2024-25 NFL Coach Of The Year Odds and Predictions

Do yourself a favor and go back and look at the initial NFL Coach of the Year odds. That’s a big yikes, my friends.

When the 2024-25 NFL season first started, Chicago Bears head coach Matt Eberflus had the best odds to win the award. That dude is now without a job.

We’ve gone from hyping up the Bears as Super Bowl contenders to firing their head coach mid-season. If that isn’t a massive miss by the oddsmakers, I don’t know what is.

In fact, he wasn’t the only NFL coach to get fired this year.

The good news? It’s given way to a volatile betting market that bettors like you can exploit. At least that was the case earlier in the year. Unfortunately, the NFL Coach of the Year betting odds are so inflated and absurdly top-heavy that betting on it might be a waste of time.

Let’s find out if that is indeed the case, though. Join me as I break down the latest odds and go over the top NFL Coach of the Year candidates for 2024-25. 

Want a market that might not be quite so decided? Check out our NFL MVP breakdown.

2024 NFL Coach of the Year Odds

The NFL Coach of the Year odds have fluctuated quite a bit. Two of the guys still in the running didn’t even make the cut when we looked at this betting market at the start of the year, while only two of these guys seem to have a realistic shot at winning the trophy.

Kevin O’Connell is the slam dunk favorite at -1600 odds, and his price has spiked quite a bit from the +2000 they started at back in September. His main competition is Dan Campbell, who does offer a significant dose of value by comparison.

Andy Reid, Dan Quinn, and Sean Payton do have faint arguments and their prices look nice, but all things told, we’re undeniably looking at a two-man race.

So, who will win NFL Coach of the Year, and how should you bet? I’ll walk you through each of these top contenders and tell you who I like to win. Before I do, if you need extra help with any of your betting needs, consider trying out our sports betting handicapping package for free.

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24-25 NFL Coach Player of the Year Contenders

According to the latest NFL odds, the following players are considered the true contenders to win the NFL COTY award:

Kevin O’Connell (-1600)

It’s a little shocking that Kevin O’Connell hasn’t won this award before already. The 39-year old has done a masterful job with the Minnesota Vikings, and already enjoyed an elite 13-4 campaign in his first year on the job back in 2022.

Minnesota has now bounced back from a rough 7-10 showing of a year ago, and they did it with a journeyman quarterback in Sam Darnold under center, rather than the tried and true Kirk Cousins.

More than that, O’Connell has coached up Darnold to NFL Offensive Player of the Year levels. The former bust has enjoyed without a doubt the best statistical season he’s ever had in the pros, the Vikings have gone 14-2 through their first 16 games, and they’re a week 18 win from locking up the top seed in the NFC.

O’Connell’s reach goes beyond offense, too, as he’s delegated to the point of having one of the league’s best defenses. It’s been so good, in fact, that one of their players – the previously unknown Andrew Van Ginkel – is in the mix for NFL Defensive Player of the Year.

From top to bottom, O’Connell has been fantastic. Even if the Vikings fail to capitalize on the opportunity ahead of them, there’s no denying the work the coach has done – far exceeding expectations with the talent he has on his roster.

Dan Campbell (+700)

As good as things look for Kevin O’Connell, he does have some stiff competition in Detroit Lions shot-caller, Dan Campbell. I know the pricing at top online sportsbooks doesn’t say as much, but Campbell and his knee-bitin’ ways is a viable threat at +700.

Detroit was very competitive the first two years Campbell was on the job. Everyone knew that was mostly about building a culture and winning foundation, but few actually thought days like these were possible.

Campbell still wasn’t given proper credit last year, when his Lions worked their way into the playoffs and even reached the NFC Championship game. Heck, if it weren’t for over aggressive decision-making, the Lions might have played in the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history.

Of course, it’s precisely those aggressive calls that makes Campbell who he is and helped build this never-give-in persona the Lions embody as a collective. It’s also led to one of the greatest seasons in Detroit history, with the 14-2 Lions on the cusp of the #1 seed, and possibly so much more.

He’s no longer the favorite to win the NFL Coach of the Year award, but he probably should be.

