2024-25 NFL NFC Championship Odds and Predictions  

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On Sunday, January 26, the Philadelphia Eagles will host the Washington Commanders for the right to represent the NFC Conference in Super Bowl 59. This NFC clash will open up Conference Championship Sunday as the AFC Conference Championship game will follow after the conclusion of the Commanders vs. Eagles.

These NFC East divisional rivals will face off for the third time in the 2024-25 NFL season. Currently, the two teams have split the previous matchups with each team winning on their home field.

Sunday’s NFC Championship battle marks the 181^st game between these longtime rivals. It’s also just the second time that these two franchises have played against each other in the Playoffs. That’s a bit surprising considering their rivalry dates back to 1934.

The Commanders are looking to defy the odds for a third week in a row, by being a road underdog and upsetting the home favorite. Last weekend, they were a double-digit underdog at Detroit. Yet, the Commanders would win by 14 and cement their spot in the NFC Title game for the first time since the early 90s.

The Eagles were in this position just a few years ago as they marched towards the Super Bowl and narrowly lost to the Chiefs. This year, Philly is far better than that Super Bowl team was. They feature the best running back in the game and a Top 5 defense that has showed up in the Playoffs so far.

Philly continues to prove that there’s a major home field advantage for this team. Can they keep winning at home or will the Commanders continue their road winning ways?

Let’s dive deeper into the latest NFL odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our NFC Championship Game predictions for the Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles. 

What Channel Is the NFC Championship Game On?

• Sunday Night Football Channel: FOX
• Sunday Night Football Time: 3:30 p.m. EST
• Sunday Night Football Announcers: Kevin Burkardt and Tom Brady

NFC Championship Game Betting

Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for the NFC Championship Game and monitor how the lines change throughout the week.

The Philadelphia Eagles opened as -239 betting favorites and have seen their odds dramatically increase to a current range of -290 to -300. The Washington Commanders opened as +205 underdogs and have seen their odds increase to a range of +235 to +245.

The spread opened with the Eagles favored by 4.5 points. That number has risen to six points in favor of Philadelphia. The Total opened at 48 points and has pretty much floated in a range of 47.5 to 48.5 total points.

NFC Championship Odds 

The following NFC Championship odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:

The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles have played against each other 180 times. Washington holds the slight advantage in this rivalry with an all-time record of 90-85-5.

Surprisingly, the Eagles are just 44-44-2 in home games versus the Commanders. Yet, they won three of their last four home matchups including two in a row. In Week 11 of this season, the Eagles won at home by the score of 26-18.

That game was 10-6 in favor of Washington heading into the 4^th quarter. However, the Eagles scored three touchdowns and were up 26 to 10 before Washington could score a touchdown with 28 seconds left in the game.

In Week 16, these two teams rematched but it was in Washington. The Commanders were able to come from behind to pull off the upset with a 36 to 33 victory. It was a signature moment for Washington as they have continued that hot streak into the Playoffs.

This is only the second time that these rivals have faced off in the postseason. Their only Playoff game, prior to this weekend, came in the 1990-91 NFC Wild Card Round. Washington won that game 20-6.

NFC Championship Game Betting Trends

Check out the following Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles betting trends:

Commanders vs. Eagles Betting Trends

• Eagles are 6-4 SU in last 10 meetings
• Eagles are 12-4 SU in last 16 matchups
• Eagles are 6-2 in last 8 home games
• Commanders are 5-3-2 ATS in last 10 contests
• Over is 6-4 in last 10 matchups

Washington Commanders Betting Trends

• 7-0 SU in last seven games
• 5-1 SU in last six road games
• 4-1 ATS in last five games
• 9-4 ATS in last 13 NFC games
• Over is 7-3 in last 10 NFC East games

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends

• 14-1 SU in last 15 games
• 9-0 SU in last nine home games
• 8-3 ATS in last 11 games
• 7-3 ATS in last 10 NFC games
• 5-1 ATS in last six NFC East games
• Under is 9-1 in last 10 January games

NFC Championship Game Predictions

Let’s take a closer look at some of the key matchups for this game as we make our NFC Championship Game NFL picks. NFL stats are courtesy of TeamRankings and Pro Football Reference.

Commanders Offense vs. Eagles Defense

You might be surprised to learn this, but the Washington Commanders have a statistically better offense than the Philadelphia Eagles do. In fact, the Commanders score more points and average more total yards, passing yards, better red zone TD ratio, and score more touchdowns per game than the Eagles do.

The Eagles’ defense is a Top 5 unit across the board. They’re first in scoring (17.6 ppg), first in yards allowed (286.1 ypg), 2^nd in fewest touchdowns allowed per game (1.9), 9^th in rushing (104.7 ypg), and 2^nd in passing (181.4 ypg).

The last time they met, the Commanders scored 36 points and racked 368 total yards. So, Washington has proven that they can move the ball on Philly this season.

Another thing that I like about this matchup for Washington is the fact that the Eagles gave up 402 total yards and 22 points to the Rams last weekend. They even allowed an average rushing attack to get 111 yards.

Washington has the third best run offense in the league as they average 151.7 rushing yards per game. With that said, the Eagles held Washington to about 100 rushing yards per game in their two matchups this season.

So, while opponents have had modest success on the ground, these numbers aren’t going to win a game. However, any modest rushing success this weekend, will help with the Play Action passing attack. And, Washington has done very well with that this year.

Jayden Daniels has been on a tear in the Playoffs. He threw for 268 yards against the Buccaneers in the Wild Card Round and followed that up with 299 yards against the Lions in the Divisional Round.

On the season, Daniels threw for 191 yards and 258 yards in the two games against the Eagles. I think where Daniels can really hurt Philly is running the ball. He put up 81 rushing yards on Philly in their second meeting. Extending plays and picking up first downs will be huge in this matchup.

Considering that Washington has faced this Eagles team twice already, and has the confidence from beating them already, I like Daniels and this offense to find success against the stingy Philly defense on Sunday.

Commanders Defense vs. Eagles Offense

This in-game battle comes down to whether or not the Commanders can stop Saquon Barkley. The best running back in the league has propelled the Eagles to the #2 rushing attack in the league as they average 184.3 yards per game.

In the Playoffs, Barkley put up 119 rushing yards versus the Packers and 205 rushing yards against the Rams. Every time those two teams thought they were back in the game; Barkley would make a big run or score a touchdown.

Washington’s run defense is their weak link. They’re the third worst at stopping the run as they allow 138.9 rushing yards per game. Barkley averaged 148 rushing yards per game in the two regular season matchups.

The Commanders allowed the Detroit Lions to tally 201 rushing yards in the game. 133 of those yards came from the running backs.

Where the Commanders have an advantage in this in-game battle, is their pass defense. Jalen Hurts and this passing offense is struggling big time. Sure, some of that is due to the success on the ground, but the passing game has been arguably the worst out of any team in the Playoffs.

Hurts put up 131 yards against Green Bay and 128 yards against the Rams. Hurts averaged just 193.5 yards per game. The team finished second to last in the league at 177.9 passing yards per game.

Last week against the Rams, LA had a chance to win the game but failed to score a touchdown with less than a minute left in the matchup. I firmly believe if the game wasn’t in the snow, that the Eagles would’ve lost because Hurts seems to have regressed in the passing department this year.  

If Washington can contain Barkley, it’s going to make things tough for the Eagles especially since Washington has the 7^th best sack rate in the NFL. They also have the 5^th best pass defense in the league.

Who Wins The NFC: Commanders or Eagles?

The spread for this game seems silly to me considering how good the Washington Commanders look in the Playoffs and the major concerns with Philly’s passing offense. I like for the Commanders to cover the 6 points in this game.

Washington is 5-3-2 ATS in last 10 matchups versus Philadelphia. Additionally, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 NFC games. The Eagles are just 5-5 ATS in their 10 home games this year. The one time they didn’t cover the spread against a divisional opponent this season, was in the Week 16 game versus Washington.

With the weather and the familiarity between these two teams, I like the Under for this matchup. For Philly, the Under is 9-1 in their last 10 January games, 4-2 in their six NFC East games this year, and 7-3 in their 10 home games. The Under is 4-1 in Washington’s last five road games.

As for the winner, you have to give Philly the edge in this matchup. They’re at home where they have been dominant all year. Additionally, in the second game where they lost to Washington, Philly didn’t have Jalen Hurts. He left early in the game with a concussion.

This game is going to come down to Philly’s ability to throw the ball. I think Hurts will do just enough to help this offense be two-dimensional and win the game by the score of 23-20. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Eagles won the game on a last second field goal.

Bet: Philadelphia Eagles (-290), Washington Commanders +6 (-110), Under 48 Total Points (-110)

NFC Championship Game Prop Bets

Our NFC Title game player props can be found in a separate article. The following NFC Championship Game prop bets are courtesy of Bet365:

Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards

• Over 173.5 yards (-115)
• Under 173.5 yards (-115)

On the season, the Philadelphia Eagles had the second-best rushing attack at 184.3 yards per game. In the two regular season games between these two teams, the Eagles averaged 219.5 rushing yards per game.

Saquon Barkley averaged 148 rushing yards per game in those two contests. Jalen Hurts also put up 40 yards per game. That’s 188 total rushing yards per game between Barkley and Hurts in the two regular season matchups between these rivals.

In their two Playoff games so far, the Eagles have averaged 227 rushing yards per game. They put up 285 rushing yards versus the Los Angeles Rams in the divisional round. Barkley had 205 rushing yards in that game. However, Jalen Hurts had 70 rushing yards.

Unfortunately for the Eagles, Hurts enters this NFC Championship game with some sort of knee injury. So, he will not be at 100%. This means, the talented quarterback will not run the ball as much or with as much success.

Washington knows that they have to contain Barkley to have any hope of winning this game. Combine that with Hurts not rushing as much, makes me like the Under for this matchup. Keep in mind, the Eagles finished with just 169 rushing yards versus the Packers in the Wild Card Round. So, it’s possible that this run team can be held below their averages.

Bet: Under 173.5 rushing yards (-115)

Washington Commanders Team Touchdowns

• Over 2.5 TDs (+145)
• Under 2.5 TDs (-180)

On the season, the Washington Commanders have averaged 29.1 points per game. That’s good for the 4^th best mark in the league. Additionally, this offense is 6^th in the NFL when it comes to scoring touchdowns at 3.3 TDs per game. They’re also 6^th in red zone touchdown rate at 63.75%.

Philly’s defense is elite when it comes to scoring. They allow just 17.6 ppg which is the best in the NFL. Additionally, they rank 2^nd in TDs allowed per game at 1.9 touchdowns.

With that said, I like for Washington to easily surpass the 2.5 TD mark. In their first matchup, the Commanders were held to just two total touchdowns. However, in the second matchup, Washington scored five touchdowns versus the Eagles.

Philly has only allowed three touchdowns in their two Playoff games so far. Yet, they played a wounded and inferior Packers team and followed that up with the Rams in a snow game.

Washington scored two touchdowns in their Wild Card win over the Buccaneers and then put up six touchdowns against the Detroit Lions.

The Commanders will not be able to beat the Eagles by scoring under 20 points or settling for field goals. So, I see this team getting at least three touchdowns on the Eagles as they well versed in playing against this defense.

Bet: Over 2.5 TDs (+145)

Total Passing Yards

• Over 426.5 yards (-110)
• Under 426.5 yards (-110)

For the season, the Washington Commanders averaged 222.7 passing yards per game and the Eagles averaged 177.9 passing yards per game. Both teams have Top 5 passing defenses coming into this matchup.

With that said, the Commanders struggle to run the ball against Philly but have found success throwing it in their last matchup. Furthermore, QB Jayden Daniels has averaged 283.5 passing yards per game in the Playoffs. He averaged 224.5 passing yards per game against the Eagles during the regular season.

Last weekend in the Divisional Round, the Eagles allowed LA’s Matthew Stafford to throw for 324 yards in a snow game. I see Daniels eclipsing the 250 passing yard mark in this weekend’s NFC Title game. The Commanders will need their rookie QB to put forth another tremendous Playoff performance.

On the other side of the ball, the Eagles have been abysmal with their passing game in the postseason so far. However, if Daniels gets 250 yards, then that means we only need Jalen Hurts to get 177 passing yards which is the team’s average for the season.

Keep in mind, Hurts won’t be able to run as much which means he will have to throw more. And, if the Commanders stack the box to stop Barkley, then it will force Philly to throw the ball more.

I like for these teams to combine to throw for at least 450 passing yards in this game. The only thing that could limit this is if there’s heavy snow or rain. So, keep an eye on the weather forecast for this matchup.

Bet: Over 426.5 yards (-110)

Total Sacks

• Over 5.5 (-145)
• Under 5.5 (+115)

Both of these teams have aggressive defenses that like to get after the quarterback. The Eagles are 15^th in the NFL at sack rate and the Commanders are 7^th overall. So, both rank in the top half of the league for sacks. Additionally, the Eagles allow the second highest sack rate in the league.

Now, add a limited Hurts who won’t be as mobile due to his injury, and this sack total should be well over six. But, wait, there’s more.

In their two regular season games, these two teams combined for an average of 5.5 sacks per game. That’s right on the nose with this NFC Title game prop bet.

In Philly’s two Playoff games so far, they’ve seen an average of eight total sacks per game. Last week, the Rams and Eagles combined for 12 total sacks. The Commanders have seen just three total sacks per game in their two postseason contests.

 With that said, I like for this game to easily hit the Over. I think we get closer to eight sacks in this matchup and that’s largely due to Philly giving up at least four or five sacks. Philly will get a few sacks on Daniels as well, so we should comfortably reach the Over in this NFC Title game.

Bet: Over 5.5 sacks (-145)

Best Bets For The NFC Championship Game

Our best bets for the NFC Championship Game are as follows:

• Washington Commanders +6 (-110)
• Washington Makes Over 1.5 Field Goals (+105)
• Philadelphia Eagles (-290)

I see the Philadelphia Eagles holding on to win the NFC Championship. I had picked the Eagles since the preseason to win the NFC Title. I switched to the Lions before the Divisional Round after Philly’s subpar offensive performance in the Wild Card Round. So, I proudly jump back on the Eagles’ bandwagon.

Philly has dominated at home this season as they’ve gone 9-1 including the Playoffs. Additionally, they’re 12-4 SU in their last 16 games versus the Commanders including winning their last two home games in this rivalry.

With that said, I do like the Commanders to cover the six-point spread. In fact, if you can get it higher then do so because it only gives you more wiggle room. Washington has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference matchups. They’re also 5-3-2 ATS versus the Eagles in the last 10 meetings.

I do think points will be harder to come by and both teams will have to settle for field goals. With that in mind, I like for Washington to make Over 1.5 field goals (+105) in this matchup. Kicker Zane Gonzales has gone 4-5 in field goals during the Playoffs.

Make sure to keep an eye on the weather. If there’s going to be a snowstorm then you will want to skip the kicking prop bet. We’ll have our Conference Championship Player Prop Bets out later this week.