Number

• Over 16.5 (-110)
• Under 16.5 (-110)

Alex Bowman finishing in the Top 10 is my favorite bet this weekend as it edges out this NASCAR prop bet due to the value of +120 odds compared to -110 odds.

With that said, I love the Under 16.5 for this wager. With the Under, you get the following drivers:

Chastain (1), Larson (5), Keselowski (6), Busch (8), Elliott (9), Hamlin (11), Blaney (12), Van Gisbergen (13), and Allmendinger (16).

Do you see how many of my Top 5 and Top 10 drivers are Under 16.5? Just from this list, we have four of my Top 5 drivers. Enough said!

Bet: Under 16.5