Andy Reid (+3500)

The Kansas City Chiefs were 10-0 before tasting defeat for the first time in the 2024-25 NFL season. They were also on the heels of back-to-back Lombardi Trophy wins.

I don’t know about you, but consecutive championships come off as impressive in my book. And while KC might not have always looked dominant or even impressive, starting off the new season at 10-0 feels pretty insane.

Fast forward to the here and now, and Reid has his Chiefs playing the best football they’ve enjoyed all year. While they did lose one game, nobody has a better record in the league and they will be looking at the #1 seed in the conference and a clear path to the AFC Championship with a shot at the NFL’s first ever three-peat.

All things considered, it feels like the league simply has taken a coach like Reid for granted. Despite his endless winning and championship pedigree, he’s shockingly yet to win a single COY award in KC.

It’d go against the grain a bit, but if the Chiefs end the regular season with the first 16-1 record we’ve ever seen, would anyone blame the voters for choosing him?

Dan Quinn (+4000)

The usual suspects have the strongest cases, there’s no doubt about that. O’Connell and Campbell are the most logical picks, while Reid has coached up the best record in the league.

But if we want to go a different route and praise someone for taking a team nobody gave a shot and forcing their way into relevance, we should give Dan Quinn serious consideration.

Quinn was not expected to do much of anything with the Washington Commanders. Instead of buying into low expectations in a rebuilding year, Quinn preached fight, unity, and dynamism.

It led to first-year dual threat passer Jayden Daniels putting up a season worthy of NFL Rookie of the Year consideration. It also contributed to Washington owning the league’s 5th best sack rate and the third best passing defense in the entire league.

The Commanders haven’t been perfect. They’ve needed some last second wins and an absurd Hail Mary to go their way, but they’ve produced a stellar 11-5 season to this point and a huge reason for their success has been a vivacious coach that players love playing for.

Sean Payton (+12500)

Last, but not least, we have Sean Payton. The Denver Broncos were mocked for trading a first round draft choice for the former New Orleans Saints coach two years ago, but over time, it’s begun to look like a brilliant decision.

Denver started slowly in his first season and endured some woeful performances on defenses, but eventually morphed into a stout defense. The Broncos rebounded to go 8-9 in Payton’s first year on the job, and ascended to a 9-7 mark in 2024.

There has been a mild collapse after a strong start, but that has had more to do with inopportune matchups and deploying a rookie signal caller than Payton’s moves.

All things told, the Broncos have been among the most balanced teams in football. Going into a must-win week 18 finale, Denver owns units inside the top 10 both for scoring offense and defense.

Payton has had a hand in a fantastic first year for quarterback Bo Nix, while his defense has the league’s top sack rate and has been stingy (8th) against the run. While they are no lock to make the playoffs at this point, the fact that Denver was already in position to threaten to do so is a credit to Payton’s team-building and leadership.

2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year Predictions

If there’s one thing I know about the NFL Coach of the Year winner, it’s that there is not much rhyme or reason to who gets the nod.

One year it’s just the coach who oversees the team with the best record, and the next it’s the coach who orchestrates the best turn around. Sometimes it’s about controlling the most dominant and most impressive team, and it also can randomly be about taking an overlooked bunch and making them perform a lot better than they were expected to.

For 2024, we got a little bit of everything. However, once you factor odds into the equation, it does feel like we’re looking at a Kevin O’Connell vs. Dan Campbell staredown. 

Both of these guys have done a masterful job, and it is quite possible whoever wins their week 18 showdown will get the trophy. That said, Dan Campbell didn’t get his flowers for the amazing job he did last year, and his team has been even better in 2024.

O’Connell is also priced out of consideration for me at -1600. He’s a fine bet and makes plenty of sense, but there is just no upside. I’d much rather take a swing at Campbell, who very well could end the regular season with the best record in the NFC, and before it’s done, we could see him back in the NFC Championship game again – if not more.

Bet: Dan Campbell (+700)

Recent 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year Winners

The following is a list of the most recent NFL Coach of the Year winners: